Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 76%
1 arb excluded
$6.2K
-$5.69
Smart Money Signal
18 of 23 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $2.8K | $2.8K | +$28.3 | 56% 28165-21919 (50084) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 89.1¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$64.21 | 56% 7146-5523 (12669) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 91¢ | $463.94 | $500 | +$36.06 | 55% 48240-39209 (87449) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 68.1¢ | $339 | $325 | -$14 | 56% 11929-9211 (21140) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 27¢ | $81 | $281.93 | +$218.64 | 49% 21480-22190 (43670) |
ST std0CTR | Downavg 46.6¢ | $243.59 | — | -$243.59 | 67% 51822-25699 (77521) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 62.8¢ | $189.51 | $234.26 | +$45.11 | 60% 11643-7617 (19260) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 53.7¢ | $137.66 | $225 | +$87.34 | 55% 8109-6570 (14679) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 72.6¢ | $214.62 | $182.02 | -$32.6 | 55% 6867-5614 (12481) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 33.6¢ | $119.05 | — | -$119.05 | 49% 4710-4866 (9576) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 51.3¢ | $128.35 | $250.4 | +$122.05 | 59% 36759-26055 (62814) |
DV dvasdkasodk | Upavg 93.7¢ | $103.75 | $109.17 | +$5.42 | 52% 87230-81412 (168642) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 93¢ | $93 | $100 | +$7 | 57% 9855-7363 (17218) |
SI sir-upalotARB<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $60.63 | $43.11 | -$17.53 | 55% 23037-18631 (41668) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.3¢ | $38.91 | — | -$38.91 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.4¢ | $21.73 | $43.11 | +$21.38 | |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 64.4¢ | $60.35 | — | -$60.35 | 55% 16497-13232 (29729) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.5¢ | $53.78 | — | -$53.78 | 84% 54657-10104 (64761) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 67.2¢ | $20.27 | $23.38 | +$3.11 | 65% 3690-1993 (5683) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $28.2 | $20.02 | +$30.6 | 66% 118108-62171 (180279) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 67.7¢ | $34.62 | $16.65 | -$7.23 | 65% 19942-10858 (30800) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $8.85 | $12 | +$3.15 | 49% 74813-77595 (152408) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 58% 49354-35490 (84844) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 59% 16253-11192 (27445) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19223-18465 (37688) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3578-2780 (6358) |
Invested
$2,801.7
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$28.3
Record
56%
28165-21919 (50084)
Invested
$1,148.15
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$64.21
Record
56%
7146-5523 (12669)
Invested
$463.94
Value
$500
PnL
+$36.06
Record
55%
48240-39209 (87449)
FairValueMachineInvested
$339
Value
$325
PnL
-$14
Record
56%
11929-9211 (21140)
Invested
$81
Value
$281.93
PnL
+$218.64
Record
49%
21480-22190 (43670)
Invested
$243.59
Value
—
PnL
-$243.59
Record
67%
51822-25699 (77521)
Invested
$189.51
Value
$234.26
PnL
+$45.11
Record
60%
11643-7617 (19260)
machinelearnedInvested
$137.66
Value
$225
PnL
+$87.34
Record
55%
8109-6570 (14679)
Invested
$214.62
Value
$182.02
PnL
-$32.6
Record
55%
6867-5614 (12481)
Invested
$119.05
Value
—
PnL
-$119.05
Record
49%
4710-4866 (9576)
Invested
$128.35
Value
$250.4
PnL
+$122.05
Record
59%
36759-26055 (62814)
Invested
$103.75
Value
$109.17
PnL
+$5.42
Record
52%
87230-81412 (168642)
Invested
$93
Value
$100
PnL
+$7
Record
57%
9855-7363 (17218)
Invested
$60.63
Value
$43.11
PnL
-$17.53
Record
55%
23037-18631 (41668)
Both legs:
Invested
$60.35
Value
—
PnL
-$60.35
Record
55%
16497-13232 (29729)
Invested
$53.78
Value
—
PnL
-$53.78
Record
84%
54657-10104 (64761)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$20.27
Value
$23.38
PnL
+$3.11
Record
65%
3690-1993 (5683)
Invested
$28.2
Value
$20.02
PnL
+$30.6
Record
66%
118108-62171 (180279)
Invested
$34.62
Value
$16.65
PnL
-$7.23
Record
65%
19942-10858 (30800)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.85
Value
$12
PnL
+$3.15
Record
49%
74813-77595 (152408)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
58%
49354-35490 (84844)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
59%
16253-11192 (27445)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19223-18465 (37688)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3578-2780 (6358)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up — $2.8K
wzbbb
Up — $1.1K
mo-money
Up — $500
FairValueMachine
Up — $325
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $281.93
std0
CTRDown — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $234.26
machinelearned
Up — $225
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $182.02
ply-pm0
CTRDown — $0