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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 77%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$9.9K

Combined PnL

-$804.78

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 14 top traders (79%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$9.8K

Total Shares9,785

Combined PnL+$119.57

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,448

Combined PnL-$924.35

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$9.0K	$9.0K	+$9.01	83% 39878-8374 (48252)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 43.5¢	$864.15	—	-$864.15	58% 35008-25112 (60120)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 92.9¢	$278.8	$300	+$21.2	51% 17725-17052 (34777)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 86¢	$117.44	$132	+$14.56	55% 6790-5568 (12358)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bARB<$100	Upavg 66.3¢	$70.32	$68.47	-$1.85	62% 27876-17330 (45206)
└ Down leg	Downavg 28.6¢	$24.94	—	-$24.94
└ Up leg	Upavg 66.3¢	$45.38	$68.47	+$23.09
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 58.1¢	$36.14	$60.2	+$25.77	66% 98923-50543 (149466)
SP spartacrayARB<$100	Upavg 80¢	$58.91	$40	-$18.91	53% 26492-23689 (50181)
└ Down leg	Downavg 37.4¢	$26.91	—	-$26.91
└ Up leg	Upavg 80¢	$32	$40	+$8
GA gansinimen	Upavg 75.7¢	$75.69	$100	+$24.31	51% 13809-13174 (26983)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Downavg 21.7¢	$46.35	—	-$46.35	49% 4659-4793 (9452)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 89.6¢	$76.46	$37.35	+$8.41	62% 14221-8902 (23123)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 88.5¢	$35.02	$39.57	+$4.55	53% 70410-63019 (133429)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 97¢	$44.65	$25.4	-$19.25	64% 19321-10933 (30254)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 85.3¢	$26.3	$28.27	+$1.98	60% 11574-7558 (19132)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 48.3¢	$27.15	$56.2	+$29.05	59% 44281-30660 (74941)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 4¢	$13.84	—	-$13.84	59% 16037-10985 (27022)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	52% 16869-15701 (32570)

Invested

$8,997.01

Value

$9.0K

PnL

+$9.01

Record

83%

39878-8374 (48252)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$864.15

Value

—

PnL

-$864.15

Record

58%

35008-25112 (60120)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$278.8

Value

$300

PnL

+$21.2

Record

51%

17725-17052 (34777)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$117.44

Value

$132

PnL

+$14.56

Record

55%

6790-5568 (12358)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bARB<$100

Invested

$70.32

Value

$68.47

PnL

-$1.85

Record

62%

27876-17330 (45206)

Both legs:

Down$24.9428.6¢-$24.94

Up$45.3866.3¢+$23.09

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$36.14

Value

$60.2

PnL

+$25.77

Record

66%

98923-50543 (149466)

spartacrayARB<$100

Invested

$58.91

Value

$40

PnL

-$18.91

Record

53%

26492-23689 (50181)

Both legs:

Down$26.9137.4¢-$26.91

Invested

$75.69

Value

$100

PnL

+$24.31

Record

51%

13809-13174 (26983)

ply-pm0CTR<$100

Invested

$46.35

Value

—

PnL

-$46.35

Record

49%

4659-4793 (9452)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$76.46

Value

$37.35

PnL

+$8.41

Record

62%

14221-8902 (23123)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$35.02

Value

$39.57

PnL

+$4.55

Record

53%

70410-63019 (133429)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$44.65

Value

$25.4

PnL

-$19.25

Record

64%

19321-10933 (30254)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$26.3

Value

$28.27

PnL

+$1.98

Record

60%

11574-7558 (19132)

Invested

$27.15

Value

$56.2

PnL

+$29.05

Record

59%

44281-30660 (74941)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$13.84

Value

—

PnL

-$13.84

Record

59%

16037-10985 (27022)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

16869-15701 (32570)

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 14 top traders (79%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0a50a71e...524f35

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792998000

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $9.0K

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $300

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $132

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Arbitrage — excluded

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $60.2

spartacray

Arbitrage — excluded

gansinimen

Up — $100

ply-pm0

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $37.35

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