Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

Total Value

$268.18

Combined PnL

-$25.7

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 23 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down16 traders

Total Value$268.18

Total Shares268

Combined PnL-$17.15

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares10

Combined PnL-$8.55

Down — 70%Up — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 74.3¢	$227.84	$224.19	-$3.65	54% 9773-8307 (18080)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Downavg 67¢	$57.49	$43.99	-$13.5	60% 11624-7600 (19224)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100	Upavg 59¢	$18.35	—	-$8.55	55% 6845-5601 (12446)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Upavg 32.9¢	—	—	+$0	76% 70632-22093 (92725)
FairValueMachine<$100	Downavg 58.4¢	—	—	+$0	56% 11914-9199 (21113)
AR arcsine-barrister<$100	Down	—	—	+$0	56% 3576-2779 (6355)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	84% 54207-10055 (64262)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 34.9¢	—	—	+$0	59% 36681-25997 (62678)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Upavg 37.5¢	—	—	+$0	49% 21335-21941 (43276)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 70.5¢	—	—	+$0	66% 118014-62112 (180126)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Downavg 51.8¢	—	—	+$0	49% 4690-4844 (9534)
machinelearned<$100	Downavg 94.9¢	—	—	+$0	55% 8093-6557 (14650)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 75.3¢	—	—	+$0	59% 16227-11170 (27397)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	—	—	+$0	93% 21574-1680 (23254)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 69.3¢	—	—	+$0	52% 87102-81310 (168412)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 46.5¢	—	—	+$0	58% 49202-35356 (84558)
TH THG.<$100	Downavg 99¢	—	—	+$0	56% 28143-21918 (50061)
ST std0<$100	Downavg 89.7¢	—	—	+$0	67% 51803-25680 (77483)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	52% 17120-15945 (33065)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100	Downavg 71.2¢	—	—	+$0	62% 27936-17377 (45313)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 58.6¢	—	—	+$0	56% 16429-13163 (29592)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 88¢	—	—	+$0	65% 19843-10779 (30622)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Downavg 72.3¢	—	—	+$0	55% 23018-18619 (41637)