Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 80%
$15.7K
$652.12
Smart Money Signal
20 of 27 top traders (74%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.6K | $6.6K | +$6.64 | 84% 54207-10055 (64262) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 95.8¢ | $2.0K | $2.1K | +$88.28 | 93% 21574-1680 (23254) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 89.6¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$54.39 | 56% 7105-5492 (12597) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 75.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.5K | +$377.69 | 57% 64885-49078 (113963) |
![]() machinelearned | Downavg 87.6¢ | $696.37 | $791.88 | +$95.51 | 55% 8093-6557 (14650) |
BO bosona | Downavg 90.8¢ | $647.91 | $662.2 | +$14.29 | 56% 47363-37932 (85295) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 81.6¢ | $398.44 | $429.37 | +$30.93 | 54% 9773-8307 (18080) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Downavg 69.9¢ | $269.21 | $377.77 | +$108.57 | 62% 27936-17377 (45313) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Upavg 52.7¢ | $305.24 | — | -$305.24 | 58% 49202-35356 (84558) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $292.37 | $299.58 | +$7.21 | 49% 4690-4844 (9534) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 75¢ | $158 | $204 | +$46 | 51% 14010-13336 (27346) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Downavg 90.9¢ | $201.16 | $221.18 | +$20.02 | 59% 16227-11170 (27397) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 48.8¢ | $176.39 | $361.17 | +$184.78 | 59% 36681-25997 (62678) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 74.3¢ | $148.5 | $200 | +$51.5 | 55% 23018-18619 (41637) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 71.1¢ | $103.76 | $146.02 | +$42.25 | 60% 11624-7600 (19224) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.1¢ | $44.98 | $59.1 | +$14.12 | 66% 118014-62112 (180126) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $43.46 | $47.18 | +$3.72 | 52% 87102-81310 (168412) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $32.74 | $35.24 | +$2.5 | 65% 19843-10779 (30622) |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 83.7¢ | $31.96 | $38.18 | +$6.22 | 67% 51803-25680 (77483) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $30 | $40 | +$10 | 57% 9836-7351 (17187) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.2¢ | $16.43 | — | -$16.43 | 55% 6845-5601 (12446) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $12.93 | — | -$12.93 | 58% 58504-42650 (101154) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $1.69 | — | -$1.69 | 49% 21335-21941 (43276) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9aCTR | Upavg 21.9¢ | $177.71 | — | -$177.71 | 53% 1927-1731 (3658) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $4.06 | $5.56 | +$1.5 | 58% 11844-8645 (20489) |
Invested
$6,631.35
Value
$6.6K
PnL
+$6.64
Record
84%
54207-10055 (64262)
Invested
$2,019.71
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$88.28
Record
93%
21574-1680 (23254)
Invested
$1,447.61
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$54.39
Record
56%
7105-5492 (12597)
Invested
$1,170.19
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$377.69
Record
57%
64885-49078 (113963)
machinelearnedInvested
$696.37
Value
$791.88
PnL
+$95.51
Record
55%
8093-6557 (14650)
Invested
$647.91
Value
$662.2
PnL
+$14.29
Record
56%
47363-37932 (85295)
Invested
$398.44
Value
$429.37
PnL
+$30.93
Record
54%
9773-8307 (18080)
Invested
$269.21
Value
$377.77
PnL
+$108.57
Record
62%
27936-17377 (45313)
Invested
$305.24
Value
—
PnL
-$305.24
Record
58%
49202-35356 (84558)
Invested
$292.37
Value
$299.58
PnL
+$7.21
Record
49%
4690-4844 (9534)
Invested
$158
Value
$204
PnL
+$46
Record
51%
14010-13336 (27346)
pspspsps5Invested
$201.16
Value
$221.18
PnL
+$20.02
Record
59%
16227-11170 (27397)
Invested
$176.39
Value
$361.17
PnL
+$184.78
Record
59%
36681-25997 (62678)
Invested
$148.5
Value
$200
PnL
+$51.5
Record
55%
23018-18619 (41637)
Invested
$103.76
Value
$146.02
PnL
+$42.25
Record
60%
11624-7600 (19224)
Invested
$44.98
Value
$59.1
PnL
+$14.12
Record
66%
118014-62112 (180126)
Invested
$43.46
Value
$47.18
PnL
+$3.72
Record
52%
87102-81310 (168412)
Invested
$32.74
Value
$35.24
PnL
+$2.5
Record
65%
19843-10779 (30622)
Invested
$31.96
Value
$38.18
PnL
+$6.22
Record
67%
51803-25680 (77483)
Invested
$30
Value
$40
PnL
+$10
Record
57%
9836-7351 (17187)
Invested
$16.43
Value
—
PnL
-$16.43
Record
55%
6845-5601 (12446)
Invested
$12.93
Value
—
PnL
-$12.93
Record
58%
58504-42650 (101154)
Invested
$1.69
Value
—
PnL
-$1.69
Record
49%
21335-21941 (43276)
Invested
$177.71
Value
—
PnL
-$177.71
Record
53%
1927-1731 (3658)
Invested
$4.06
Value
$5.56
PnL
+$1.5
Record
58%
11844-8645 (20489)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.6K
hoodquant
Down — $2.1K
wzbbb
Down — $1.5K
uninformedfloww
Down — $1.5K

machinelearned
Down — $791.88
bosona
Down — $662.2
thesidehustle
Down — $429.37
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
Down — $377.77
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm0
Down — $299.58