Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 79%
$5.6K
$118.86
Smart Money Signal
17 of 21 top traders (81%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $1.9K | $1.9K | +$38.69 | 93% 21661-1689 (23350) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 94.9¢ | $1.7K | $1.8K | +$73.49 | 56% 7146-5523 (12669) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 95.9¢ | $452.78 | $466.29 | +$13.52 | 55% 8109-6570 (14679) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 99¢ | $220.76 | $222.99 | +$2.23 | 49% 74813-77595 (152408) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 97.6¢ | $213.74 | $218.98 | +$5.24 | 59% 16253-11192 (27445) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $176.78 | $212.52 | +$35.74 | 55% 16497-13232 (29729) |
ST std0 | Downavg 95.7¢ | $193.4 | $181.67 | -$11.73 | 67% 51822-25699 (77521) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 85.1¢ | $142.98 | $145.92 | +$2.95 | 49% 4710-4866 (9576) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 81¢ | $82 | $100 | +$18 | 51% 16741-16396 (33137) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 87.5¢ | $82.28 | $88 | +$5.72 | 60% 11643-7617 (19260) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.5¢ | $33 | — | -$33 | 49% 21480-22190 (43670) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $71.54 | $73 | +$1.46 | 55% 41532-33955 (75487) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $51.6 | $60 | +$8.4 | 57% 9855-7363 (17218) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $46.94 | $50 | +$3.06 | 55% 23037-18631 (41668) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 97.2¢ | $44.16 | $45.42 | +$1.26 | 55% 6867-5614 (12481) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $22.86 | — | -$22.86 | 59% 36759-26055 (62814) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $31.66 | $30 | -$1.66 | 52% 87230-81412 (168642) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $16.8 | — | -$16.8 | 56% 11929-9211 (21140) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $4.94 | — | -$4.94 | 66% 118108-62171 (180279) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3578-2780 (6358) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 99.1¢ | $10.16 | — | +$0.08 | 65% 19942-10858 (30800) |
Invested
$1,907.31
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$38.69
Record
93%
21661-1689 (23350)
Invested
$1,708
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$73.49
Record
56%
7146-5523 (12669)
machinelearnedInvested
$452.78
Value
$466.29
PnL
+$13.52
Record
55%
8109-6570 (14679)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$220.76
Value
$222.99
PnL
+$2.23
Record
49%
74813-77595 (152408)
pspspsps5Invested
$213.74
Value
$218.98
PnL
+$5.24
Record
59%
16253-11192 (27445)
Invested
$176.78
Value
$212.52
PnL
+$35.74
Record
55%
16497-13232 (29729)
Invested
$193.4
Value
$181.67
PnL
-$11.73
Record
67%
51822-25699 (77521)
Invested
$142.98
Value
$145.92
PnL
+$2.95
Record
49%
4710-4866 (9576)
Invested
$82
Value
$100
PnL
+$18
Record
51%
16741-16396 (33137)
Invested
$82.28
Value
$88
PnL
+$5.72
Record
60%
11643-7617 (19260)
Invested
$33
Value
—
PnL
-$33
Record
49%
21480-22190 (43670)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$71.54
Value
$73
PnL
+$1.46
Record
55%
41532-33955 (75487)
Invested
$51.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$8.4
Record
57%
9855-7363 (17218)
Invested
$46.94
Value
$50
PnL
+$3.06
Record
55%
23037-18631 (41668)
Invested
$44.16
Value
$45.42
PnL
+$1.26
Record
55%
6867-5614 (12481)
Invested
$22.86
Value
—
PnL
-$22.86
Record
59%
36759-26055 (62814)
Invested
$31.66
Value
$30
PnL
-$1.66
Record
52%
87230-81412 (168642)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$16.8
Value
—
PnL
-$16.8
Record
56%
11929-9211 (21140)
Invested
$4.94
Value
—
PnL
-$4.94
Record
66%
118108-62171 (180279)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3578-2780 (6358)
Invested
$10.16
Value
—
PnL
+$0.08
Record
65%
19942-10858 (30800)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.9K
wzbbb
Down — $1.8K
machinelearned
Down — $466.29
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $222.99
pspspsps5
Down — $218.98
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $212.52
std0
Down — $181.67
ply-pm0
Down — $145.92
gansinimen
Down — $100
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $88