Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
25
Up 50%
$4.7K
-$403.21
Smart Money Signal
13 of 25 top traders (52%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99Β’ | $2.8K | $2.8K | +$28.49 | 56% 28172-21919 (50091) |
0X 0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324 | Upavg 91.9Β’ | $398.44 | $433.37 | +$34.93 | 51% 857-831 (1688) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 79.9Β’ | $326.96 | $295.51 | -$31.45 | 56% 7154-5537 (12691) |
ST std0 | Upavg 69.5Β’ | $237.66 | $248.47 | +$10.82 | 67% 51830-25706 (77536) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 69.6Β’ | $234.75 | $260.02 | +$25.27 | 55% 13162-10566 (23728) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 75.9Β’ | $197.93 | $180.27 | -$17.66 | 49% 4719-4873 (9592) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 91.7Β’ | $172.59 | $163.99 | -$8.6 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 41.1Β’ | $121.87 | β | -$121.87 | 59% 36785-26074 (62859) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 92.7Β’ | $77.22 | $83.28 | +$6.06 | 65% 3695-1997 (5692) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.3Β’ | $54.06 | β | -$54.06 | 57% 11465-8497 (19962) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.9Β’ | $57.8 | β | -$57.8 | 76% 70725-22108 (92833) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.7Β’ | $55 | $60 | +$5 | 66% 118135-62194 (180329) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 42Β’ | $51.53 | β | -$51.53 | 55% 48280-39244 (87524) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 34Β’ | $34.63 | β | -$34.63 | 58% 58725-42827 (101552) |
SE seeeeeeb<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $38.73 | $41.2 | +$2.47 | 50% 476-485 (961) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 21.5Β’ | $29.47 | β | -$29.47 | 66% 108603-55064 (163667) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | $33.12 | $48 | +$14.88 | 58% 11877-8681 (20558) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.5Β’ | $40.5 | β | -$40.5 | 55% 23048-18636 (41684) |
![]() FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.3Β’ | $21.39 | β | -$21.39 | 56% 11940-9215 (21155) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.1Β’ | $49.84 | β | -$49.84 | 55% 8118-6577 (14695) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.9Β’ | $7.03 | β | -$7.03 | 52% 87251-81446 (168697) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 77Β’ | $11.7 | $15.19 | +$3.49 | 55% 16513-13257 (29770) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.6Β’ | $5.73 | β | -$5.73 | 59% 16265-11214 (27479) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | $3.06 | β | -$3.06 | 49% 74849-77671 (152520) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3579-2780 (6359) |
Invested
$2,820.51
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$28.49
Record
56%
28172-21919 (50091)
Invested
$398.44
Value
$433.37
PnL
+$34.93
Record
51%
857-831 (1688)
Invested
$326.96
Value
$295.51
PnL
-$31.45
Record
56%
7154-5537 (12691)
Invested
$237.66
Value
$248.47
PnL
+$10.82
Record
67%
51830-25706 (77536)
Invested
$234.75
Value
$260.02
PnL
+$25.27
Record
55%
13162-10566 (23728)
Invested
$197.93
Value
$180.27
PnL
-$17.66
Record
49%
4719-4873 (9592)
Invested
$172.59
Value
$163.99
PnL
-$8.6
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
Invested
$121.87
Value
β
PnL
-$121.87
Record
59%
36785-26074 (62859)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$77.22
Value
$83.28
PnL
+$6.06
Record
65%
3695-1997 (5692)
Invested
$54.06
Value
β
PnL
-$54.06
Record
57%
11465-8497 (19962)
Invested
$57.8
Value
β
PnL
-$57.8
Record
76%
70725-22108 (92833)
Invested
$55
Value
$60
PnL
+$5
Record
66%
118135-62194 (180329)
Invested
$51.53
Value
β
PnL
-$51.53
Record
55%
48280-39244 (87524)
Invested
$34.63
Value
β
PnL
-$34.63
Record
58%
58725-42827 (101552)
Invested
$38.73
Value
$41.2
PnL
+$2.47
Record
50%
476-485 (961)
Invested
$29.47
Value
β
PnL
-$29.47
Record
66%
108603-55064 (163667)
Invested
$33.12
Value
$48
PnL
+$14.88
Record
58%
11877-8681 (20558)
Invested
$40.5
Value
β
PnL
-$40.5
Record
55%
23048-18636 (41684)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$21.39
Value
β
PnL
-$21.39
Record
56%
11940-9215 (21155)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$49.84
Value
β
PnL
-$49.84
Record
55%
8118-6577 (14695)
Invested
$7.03
Value
β
PnL
-$7.03
Record
52%
87251-81446 (168697)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$15.19
PnL
+$3.49
Record
55%
16513-13257 (29770)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.73
Value
β
PnL
-$5.73
Record
59%
16265-11214 (27479)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
β
PnL
-$3.06
Record
49%
74849-77671 (152520)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3579-2780 (6359)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up β $2.8K
0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324
Up β $433.37
wzbbb
Up β $295.51
std0
Up β $248.47
GoodFallen
Up β $260.02
ply-pm0
Up β $180.27
thesidehustle
Up β $163.99
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0

Atomforge
Up β $83.28
EZTRADENL2
CTRDown β $0