Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 64%
3 arb excluded
$6.0K
$-4.5K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 22 top traders (64%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | $-4.7K | 56% 3578-2780 (6358) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $2.8K | $2.8K | +$28.26 | 56% 28165-21919 (50084) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 47.5¢ | $922.59 | $1.2K | +$233.92 | 56% 7146-5523 (12669) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $445.17 | $444.36 | -$0.81 | 84% 54657-10104 (64761) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 57.6¢ | $273.21 | $459.08 | +$185.87 | 55% 16497-13232 (29729) |
GA gansinimenCTR | Downavg 65.8¢ | $138.22 | — | -$138.22 | 51% 16741-16396 (33137) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 92.6¢ | $146.1 | $157.82 | +$11.72 | 78% 9142-2641 (11783) |
ST std0CTR | Downavg 43.9¢ | $102.39 | — | -$102.39 | 67% 51822-25699 (77521) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 49.8¢ | $136.44 | $140.96 | +$4.53 | 56% 11929-9211 (21140) |
 machinelearnedARB<$100 | Downavg 62.3¢ | $221.11 | $111.75 | -$109.36 | 55% 8109-6570 (14679) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 40.6¢ | $45.41 | $111.75 | +$66.34 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 62.3¢ | $175.69 | — | -$175.69 | |
MO mo-moneyARB<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $89.25 | $115.62 | +$26.36 | 55% 48240-39209 (87449) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65¢ | $75.15 | $115.62 | +$40.47 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 7.5¢ | $14.1 | — | -$14.1 | |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 62.5¢ | $99.99 | $100 | +$0.01 | 55% 23037-18631 (41668) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 81.4¢ | $145.58 | $92.08 | -$53.5 | 57% 9855-7363 (17218) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 49¢ | $84.55 | $172.55 | +$88 | 58% 49354-35490 (84844) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 43.4¢ | $47.05 | $57.45 | +$10.4 | 52% 87230-81412 (168642) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 71.8¢ | $45.07 | $60.6 | +$15.97 | 66% 118108-62171 (180279) |
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100 | Downavg 58.7¢ | $94.73 | $30 | -$64.73 | 49% 4710-4866 (9576) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 52¢ | $15.6 | $30 | +$14.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.7¢ | $79.13 | — | -$79.13 | |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $58.67 | — | -$58.67 | 49% 74813-77595 (152408) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $35.64 | — | -$35.64 | 60% 11643-7617 (19260) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 65.6¢ | $60.3 | $31.98 | +$0.85 | 51% 19223-18465 (37688) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $19.83 | $40.47 | +$20.64 | 59% 36759-26055 (62814) |
AM Amit11111CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 53% 115-103 (218) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $23.72 | $29.79 | +$6.07 | 65% 19942-10858 (30800) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $18.91 | — | -$18.91 | 55% 41532-33955 (75487) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 55% 6867-5614 (12481) |
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
$-4.7K
Record
56%
3578-2780 (6358)
Invested
$2,797.74
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$28.26
Record
56%
28165-21919 (50084)
Invested
$922.59
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$233.92
Record
56%
7146-5523 (12669)
Invested
$445.17
Value
$444.36
PnL
-$0.81
Record
84%
54657-10104 (64761)
Invested
$273.21
Value
$459.08
PnL
+$185.87
Record
55%
16497-13232 (29729)
Invested
$138.22
Value
—
PnL
-$138.22
Record
51%
16741-16396 (33137)
NIULAI4Invested
$146.1
Value
$157.82
PnL
+$11.72
Record
78%
9142-2641 (11783)
Invested
$102.39
Value
—
PnL
-$102.39
Record
67%
51822-25699 (77521)
FairValueMachineInvested
$136.44
Value
$140.96
PnL
+$4.53
Record
56%
11929-9211 (21140)
machinelearnedARB<$100Invested
$221.11
Value
$111.75
PnL
-$109.36
Record
55%
8109-6570 (14679)
Both legs:
Invested
$89.25
Value
$115.62
PnL
+$26.36
Record
55%
48240-39209 (87449)
Both legs:
Invested
$99.99
Value
$100
PnL
+$0.01
Record
55%
23037-18631 (41668)
Invested
$145.58
Value
$92.08
PnL
-$53.5
Record
57%
9855-7363 (17218)
Invested
$84.55
Value
$172.55
PnL
+$88
Record
58%
49354-35490 (84844)
Invested
$47.05
Value
$57.45
PnL
+$10.4
Record
52%
87230-81412 (168642)
Invested
$45.07
Value
$60.6
PnL
+$15.97
Record
66%
118108-62171 (180279)
Invested
$94.73
Value
$30
PnL
-$64.73
Record
49%
4710-4866 (9576)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$58.67
Value
—
PnL
-$58.67
Record
49%
74813-77595 (152408)
Invested
$35.64
Value
—
PnL
-$35.64
Record
60%
11643-7617 (19260)
Invested
$60.3
Value
$31.98
PnL
+$0.85
Record
51%
19223-18465 (37688)
Invested
$19.83
Value
$40.47
PnL
+$20.64
Record
59%
36759-26055 (62814)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
53%
115-103 (218)
Invested
$23.72
Value
$29.79
PnL
+$6.07
Record
65%
19942-10858 (30800)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$18.91
Value
—
PnL
-$18.91
Record
55%
41532-33955 (75487)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
55%
6867-5614 (12481)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
CTRDown — $0
THG.
Up — $2.8K
wzbbb
Up — $1.2K
0x50f7
Up — $444.36
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $459.08
gansinimen
CTRDown — $0
NIULAI4
Up — $157.82
std0
CTRDown — $0
FairValueMachine
Up — $140.96
machinelearned
ARBArbitrage — excluded