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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

27

Down 80%

Total Value

$15.7K

Combined PnL

$652.12

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 27 top traders (74%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down20 traders
Total Value$15.7K
Total Shares15,714
Combined PnL+$1.2K
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,367
Combined PnL-$514
Down — 74%Up — 26%
0X
0x50f7
Down

Invested

$6,631.35

Value

$6.6K

PnL

+$6.64

Record

84%

54207-10055 (64262)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$2,019.71

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$88.28

Record

93%

21574-1680 (23254)

WZ
wzbbb
Down

Invested

$1,447.61

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$54.39

Record

56%

7105-5492 (12597)

UN
uninformedfloww
Down

Invested

$1,170.19

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$377.69

Record

57%

64885-49078 (113963)

machinelearned
Down

Invested

$696.37

Value

$791.88

PnL

+$95.51

Record

55%

8093-6557 (14650)

BO
bosona
Down

Invested

$647.91

Value

$662.2

PnL

+$14.29

Record

56%

47363-37932 (85295)

TH
thesidehustle
Down

Invested

$398.44

Value

$429.37

PnL

+$30.93

Record

54%

9773-8307 (18080)

0X
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
Down

Invested

$269.21

Value

$377.77

PnL

+$108.57

Record

62%

27936-17377 (45313)

PB
PBot-6CTR
Up

Invested

$305.24

Value

—

PnL

-$305.24

Record

58%

49202-35356 (84558)

PL
ply-pm0
Down

Invested

$292.37

Value

$299.58

PnL

+$7.21

Record

49%

4690-4844 (9534)

GA
gansinimen
Down

Invested

$158

Value

$204

PnL

+$46

Record

51%

14010-13336 (27346)

pspspsps5
Down

Invested

$201.16

Value

$221.18

PnL

+$20.02

Record

59%

16227-11170 (27397)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down

Invested

$176.39

Value

$361.17

PnL

+$184.78

Record

59%

36681-25997 (62678)

SI
sir-upalot
Down

Invested

$148.5

Value

$200

PnL

+$51.5

Record

55%

23018-18619 (41637)

RE
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down

Invested

$103.76

Value

$146.02

PnL

+$42.25

Record

60%

11624-7600 (19224)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$44.98

Value

$59.1

PnL

+$14.12

Record

66%

118014-62112 (180126)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$43.46

Value

$47.18

PnL

+$3.72

Record

52%

87102-81310 (168412)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$32.74

Value

$35.24

PnL

+$2.5

Record

65%

19843-10779 (30622)

ST
std0<$100
Down

Invested

$31.96

Value

$38.18

PnL

+$6.22

Record

67%

51803-25680 (77483)

TR
trdyugiolkw<$100
Down

Invested

$30

Value

$40

PnL

+$10

Record

57%

9836-7351 (17187)

0X
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$16.43

Value

—

PnL

-$16.43

Record

55%

6845-5601 (12446)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$12.93

Value

—

PnL

-$12.93

Record

58%

58504-42650 (101154)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.69

Value

—

PnL

-$1.69

Record

49%

21335-21941 (43276)

0X
0xdc27...afdd9aCTR
Up

Invested

$177.71

Value

—

PnL

-$177.71

Record

53%

1927-1731 (3658)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$4.06

Value

$5.56

PnL

+$1.5

Record

58%

11844-8645 (20489)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xaecf1c67...e5e151
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1793021100
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