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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 91%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$163.67

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 11 top traders (91%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,023

Combined PnL+$216.57

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares100

Combined PnL-$52.9

Up — 91%Down — 9%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 51.8¢	$180.69	$250.57	+$69.88	62% 27876-17330 (45206)
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Upavg 60.1¢	$169.8	$161.65	-$8.15	49% 4659-4793 (9452)
└ Up leg	Upavg 60.1¢	$97.19	$161.65	+$64.46
└ Down leg	Downavg 27.1¢	$72.6	—	-$72.6
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 61.8¢	$169.64	$175.99	+$6.35	55% 6790-5568 (12358)
SP spartacray	Upavg 56.1¢	$137.5	$184.09	+$46.59	53% 26492-23689 (50181)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 58.6¢	$134.66	$136.24	+$2.08	60% 11574-7558 (19132)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 36¢	$52.9	—	-$52.9	58% 55142-40208 (95350)
SI sir-upalotARB<$100	Upavg 44¢	$39	$50	+$11	55% 22971-18570 (41541)
└ Down leg	Downavg 34¢	$17	—	-$17
└ Up leg	Upavg 44¢	$22	$50	+$28
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 50¢	$53.6	$107.19	+$53.6	51% 17725-17052 (34777)
BO Bonereaper<$100	Upavg 37.3¢	$30.81	$56	+$25.19	74% 61575-21102 (82677)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 91.1¢	$40.46	$44.44	+$3.98	62% 14221-8902 (23123)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 66¢	$26.37	$32	+$5.63	64% 37926-21432 (59358)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 78¢	$21.84	$28	+$6.16	66% 98923-50543 (149466)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$10.89	$8	-$2.89	53% 70410-63019 (133429)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$180.69

Value

$250.57

PnL

+$69.88

Record

62%

27876-17330 (45206)

ply-pm0ARB<$100

Invested

$169.8

Value

$161.65

PnL

-$8.15

Record

49%

4659-4793 (9452)

Both legs:

Up$97.1960.1¢+$64.46

Down$72.627.1¢-$72.6

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$169.64

Value

$175.99

PnL

+$6.35

Record

55%

6790-5568 (12358)

Invested

$137.5

Value

$184.09

PnL

+$46.59

Record

53%

26492-23689 (50181)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$134.66

Value

$136.24

PnL

+$2.08

Record

60%

11574-7558 (19132)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$52.9

Value

—

PnL

-$52.9

Record

58%

55142-40208 (95350)

sir-upalotARB<$100

Invested

$39

Value

$50

PnL

+$11

Record

55%

22971-18570 (41541)

Both legs:

Down$1734¢-$17

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$53.6

Value

$107.19

PnL

+$53.6

Record

51%

17725-17052 (34777)

Bonereaper<$100

Invested

$30.81

Value

$56

PnL

+$25.19

Record

74%

61575-21102 (82677)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$40.46

Value

$44.44

PnL

+$3.98

Record

62%

14221-8902 (23123)

Invested

$26.37

Value

$32

PnL

+$5.63

Record

64%

37926-21432 (59358)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$21.84

Value

$28

PnL

+$6.16

Record

66%

98923-50543 (149466)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$10.89

Value

$8

PnL

-$2.89

Record

53%

70410-63019 (133429)

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 11 top traders (91%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x60c12a70...57ecdb

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792997700

Traders in this Market

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Up — $250.57

ply-pm0

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $175.99

spartacray

Up — $184.09

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $136.24

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

sir-upalot

Arbitrage — excluded

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $107.19

Bonereaper

Up — $56

asidjasiodja

Up — $44.44

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