Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 88%

Total Value

$7.0K

Combined PnL

-$11.47

Smart Money Signal

Down

22 of 26 top traders (85%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down22 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares7,050

Combined PnL+$238.82

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares816

Combined PnL-$250.29

Down — 85%Up — 15%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH THG.	Downavg 99¢	$2.7K	$2.8K	+$27.77	56% 27970-21735 (49705)
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$1.7K	$1.7K	+$1.7	84% 43982-8667 (52649)
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 91.6¢	$503.8	$514.33	+$10.53	54% 9706-8245 (17951)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Upavg 31.5¢	$240.29	—	-$240.29	59% 36626-25967 (62593)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 81.4¢	$257.14	$257.96	+$0.82	49% 4683-4838 (9521)
BO bosona	Downavg 82¢	$179.31	$214.19	+$34.88	56% 47168-37666 (84834)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$201.96	$204	+$2.04	93% 21534-1676 (23210)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Downavg 98.2¢	$214.02	$198	-$16.02	62% 27920-17364 (45284)
machinelearned	Downavg 92.4¢	$154.94	$145.97	-$8.98	55% 8081-6546 (14627)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Downavg 73.8¢	$221.53	$300	+$78.47	51% 18897-18110 (37007)
FairValueMachine	Downavg 79.8¢	$133.7	$160	+$26.3	56% 11899-9189 (21088)
pspspsps5	Downavg 81.4¢	$108.76	$132.54	+$23.77	59% 16116-11138 (27254)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Downavg 85¢	$75.88	$88	+$12.12	55% 6836-5597 (12433)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Downavg 79¢	$66.8	$80	+$13.2	57% 9826-7347 (17173)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 82¢	$49.2	$60	+$10.8	66% 117132-61537 (178669)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 84¢	$44.39	$52.83	+$8.44	52% 86873-81238 (168111)
ST std0<$100	Downavg 83¢	$34.16	$40	+$5.84	70% 48395-20945 (69340)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Downavg 80.7¢	$35.91	$29.58	-$6.33	60% 11616-7594 (19210)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 99.1¢	$30.81	$31.08	+$0.27	65% 19783-10760 (30543)
GA gansinimenCTR<$100	Upavg 19¢	$7.3	—	-$7.3	51% 14010-13336 (27346)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 79¢	$23.85	$30.19	+$6.34	56% 16419-13148 (29567)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 77¢	$15.23	$19.15	+$3.92	58% 11674-8538 (20212)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	58% 58482-42635 (101117)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Downavg 78¢	$10.42	$13.36	+$2.94	55% 23010-18615 (41625)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	52% 17116-15936 (33052)

THG.

Down

Invested

$2,749.23

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$27.77

Record

56%

27970-21735 (49705)

0x50f7

Down

Invested

$1,699.64

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$1.7

Record

84%

43982-8667 (52649)

thesidehustle

Down

Invested

$503.8

Value

$514.33

PnL

+$10.53

Record

54%

9706-8245 (17951)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$240.29

Value

—

PnL

-$240.29

Record

59%

36626-25967 (62593)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$257.14

Value

$257.96

PnL

+$0.82

Record

49%

4683-4838 (9521)

bosona

Down

Invested

$179.31

Value

$214.19

PnL

+$34.88

Record

56%

47168-37666 (84834)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$201.96

Value

$204

PnL

+$2.04

Record

93%

21534-1676 (23210)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down

Invested

$214.02

Value

$198

PnL

-$16.02

Record

62%

27920-17364 (45284)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$154.94

Value

$145.97

PnL

-$8.98

Record

55%

8081-6546 (14627)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down

Invested

$221.53

Value

$300

PnL

+$78.47

Record

51%

18897-18110 (37007)

FairValueMachine

Down

Invested

$133.7

Value

$160

PnL

+$26.3

Record

56%

11899-9189 (21088)

pspspsps5

Down

Invested

$108.76

Value

$132.54

PnL

+$23.77

Record

59%

16116-11138 (27254)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Down

Invested

$75.88

Value

$88

PnL

+$12.12

Record

55%

6836-5597 (12433)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Down

Invested

$66.8

Value

$80

PnL

+$13.2

Record

57%

9826-7347 (17173)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$49.2

Value

$60

PnL

+$10.8

Record

66%

117132-61537 (178669)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Down

Invested

$44.39

Value

$52.83

PnL

+$8.44

Record

52%

86873-81238 (168111)

std0<$100

Down

Invested

$34.16

Value

$40

PnL

+$5.84

Record

70%

48395-20945 (69340)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Down

Invested

$35.91

Value

$29.58

PnL

-$6.33

Record

60%

11616-7594 (19210)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$30.81

Value

$31.08

PnL

+$0.27

Record

65%

19783-10760 (30543)

gansinimenCTR<$100

Invested

$7.3

Value

—

PnL

-$7.3

Record

51%

14010-13336 (27346)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Down

Invested

$23.85

Value

$30.19

PnL

+$6.34

Record

56%

16419-13148 (29567)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Down

Invested

$15.23

Value

$19.15

PnL

+$3.92

Record

58%

11674-8538 (20212)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

58%

58482-42635 (101117)

sir-upalot<$100

Down

Invested

$10.42

Value

$13.36

PnL

+$2.94

Record

55%

23010-18615 (41625)

devonpollCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

17116-15936 (33052)

Smart Money Signal

Down

22 of 26 top traders (85%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x191f96b3...9d9e41

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793020200

Traders in this Market

THG.

Down — $2.8K

+$27.77

0x50f7

Down — $1.7K

+$1.7

thesidehustle

Down — $514.33

+$10.53

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$240.29

ply-pm0

Down — $257.96

+$0.82

bosona

Down — $214.19

+$34.88

hoodquant

Down — $204

+$2.04

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down — $198

-$16.02

machinelearned

Down — $145.97

-$8.98

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $300

+$78.47

Trade on Polymarket