Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 33%
$180
-$17.43
Smart Money Signal
5 of 20 top traders (25%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 76.3¢ | $157.95 | $180 | +$22.05 | 54% 9773-8307 (18080) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $38.91 | — | -$38.91 | 60% 11624-7600 (19224) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 70632-22093 (92725) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 11914-9199 (21113) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3576-2779 (6355) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 36681-25997 (62678) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 83.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 64885-49078 (113963) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $6.4 | — | -$0.58 | 49% 21335-21941 (43276) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 4690-4844 (9534) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 8093-6557 (14650) |
GA gansinimenCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 14010-13336 (27346) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 11844-8645 (20489) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 87102-81310 (168412) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 49202-35356 (84558) |
TH thismonthCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 556-814 (1370) |
ST std0CTR<$100 | Upavg 20.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 67% 51803-25680 (77483) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 27936-17377 (45313) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 19843-10779 (30622) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 23018-18619 (41637) |
RO Rock.San<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 89% 10904-1389 (12293) |
Invested
$157.95
Value
$180
PnL
+$22.05
Record
54%
9773-8307 (18080)
Invested
$38.91
Value
—
PnL
-$38.91
Record
60%
11624-7600 (19224)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
70632-22093 (92725)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
11914-9199 (21113)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3576-2779 (6355)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
36681-25997 (62678)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
64885-49078 (113963)
Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.58
Record
49%
21335-21941 (43276)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
4690-4844 (9534)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8093-6557 (14650)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
14010-13336 (27346)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
11844-8645 (20489)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
87102-81310 (168412)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
49202-35356 (84558)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
556-814 (1370)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
51803-25680 (77483)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
27936-17377 (45313)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
19843-10779 (30622)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
23018-18619 (41637)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
10904-1389 (12293)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
thesidehustle
Down — $180
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
CTRUp — $0
Bonereaper
CTRUp — $0
FairValueMachine
CTRUp — $0
arcsine-barrister
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm0
CTRUp — $0
machinelearned
CTRUp — $0