Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 59%

Total Value

$4.9K

Combined PnL

-$243.08

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 29 top traders (55%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down16 traders

Total Value$4.9K

Total Shares4,900

Combined PnL+$217.58

Up13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,130

Combined PnL-$460.66

Down — 55%Up — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 88.5¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$27.27	56% 7008-5446 (12454)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 87.2¢	$768.43	$741.95	-$26.48	56% 13639-10672 (24311)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 69.1¢	$690.01	$703.2	+$13.19	56% 14709-11382 (26091)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 73.5¢	$353.44	$410.85	+$57.41	55% 13093-10519 (23612)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 75.5¢	$282.33	$304.81	+$22.48	55% 6790-5568 (12358)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Downavg 94.8¢	$284.54	$300	+$15.46	51% 17725-17052 (34777)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Downavg 79.2¢	$213.38	$226.07	+$12.69	62% 27876-17330 (45206)
SP spartacray	Downavg 77¢	$140.23	$171.06	+$30.83	53% 26492-23689 (50181)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 76.5¢	$140.92	$147.07	+$6.15	56% 11714-9251 (20965)
OhioRiskManagement	Downavg 95¢	$119.29	$101.04	-$18.25	50% 68021-68968 (136989)
GA gansinimen<$100	Downavg 69¢	$69.99	$99.99	+$30	51% 13809-13174 (26983)
FairValueMachineCTR	Upavg 42.6¢	$120.52	—	-$120.52	56% 11840-9145 (20985)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Downavg 71¢	$71.03	$100.04	+$29.01	58% 55142-40208 (95350)
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100	Upavg 51.1¢	$86.46	—	-$86.46	60% 11574-7558 (19132)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$52.7	$53.23	+$0.53	93% 20886-1673 (22559)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 87.2¢	$37.83	$43.39	+$5.56	53% 70410-63019 (133429)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 22.7¢	$70.69	—	-$70.69	56% 15511-12385 (27896)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Upavg 27.2¢	$44.69	—	-$44.69	49% 4659-4793 (9452)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 82¢	$33.57	$40.94	+$7.37	58% 11584-8476 (20060)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 88¢	$32.06	$36.41	+$4.35	62% 14221-8902 (23123)
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100	Upavg 16¢	$15.25	—	-$15.25	55% 22971-18570 (41541)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Upavg 19.6¢	$35.38	—	-$35.38	56% 7872-6275 (14147)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$33.1	—	-$33.1	54% 9622-8161 (17783)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 28¢	$8.68	—	-$8.68	58% 35008-25112 (60120)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$6.72	—	-$6.72	74% 61575-21102 (82677)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$1,392.99

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$27.27

Record

56%

7008-5446 (12454)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$768.43

Value

$741.95

PnL

-$26.48

Record

56%

13639-10672 (24311)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$690.01

Value

$703.2

PnL

+$13.19

Record

56%

14709-11382 (26091)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$353.44

Value

$410.85

PnL

+$57.41

Record

55%

13093-10519 (23612)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$282.33

Value

$304.81

PnL

+$22.48

Record

55%

6790-5568 (12358)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down

Invested

$284.54

Value

$300

PnL

+$15.46

Record

51%

17725-17052 (34777)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down

Invested

$213.38

Value

$226.07

PnL

+$12.69

Record

62%

27876-17330 (45206)

spartacray

Down

Invested

$140.23

Value

$171.06

PnL

+$30.83

Record

53%

26492-23689 (50181)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$140.92

Value

$147.07

PnL

+$6.15

Record

56%

11714-9251 (20965)

OhioRiskManagement

Down

Invested

$119.29

Value

$101.04

PnL

-$18.25

Record

50%

68021-68968 (136989)

gansinimen<$100

Down

Invested

$69.99

Value

$99.99

PnL

+$30

Record

51%

13809-13174 (26983)

FairValueMachineCTR

Invested

$120.52

Value

—

PnL

-$120.52

Record

56%

11840-9145 (20985)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down

Invested

$71.03

Value

$100.04

PnL

+$29.01

Record

58%

55142-40208 (95350)

Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100

Invested

$86.46

Value

—

PnL

-$86.46

Record

60%

11574-7558 (19132)

hoodquant<$100

Down

Invested

$52.7

Value

$53.23

PnL

+$0.53

Record

93%

20886-1673 (22559)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Down

Invested

$37.83

Value

$43.39

PnL

+$5.56

Record

53%

70410-63019 (133429)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$70.69

Value

—

PnL

-$70.69

Record

56%

15511-12385 (27896)

ply-pm0CTR<$100

Invested

$44.69

Value

—

PnL

-$44.69

Record

49%

4659-4793 (9452)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Down

Invested

$33.57

Value

$40.94

PnL

+$7.37

Record

58%

11584-8476 (20060)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$32.06

Value

$36.41

PnL

+$4.35

Record

62%

14221-8902 (23123)

sir-upalotCTR<$100

Invested

$15.25

Value

—

PnL

-$15.25

Record

55%

22971-18570 (41541)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Invested

$35.38

Value

—

PnL

-$35.38

Record

56%

7872-6275 (14147)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$33.1

Value

—

PnL

-$33.1

Record

54%

9622-8161 (17783)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$8.68

Value

—

PnL

-$8.68

Record

58%

35008-25112 (60120)

BonereaperCTR<$100

Invested

$6.72

Value

—

PnL

-$6.72

Record

74%

61575-21102 (82677)

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 29 top traders (55%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xabd0b399...0a8b2c

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793001600

Traders in this Market

wzbbb

Down — $1.4K

+$27.27

CrouchPredictions

Down — $741.95

-$26.48

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $703.2

+$13.19

GoodFallen

Down — $410.85

+$57.41

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down — $304.81

+$22.48

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $300

+$15.46

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down — $226.07

+$12.69

spartacray

Down — $171.06

+$30.83

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down — $147.07

+$6.15

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $101.04

-$18.25

Trade on Polymarket