Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Down 63%
$2.0K
$317.29
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 52.1Β’ | $471.88 | $903.61 | +$431.73 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Upavg 48.2Β’ | $226.41 | β | -$226.41 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 68.3Β’ | $145.48 | $212.07 | +$66.59 | 55% 22971-18570 (41541) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 54Β’ | $162.01 | $300 | +$137.99 | 51% 17725-17052 (34777) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 68.8Β’ | $117.93 | $167.45 | +$49.53 | 55% 6790-5568 (12358) |
AS asidjasiodja | Downavg 93.4Β’ | $113.16 | $104.22 | -$3.48 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR | Upavg 51.4Β’ | $127.23 | β | -$127.23 | 60% 11574-7558 (19132) |
![]() ohioism | Downavg 78Β’ | $78.11 | $100.14 | +$22.03 | 64% 37926-21432 (59358) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $53.52 | $40 | -$13.52 | 62% 27876-17330 (45206) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.2Β’ | $60.62 | β | -$60.62 | 49% 4659-4793 (9452) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 65.7Β’ | $60.08 | $91.45 | +$31.37 | 53% 26492-23689 (50181) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $41.2 | $40 | -$1.2 | 56% 11714-9251 (20965) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $23.3 | $46.59 | +$23.3 | 59% 44281-30660 (74941) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4Β’ | $2.07 | β | -$2.07 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.1Β’ | $10.25 | β | -$10.25 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $0.45 | β | -$0.45 | 59% 16037-10985 (27022) |
Invested
$471.88
Value
$903.61
PnL
+$431.73
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$226.41
Value
β
PnL
-$226.41
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$145.48
Value
$212.07
PnL
+$66.59
Record
55%
22971-18570 (41541)
Invested
$162.01
Value
$300
PnL
+$137.99
Record
51%
17725-17052 (34777)
Invested
$117.93
Value
$167.45
PnL
+$49.53
Record
55%
6790-5568 (12358)
Invested
$113.16
Value
$104.22
PnL
-$3.48
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$127.23
Value
β
PnL
-$127.23
Record
60%
11574-7558 (19132)
ohioismInvested
$78.11
Value
$100.14
PnL
+$22.03
Record
64%
37926-21432 (59358)
Invested
$53.52
Value
$40
PnL
-$13.52
Record
62%
27876-17330 (45206)
Invested
$60.62
Value
β
PnL
-$60.62
Record
49%
4659-4793 (9452)
Invested
$60.08
Value
$91.45
PnL
+$31.37
Record
53%
26492-23689 (50181)
Invested
$41.2
Value
$40
PnL
-$1.2
Record
56%
11714-9251 (20965)
Invested
$23.3
Value
$46.59
PnL
+$23.3
Record
59%
44281-30660 (74941)
Invested
$2.07
Value
β
PnL
-$2.07
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
Invested
$10.25
Value
β
PnL
-$10.25
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
β
PnL
-$0.45
Record
59%
16037-10985 (27022)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $903.61
Bonereaper
CTRUp β $0
sir-upalot
Down β $212.07
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down β $300
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down β $167.45
asidjasiodja
Down β $104.22
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
Down β $100.14
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
Down β $40
ply-pm0
CTRUp β $0