Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 37% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 100%
$287.9
$37.46
Smart Money Signal
7 of 19 top traders (37%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 89.5Β’ | $135.63 | $134.39 | -$1.24 | 54% 9773-8307 (18080) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | $99.25 | $88 | +$21.99 | 55% 6845-5601 (12446) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 86Β’ | $37.84 | $44 | +$6.16 | 60% 11624-7600 (19224) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $10.97 | $21.51 | +$10.55 | 58% 58504-42650 (101154) |
![]() FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 27Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 11914-9199 (21113) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3576-2779 (6355) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 84% 54207-10055 (64262) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 36681-25997 (62678) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 66% 118014-62112 (180126) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Downavg 25Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 4690-4844 (9534) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 8093-6557 (14650) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 16227-11170 (27397) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Upavg 82.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 14010-13336 (27346) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 87102-81310 (168412) |
TH THG.<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 28143-21918 (50061) |
ST std0CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 67% 51803-25680 (77483) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 62% 27936-17377 (45313) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 17.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 16429-13163 (29592) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100 | Downavg 5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 9836-7351 (17187) |
Invested
$135.63
Value
$134.39
PnL
-$1.24
Record
54%
9773-8307 (18080)
Invested
$99.25
Value
$88
PnL
+$21.99
Record
55%
6845-5601 (12446)
Invested
$37.84
Value
$44
PnL
+$6.16
Record
60%
11624-7600 (19224)
Invested
$10.97
Value
$21.51
PnL
+$10.55
Record
58%
58504-42650 (101154)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
11914-9199 (21113)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3576-2779 (6355)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
84%
54207-10055 (64262)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
36681-25997 (62678)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
118014-62112 (180126)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
4690-4844 (9534)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8093-6557 (14650)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
16227-11170 (27397)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
14010-13336 (27346)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
87102-81310 (168412)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
28143-21918 (50061)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
51803-25680 (77483)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
27936-17377 (45313)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
16429-13163 (29592)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
9836-7351 (17187)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
thesidehustle
Up β $134.39
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up β $88
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up β $44
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $21.51

FairValueMachine
CTRDown β $0
arcsine-barrister
CTRDown β $0
0x50f7
Up β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown β $0
ply-pm0
CTRDown β $0