Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 77%

Total Value

$4.6K

Combined PnL

$104.49

Smart Money Signal

22 of 29 top traders (76%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up22 traders

Total Value$4.6K

Total Shares4,618

Combined PnL+$306.83

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,364

Combined PnL-$202.34

Up — 76%Down — 24%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MayorMamdani	Upavg 98.9¢	$907.17	$917.72	+$10.55	58% 16454-12070 (28524)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$500.85	$477.82	-$23.03	83% 39878-8374 (48252)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 97.1¢	$356.49	$364	+$7.5	54% 9622-8161 (17783)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 95.7¢	$442.95	$331	-$111.95	56% 13639-10672 (24311)
machinelearned	Upavg 86.6¢	$269.98	$279.98	+$10	56% 7872-6275 (14147)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 71¢	$268.31	$321.42	+$53.1	56% 14709-11382 (26091)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 51.2¢	$227.38	$444	+$216.62	58% 35008-25112 (60120)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 93.1¢	$213.36	$222.56	+$9.2	62% 27876-17330 (45206)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 88.3¢	$212.52	$218.82	+$6.31	56% 11714-9251 (20965)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 93.6¢	$196.1	$206.25	+$10.15	50% 68021-68968 (136989)
pspspsps5	Upavg 96.3¢	$166.65	$173	+$6.35	59% 16037-10985 (27022)
SP spartacray	Upavg 84.3¢	$123.63	$140	+$16.37	53% 26492-23689 (50181)
BO BonereaperCTR	Downavg 38.2¢	$104.87	—	-$104.87	74% 61575-21102 (82677)
ohioism	Upavg 82¢	$123.07	$150.09	+$27.02	64% 37926-21432 (59358)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Upavg 65.1¢	$65.56	$93.3	+$27.74	55% 13093-10519 (23612)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 93.2¢	$41.95	$45	+$3.05	56% 15511-12385 (27896)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 82¢	$49.2	$60	+$10.8	66% 98923-50543 (149466)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 99.1¢	$48.48	$36.03	+$0.44	67% 14190-7009 (21199)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 80¢	$39.74	$44	+$4.26	60% 11574-7558 (19132)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 80¢	$40	$50	+$10	55% 22971-18570 (41541)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 63.9¢	$30.69	$43.01	+$12.31	56% 11840-9145 (20985)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Downavg 34.9¢	$48.56	—	-$48.56	49% 4659-4793 (9452)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 47.4¢	$14.05	—	-$14.05	59% 44281-30660 (74941)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 7.8¢	$15.13	—	-$15.13	56% 7008-5446 (12454)
VE Vega7CTR<$100	Downavg 0.9¢	$15	—	-$15	75% 2709-900 (3609)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$907.17

Value

$917.72

PnL

+$10.55

Record

58%

16454-12070 (28524)

0x50f7

Invested

$500.85

Value

$477.82

PnL

-$23.03

Record

83%

39878-8374 (48252)

thesidehustle

Invested

$356.49

Value

$364

PnL

+$7.5

Record

54%

9622-8161 (17783)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$442.95

Value

$331

PnL

-$111.95

Record

56%

13639-10672 (24311)

machinelearned

Invested

$269.98

Value

$279.98

PnL

+$10

Record

56%

7872-6275 (14147)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$268.31

Value

$321.42

PnL

+$53.1

Record

56%

14709-11382 (26091)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$227.38

Value

$444

PnL

+$216.62

Record

58%

35008-25112 (60120)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$213.36

Value

$222.56

PnL

+$9.2

Record

62%

27876-17330 (45206)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$212.52

Value

$218.82

PnL

+$6.31

Record

56%

11714-9251 (20965)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$196.1

Value

$206.25

PnL

+$10.15

Record

50%

68021-68968 (136989)

pspspsps5

Invested

$166.65

Value

$173

PnL

+$6.35

Record

59%

16037-10985 (27022)

spartacray

Invested

$123.63

Value

$140

PnL

+$16.37

Record

53%

26492-23689 (50181)

BonereaperCTR

Down

Invested

$104.87

Value

—

PnL

-$104.87

Record

74%

61575-21102 (82677)

ohioism

Invested

$123.07

Value

$150.09

PnL

+$27.02

Record

64%

37926-21432 (59358)

GoodFallen<$100

Invested

$65.56

Value

$93.3

PnL

+$27.74

Record

55%

13093-10519 (23612)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$41.95

Value

$45

PnL

+$3.05

Record

56%

15511-12385 (27896)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$49.2

Value

$60

PnL

+$10.8

Record

66%

98923-50543 (149466)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$48.48

Value

$36.03

PnL

+$0.44

Record

67%

14190-7009 (21199)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$39.74

Value

$44

PnL

+$4.26

Record

60%

11574-7558 (19132)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$40

Value

$50

PnL

+$10

Record

55%

22971-18570 (41541)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$30.69

Value

$43.01

PnL

+$12.31

Record

56%

11840-9145 (20985)

ply-pm0CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$48.56

Value

—

PnL

-$48.56

Record

49%

4659-4793 (9452)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$14.05

Value

—

PnL

-$14.05

Record

59%

44281-30660 (74941)

wzbbbCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15.13

Value

—

PnL

-$15.13

Record

56%

7008-5446 (12454)

Vega7CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15

Value

—

PnL

-$15

Record

75%

2709-900 (3609)

Smart Money Signal

22 of 29 top traders (76%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x47e740f0...7fd497

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793001300

Traders in this Market

MayorMamdani

Up — $917.72

+$10.55

0x50f7

Up — $477.82

-$23.03

thesidehustle

Up — $364

+$7.5

CrouchPredictions

Up — $331

-$111.95

machinelearned

Up — $279.98

+$10

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $321.42

+$53.1

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $444

+$216.62

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Up — $222.56

+$9.2

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Up — $218.82

+$6.31

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $206.25

+$10.15

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