Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
37
Down 54%
$5.8K
$-2.7K
Smart Money Signal
20 of 37 top traders (54%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 59.3¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | 56% 13639-10672 (24311) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.05 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Upavg 73.9¢ | $990.44 | — | -$990.44 | 56% 7008-5446 (12454) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $847.19 | $855.75 | +$8.56 | 60% 19605-12902 (32507) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 38.5¢ | $852.59 | $1.2K | +$299.91 | 56% 14709-11382 (26091) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 54.9¢ | $456.75 | $675.99 | +$219.24 | 78% 9098-2615 (11713) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 52.8¢ | $384.53 | — | -$384.53 | 55% 13093-10519 (23612) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 83.3¢ | $359.86 | $359.39 | -$0.47 | 60% 11574-7558 (19132) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 73.7¢ | $181.41 | — | -$181.41 | 56% 7872-6275 (14147) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Upavg 40.4¢ | $231.28 | — | -$231.28 | 49% 4659-4793 (9452) |
TH thesidehustleCTR | Upavg 43.4¢ | $121.44 | — | -$121.44 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
ST std0CTR | Upavg 78¢ | $175.74 | — | -$175.74 | 69% 45182-19837 (65019) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $197.32 | $203.65 | +$6.33 | 57% 11146-8378 (19524) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 57.4¢ | $239.4 | $242.17 | +$2.76 | 55% 6790-5568 (12358) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bCTR | Upavg 81.8¢ | $131.69 | — | -$131.69 | 62% 27876-17330 (45206) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 70.3¢ | $251.64 | $280.96 | +$29.32 | 56% 11840-9145 (20985) |
SP spartacrayCTR | Upavg 76¢ | $102.44 | — | -$102.44 | 53% 26492-23689 (50181) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 91.6¢ | $82.17 | — | -$82.17 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.6¢ | $7.28 | — | -$7.28 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.5¢ | $38.39 | — | -$38.39 | 68% 94633-44122 (138755) |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 97¢ | $129.46 | $96 | -$33.46 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62.7¢ | $58.39 | $46.93 | -$11.11 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.7¢ | $9.44 | — | -$9.44 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 39.2¢ | $41.62 | $66.07 | +$24.45 | 55% 22971-18570 (41541) |
 ohioism | Downavg 28¢ | $29.05 | $103.57 | +$74.52 | 64% 37926-21432 (59358) |
Invested
$1,264.34
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
56%
13639-10672 (24311)
Invested
$1,093.95
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.05
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
Invested
$990.44
Value
—
PnL
-$990.44
Record
56%
7008-5446 (12454)
Invested
$847.19
Value
$855.75
PnL
+$8.56
Record
60%
19605-12902 (32507)
Invested
$852.59
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$299.91
Record
56%
14709-11382 (26091)
NIULAI4Invested
$456.75
Value
$675.99
PnL
+$219.24
Record
78%
9098-2615 (11713)
Invested
$384.53
Value
—
PnL
-$384.53
Record
55%
13093-10519 (23612)
Invested
$359.86
Value
$359.39
PnL
-$0.47
Record
60%
11574-7558 (19132)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$181.41
Value
—
PnL
-$181.41
Record
56%
7872-6275 (14147)
Invested
$231.28
Value
—
PnL
-$231.28
Record
49%
4659-4793 (9452)
Invested
$121.44
Value
—
PnL
-$121.44
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$175.74
Value
—
PnL
-$175.74
Record
69%
45182-19837 (65019)
Invested
$197.32
Value
$203.65
PnL
+$6.33
Record
57%
11146-8378 (19524)
Invested
$239.4
Value
$242.17
PnL
+$2.76
Record
55%
6790-5568 (12358)
Invested
$131.69
Value
—
PnL
-$131.69
Record
62%
27876-17330 (45206)
FairValueMachineInvested
$251.64
Value
$280.96
PnL
+$29.32
Record
56%
11840-9145 (20985)
Invested
$102.44
Value
—
PnL
-$102.44
Record
53%
26492-23689 (50181)
Invested
$82.17
Value
—
PnL
-$82.17
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$7.28
Value
—
PnL
-$7.28
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$38.39
Value
—
PnL
-$38.39
Record
68%
94633-44122 (138755)
Invested
$129.46
Value
$96
PnL
-$33.46
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$58.39
Value
$46.93
PnL
-$11.11
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$9.44
Value
—
PnL
-$9.44
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$41.62
Value
$66.07
PnL
+$24.45
Record
55%
22971-18570 (41541)
ohioismInvested
$29.05
Value
$103.57
PnL
+$74.52
Record
64%
37926-21432 (59358)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $1.1K
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
THG.
Down — $855.75
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $1.2K
NIULAI4
Down — $675.99
GoodFallen
CTRUp — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $359.39
machinelearned
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm0
CTRUp — $0