Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 80%
$6.8K
$128.5
Smart Money Signal
21 of 26 top traders (81%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3.04 | 84% 54665-10122 (64787) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 88.6¢ | $1.4K | $1.2K | -$132.07 | 56% 7154-5537 (12691) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $298.99 | $303.61 | +$4.62 | 49% 4719-4873 (9592) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 74.6¢ | $229.66 | $300 | +$70.34 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 59.3¢ | $258.25 | $268.88 | +$10.63 | 55% 13162-10566 (23728) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 65.3¢ | $147.69 | $194 | +$46.31 | 55% 8118-6577 (14695) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 75.1¢ | $179.76 | $186.27 | +$9 | 60% 11651-7625 (19276) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 91.6¢ | $175.6 | $191.69 | +$16.09 | 59% 16265-11214 (27479) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 56.5¢ | $115.47 | $204.46 | +$89 | 57% 11465-8497 (19962) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 68.1¢ | $126.94 | $101.93 | -$25.01 | 55% 6876-5621 (12497) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 89.1¢ | $88.39 | $99.15 | +$10.76 | 49% 74849-77671 (152520) |
 FairValueMachineCTR | Upavg 43¢ | $129.58 | — | -$129.58 | 56% 11940-9215 (21155) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 55.7¢ | $78.45 | $140.78 | +$62.34 | 55% 48280-39244 (87524) |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 57.5¢ | $76.78 | $80 | +$3.22 | 67% 51830-25706 (77536) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $80.8 | — | -$80.8 | 59% 36785-26074 (62859) |
AN antsaslyku | Downavg 50.6¢ | $69.73 | $137.83 | +$68.1 | 66% 108603-55064 (163667) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 48¢ | $56.75 | $118.29 | +$61.54 | 76% 70725-22108 (92833) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $53.4 | $60.68 | +$7.28 | 66% 118135-62194 (180329) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $27.1 | $30.79 | +$3.69 | 58% 11877-8681 (20558) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $26.46 | $42 | +$15.54 | 55% 41545-33964 (75509) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $19.6 | $40 | +$20.4 | 55% 23048-18636 (41684) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $4.8 | $6.15 | +$1.35 | 65% 3695-1997 (5692) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $5.25 | — | -$2.85 | 51% 19245-18476 (37721) |
PA Parad0XCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 56% 2128-1663 (3791) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 55% 16513-13257 (29770) |
Invested
$3,040.14
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3.04
Record
84%
54665-10122 (64787)
Invested
$1,362.54
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$132.07
Record
56%
7154-5537 (12691)
Invested
$298.99
Value
$303.61
PnL
+$4.62
Record
49%
4719-4873 (9592)
Invested
$229.66
Value
$300
PnL
+$70.34
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
Invested
$258.25
Value
$268.88
PnL
+$10.63
Record
55%
13162-10566 (23728)
machinelearnedInvested
$147.69
Value
$194
PnL
+$46.31
Record
55%
8118-6577 (14695)
Invested
$179.76
Value
$186.27
PnL
+$9
Record
60%
11651-7625 (19276)
pspspsps5Invested
$175.6
Value
$191.69
PnL
+$16.09
Record
59%
16265-11214 (27479)
Invested
$115.47
Value
$204.46
PnL
+$89
Record
57%
11465-8497 (19962)
Invested
$126.94
Value
$101.93
PnL
-$25.01
Record
55%
6876-5621 (12497)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$88.39
Value
$99.15
PnL
+$10.76
Record
49%
74849-77671 (152520)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$129.58
Value
—
PnL
-$129.58
Record
56%
11940-9215 (21155)
Invested
$78.45
Value
$140.78
PnL
+$62.34
Record
55%
48280-39244 (87524)
Invested
$76.78
Value
$80
PnL
+$3.22
Record
67%
51830-25706 (77536)
Invested
$80.8
Value
—
PnL
-$80.8
Record
59%
36785-26074 (62859)
Invested
$69.73
Value
$137.83
PnL
+$68.1
Record
66%
108603-55064 (163667)
Invested
$56.75
Value
$118.29
PnL
+$61.54
Record
76%
70725-22108 (92833)
Invested
$53.4
Value
$60.68
PnL
+$7.28
Record
66%
118135-62194 (180329)
Invested
$27.1
Value
$30.79
PnL
+$3.69
Record
58%
11877-8681 (20558)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$26.46
Value
$42
PnL
+$15.54
Record
55%
41545-33964 (75509)
Invested
$19.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$20.4
Record
55%
23048-18636 (41684)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$6.15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
65%
3695-1997 (5692)
Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
51%
19245-18476 (37721)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
56%
2128-1663 (3791)
Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
55%
16513-13257 (29770)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
wzbbb
Down — $1.2K
ply-pm0
Down — $303.61
thesidehustle
Down — $300
GoodFallen
Down — $268.88
machinelearned
Down — $194
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $186.27
pspspsps5
Down — $191.69
EZTRADENL2
Down — $204.46
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $101.93