Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 96% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 95%

Total Value

$6.4K

Combined PnL

$213.18

Smart Money Signal

22 of 23 top traders (96%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up22 traders

Total Value$6.4K

Total Shares6,417

Combined PnL+$234.9

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares62

Combined PnL-$21.72

Up — 96%Down — 4%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$13.05	93% 21661-1689 (23350)
MO mo-money	Upavg 93.7¢	$1.0K	$1.1K	+$61.39	55% 48240-39209 (87449)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 93.8¢	$922.62	$936.95	+$14.32	56% 7146-5523 (12669)
pspspsps5	Upavg 94¢	$558.24	$593.82	+$35.58	59% 16253-11192 (27445)
ST std0	Upavg 87.8¢	$409.43	$420.63	+$11.2	67% 51822-25699 (77521)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 95.5¢	$351.45	$368	+$16.55	55% 41532-33955 (75487)
machinelearned	Upavg 89.5¢	$321.81	$344.43	+$22.62	55% 8109-6570 (14679)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 99¢	$297	$300	+$3	49% 21480-22190 (43670)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 89.7¢	$219.39	$225.62	+$6.22	49% 4710-4866 (9576)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 89.4¢	$190.02	$181	-$9.02	55% 6867-5614 (12481)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 88¢	$131.5	$132	+$0.5	60% 11643-7617 (19260)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 90.3¢	$97.16	$107.57	+$10.41	49% 74813-77595 (152408)
SI sir-upalot	Upavg 87.5¢	$87.5	$100	+$12.5	55% 23037-18631 (41668)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 91¢	$91	$100	+$9	51% 16741-16396 (33137)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 93.1¢	$57.74	$62.02	+$4.28	52% 87230-81412 (168642)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 98¢	$58.8	$60	+$1.2	66% 118108-62171 (180279)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 87.9¢	$38.3	$40.06	+$1.76	55% 16497-13232 (29729)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 34.9¢	$21.72	—	-$21.72	59% 36759-26055 (62814)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 87.1¢	$31.4	$35	+$3.6	56% 11929-9211 (21140)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 91¢	$27.6	$30.33	+$2.73	51% 19223-18465 (37688)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Upavg 70¢	$25.68	$36.68	+$11	57% 9855-7363 (17218)
AR arcsine-barrister<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	56% 3578-2780 (6358)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 84¢	$16.8	—	+$3	65% 19942-10858 (30800)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,267.91

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$13.05

Record

93%

21661-1689 (23350)

mo-money

Invested

$1,000.98

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$61.39

Record

55%

48240-39209 (87449)

wzbbb

Invested

$922.62

Value

$936.95

PnL

+$14.32

Record

56%

7146-5523 (12669)

pspspsps5

Invested

$558.24

Value

$593.82

PnL

+$35.58

Record

59%

16253-11192 (27445)

std0

Invested

$409.43

Value

$420.63

PnL

+$11.2

Record

67%

51822-25699 (77521)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$351.45

Value

$368

PnL

+$16.55

Record

55%

41532-33955 (75487)

machinelearned

Invested

$321.81

Value

$344.43

PnL

+$22.62

Record

55%

8109-6570 (14679)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$297

Value

$300

PnL

+$3

Record

49%

21480-22190 (43670)

ply-pm0

Invested

$219.39

Value

$225.62

PnL

+$6.22

Record

49%

4710-4866 (9576)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$190.02

Value

$181

PnL

-$9.02

Record

55%

6867-5614 (12481)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$131.5

Value

$132

PnL

+$0.5

Record

60%

11643-7617 (19260)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$97.16

Value

$107.57

PnL

+$10.41

Record

49%

74813-77595 (152408)

sir-upalot

Invested

$87.5

Value

$100

PnL

+$12.5

Record

55%

23037-18631 (41668)

gansinimen

Invested

$91

Value

$100

PnL

+$9

Record

51%

16741-16396 (33137)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$57.74

Value

$62.02

PnL

+$4.28

Record

52%

87230-81412 (168642)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$58.8

Value

$60

PnL

+$1.2

Record

66%

118108-62171 (180279)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$38.3

Value

$40.06

PnL

+$1.76

Record

55%

16497-13232 (29729)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$21.72

Value

—

PnL

-$21.72

Record

59%

36759-26055 (62814)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$31.4

Value

$35

PnL

+$3.6

Record

56%

11929-9211 (21140)

devonpoll<$100

Invested

$27.6

Value

$30.33

PnL

+$2.73

Record

51%

19223-18465 (37688)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Invested

$25.68

Value

$36.68

PnL

+$11

Record

57%

9855-7363 (17218)

arcsine-barrister<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

3578-2780 (6358)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$16.8

Value

—

PnL

+$3

Record

65%

19942-10858 (30800)

Smart Money Signal

22 of 23 top traders (96%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x03997946...eb2126

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793037300

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.3K

+$13.05

mo-money

Up — $1.1K

+$61.39

wzbbb

Up — $936.95

+$14.32

pspspsps5

Up — $593.82

+$35.58

std0

Up — $420.63

+$11.2

MayorMamdani

Up — $368

+$16.55

machinelearned

Up — $344.43

+$22.62

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $300

+$3

ply-pm0

Up — $225.62

+$6.22

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $181

-$9.02

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