Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 82%
$4.5K
$404.06
Smart Money Signal
15 of 19 top traders (79%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3.01 | 84% 43982-8667 (52649) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 51¢ | $286.58 | $562.05 | +$275.47 | 59% 36626-25967 (62593) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 89.2¢ | $242.17 | $271.64 | +$29.46 | 57% 64862-49061 (113923) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Downavg 87.4¢ | $123.61 | $139.62 | +$16 | 62% 27920-17364 (45284) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 70.5¢ | $78.07 | $100 | +$21.93 | 56% 11899-9189 (21088) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 85.6¢ | $80 | $92.14 | +$12.14 | 55% 6836-5597 (12433) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $53.03 | $60 | +$6.97 | 49% 4683-4838 (9521) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $40 | $50 | +$10 | 55% 23010-18615 (41625) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $39.26 | $49 | +$9.74 | 60% 11616-7594 (19210) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 77.8¢ | $30.91 | $39.73 | +$8.82 | 55% 8081-6546 (14627) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $19.8 | $24.44 | +$4.64 | 51% 14010-13336 (27346) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $23.6 | $40 | +$16.4 | 57% 9826-7347 (17173) |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 87.7¢ | $13.15 | $15 | +$1.85 | 70% 48395-20945 (69340) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $15.6 | $20 | +$4.4 | 66% 117132-61537 (178669) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.6¢ | $5.9 | — | -$5.9 | 58% 49097-35254 (84351) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.5¢ | $4.06 | — | -$4.06 | 52% 86873-81238 (168111) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.9¢ | $9.62 | — | -$9.62 | 54% 9706-8245 (17951) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3556-2770 (6326) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $12.66 | — | +$2.81 | 65% 19783-10760 (30543) |
Invested
$3,005
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3.01
Record
84%
43982-8667 (52649)
Invested
$286.58
Value
$562.05
PnL
+$275.47
Record
59%
36626-25967 (62593)
Invested
$242.17
Value
$271.64
PnL
+$29.46
Record
57%
64862-49061 (113923)
Invested
$123.61
Value
$139.62
PnL
+$16
Record
62%
27920-17364 (45284)
FairValueMachineInvested
$78.07
Value
$100
PnL
+$21.93
Record
56%
11899-9189 (21088)
Invested
$80
Value
$92.14
PnL
+$12.14
Record
55%
6836-5597 (12433)
Invested
$53.03
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.97
Record
49%
4683-4838 (9521)
Invested
$40
Value
$50
PnL
+$10
Record
55%
23010-18615 (41625)
Invested
$39.26
Value
$49
PnL
+$9.74
Record
60%
11616-7594 (19210)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$30.91
Value
$39.73
PnL
+$8.82
Record
55%
8081-6546 (14627)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$24.44
PnL
+$4.64
Record
51%
14010-13336 (27346)
Invested
$23.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$16.4
Record
57%
9826-7347 (17173)
Invested
$13.15
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.85
Record
70%
48395-20945 (69340)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.4
Record
66%
117132-61537 (178669)
Invested
$5.9
Value
—
PnL
-$5.9
Record
58%
49097-35254 (84351)
Invested
$4.06
Value
—
PnL
-$4.06
Record
52%
86873-81238 (168111)
Invested
$9.62
Value
—
PnL
-$9.62
Record
54%
9706-8245 (17951)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3556-2770 (6326)
Invested
$12.66
Value
—
PnL
+$2.81
Record
65%
19783-10760 (30543)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $562.05
uninformedfloww
Down — $271.64
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
Down — $139.62
FairValueMachine
Down — $100
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $92.14
ply-pm0
Down — $60
sir-upalot
Down — $50
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $49
machinelearned
Down — $39.73