Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 72%
2 arb excluded
$1.1K
-$186.04
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 64.9¢ | $159.33 | $154.07 | -$5.26 | 56% 11714-9251 (20965) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bARB<$100 | Downavg 69.2¢ | $154.8 | $113.9 | -$40.9 | 62% 27876-17330 (45206) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.6¢ | $76.02 | — | -$76.02 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.2¢ | $78.79 | $113.9 | +$35.12 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 95¢ | $142.58 | $150.08 | +$7.5 | 58% 55142-40208 (95350) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 43.3¢ | $108.38 | — | -$108.38 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Upavg 48.7¢ | $122.06 | — | -$122.06 | 59% 44281-30660 (74941) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 62.2¢ | $90.55 | $91.88 | +$1.33 | 49% 4659-4793 (9452) |
GA gansinimenARB<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $91.15 | $99.95 | +$8.81 | 51% 13809-13174 (26983) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69¢ | $68.97 | $99.95 | +$30.99 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.1¢ | $22.18 | — | -$22.18 | |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $92.78 | $61.47 | -$31.31 | 53% 26492-23689 (50181) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 83¢ | $83.04 | $100.05 | +$17.01 | 58% 11584-8476 (20060) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 61.2¢ | $67.53 | $59.74 | -$7.79 | 55% 22971-18570 (41541) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $10.02 | — | -$10.02 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $58.96 | $88 | +$29.04 | 55% 6790-5568 (12358) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $51.99 | $61.19 | +$9.2 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $35.15 | $37 | +$1.85 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $29.04 | $44 | +$14.96 | 60% 11574-7558 (19132) |
31 3123123121313<$100 | Downavg 59.6¢ | $26.35 | $19.21 | +$16.41 | 55% 652-524 (1176) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $15.9 | $30 | +$14.1 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.4¢ | $11.1 | — | -$11.1 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.5¢ | $3.51 | — | -$3.51 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $2.55 | $4.55 | +$2 | 51% 17725-17052 (34777) |
Invested
$159.33
Value
$154.07
PnL
-$5.26
Record
56%
11714-9251 (20965)
Invested
$154.8
Value
$113.9
PnL
-$40.9
Record
62%
27876-17330 (45206)
Both legs:
Invested
$142.58
Value
$150.08
PnL
+$7.5
Record
58%
55142-40208 (95350)
Invested
$108.38
Value
—
PnL
-$108.38
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$122.06
Value
—
PnL
-$122.06
Record
59%
44281-30660 (74941)
Invested
$90.55
Value
$91.88
PnL
+$1.33
Record
49%
4659-4793 (9452)
Invested
$91.15
Value
$99.95
PnL
+$8.81
Record
51%
13809-13174 (26983)
Both legs:
Invested
$92.78
Value
$61.47
PnL
-$31.31
Record
53%
26492-23689 (50181)
Invested
$83.04
Value
$100.05
PnL
+$17.01
Record
58%
11584-8476 (20060)
Invested
$67.53
Value
$59.74
PnL
-$7.79
Record
55%
22971-18570 (41541)
Invested
$10.02
Value
—
PnL
-$10.02
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
Invested
$58.96
Value
$88
PnL
+$29.04
Record
55%
6790-5568 (12358)
Invested
$51.99
Value
$61.19
PnL
+$9.2
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$35.15
Value
$37
PnL
+$1.85
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$29.04
Value
$44
PnL
+$14.96
Record
60%
11574-7558 (19132)
Invested
$26.35
Value
$19.21
PnL
+$16.41
Record
55%
652-524 (1176)
Invested
$15.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$14.1
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$11.1
Value
—
PnL
-$11.1
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Invested
$3.51
Value
—
PnL
-$3.51
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$4.55
PnL
+$2
Record
51%
17725-17052 (34777)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $154.07
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $150.08
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm0
Down — $91.88
gansinimen
ARBArbitrage — excluded
spartacray
Down — $61.47
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $100.05
sir-upalot
Down — $59.74