Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 71%
$9.4K
-$6.8
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $7.3K | $7.3K | +$5.25 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99.9¢ | $991.01 | $992 | +$0.99 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
SE seeeeeeb | Downavg 99¢ | $267.3 | $270 | +$2.7 | 49% 379-391 (770) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 99¢ | $148.58 | $150.08 | +$1.5 | 64% 19321-10933 (30254) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 91.9¢ | $116.29 | $122.32 | +$6.03 | 60% 11574-7558 (19132) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 63.1¢ | $110.11 | $155 | +$44.89 | 56% 11840-9145 (20985) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.9¢ | $86.3 | — | -$86.3 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 78.8¢ | $87.64 | $67.14 | -$20.5 | 55% 6790-5568 (12358) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 66¢ | $92.4 | $140 | +$47.6 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 82.7¢ | $70.9 | $65.29 | -$5.62 | 49% 4659-4793 (9452) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $46.6 | $60 | +$13.4 | 60% 9512-6329 (15841) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $40.78 | $68.23 | +$27.45 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.6¢ | $16.81 | — | -$16.81 | 51% 17725-17052 (34777) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $31.39 | $25.31 | -$6.09 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $17 | — | -$17 | 55% 22971-18570 (41541) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 59% 44281-30660 (74941) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
RO Rock.San | Downavg 99.9¢ | $2.4K | — | +$4.5 | 88% 9905-1327 (11232) |
Invested
$7,292.76
Value
$7.3K
PnL
+$5.25
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
Invested
$991.01
Value
$992
PnL
+$0.99
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
Invested
$267.3
Value
$270
PnL
+$2.7
Record
49%
379-391 (770)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$148.58
Value
$150.08
PnL
+$1.5
Record
64%
19321-10933 (30254)
Invested
$116.29
Value
$122.32
PnL
+$6.03
Record
60%
11574-7558 (19132)
FairValueMachineInvested
$110.11
Value
$155
PnL
+$44.89
Record
56%
11840-9145 (20985)
Invested
$86.3
Value
—
PnL
-$86.3
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$87.64
Value
$67.14
PnL
-$20.5
Record
55%
6790-5568 (12358)
Invested
$92.4
Value
$140
PnL
+$47.6
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$70.9
Value
$65.29
PnL
-$5.62
Record
49%
4659-4793 (9452)
Invested
$46.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$13.4
Record
60%
9512-6329 (15841)
Invested
$40.78
Value
$68.23
PnL
+$27.45
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$16.81
Value
—
PnL
-$16.81
Record
51%
17725-17052 (34777)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$31.39
Value
$25.31
PnL
-$6.09
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
Invested
$17
Value
—
PnL
-$17
Record
55%
22971-18570 (41541)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
59%
44281-30660 (74941)
Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Invested
$2,447.27
Value
—
PnL
+$4.5
Record
88%
9905-1327 (11232)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $7.3K
hoodquant
Down — $992
seeeeeeb
Down — $270
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $150.08
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $122.32
FairValueMachine
Down — $155
Bonereaper
CTRUp — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $67.14
uninformedfloww
Down — $140
ply-pm0
Down — $65.29