Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 54%

14 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

$192.66

Smart Money Signal

8 of 15 top traders (53%)14 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares650

Combined PnL-$50.58

Up8 traders

Total Value$553.72

Total Shares554

Combined PnL+$243.24

Down — 47%Up — 53%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100	Downavg 44.5¢	$559.93	$681.41	+$121.48	56% 13639-10672 (24311)
└ Up leg	Upavg 38.9¢	$265.19	$681.41	+$416.22
└ Down leg	Downavg 44.5¢	$294.74	—	-$294.74
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Downavg 51.9¢	$436.17	$352.63	-$83.54	56% 14709-11382 (26091)
└ Down leg	Downavg 51.9¢	$273.87	—	-$273.87
└ Up leg	Upavg 46¢	$162.3	$352.63	+$190.33
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$15.1	—	-$15.1	83% 39878-8374 (48252)
WZ wzbbbARB<$100	Downavg 60.8¢	$240.68	$166.17	-$74.51	56% 7008-5446 (12454)
└ Down leg	Downavg 60.8¢	$157.78	—	-$157.78
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$82.89	$166.17	+$83.28
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingARB<$100	Upavg 58.5¢	$198.9	$186.58	-$12.33	60% 11574-7558 (19132)
└ Down leg	Downavg 42.8¢	$89.76	—	-$89.76
└ Up leg	Upavg 58.5¢	$109.14	$186.58	+$77.43
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Downavg 54.6¢	$166.9	$157.49	-$9.41	55% 13093-10519 (23612)
└ Down leg	Downavg 54.6¢	$98.77	—	-$98.77
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.3¢	$68.14	$157.49	+$89.35
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Downavg 63.7¢	$152.26	$155.01	+$2.75	84% 31418-5931 (37349)
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.9¢	$75.76	$155.01	+$79.25
└ Down leg	Downavg 63.7¢	$76.5	—	-$76.5
FairValueMachineARB<$100	Upavg 47.8¢	$127.91	$180	+$52.09	56% 11840-9145 (20985)
└ Up leg	Upavg 47.8¢	$86	$180	+$94
└ Down leg	Downavg 62.7¢	$41.91	—	-$41.91
TH thesidehustleARB<$100	Upavg 46.8¢	$92.06	$104.72	+$12.66	54% 9622-8161 (17783)
└ Down leg	Downavg 34.1¢	$43.09	—	-$43.09
└ Up leg	Upavg 46.8¢	$48.97	$104.72	+$55.75
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Upavg 65.3¢	$103.35	$89.53	-$13.83	49% 4659-4793 (9452)
└ Down leg	Downavg 32.5¢	$44.89	—	-$44.89
└ Up leg	Upavg 65.3¢	$58.47	$89.53	+$31.06
SP spartacrayARB<$100	Downavg 47.4¢	$106.62	$80	-$26.62	53% 26492-23689 (50181)
└ Down leg	Downavg 47.4¢	$53.42	—	-$53.42
└ Up leg	Upavg 66.5¢	$53.2	$80	+$26.8
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100	Upavg 77.3¢	$87.57	$93.2	+$7.74	55% 6790-5568 (12358)
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.3¢	$72	$93.2	+$19.44
└ Down leg	Downavg 14.9¢	$11.7	—	-$11.7
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Upavg 65.4¢	$112.29	$128.92	+$16.63	56% 15511-12385 (27896)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 44.1¢	$70.09	$158.75	+$88.66	74% 61575-21102 (82677)
machinelearnedARB<$100	Upavg 43.7¢	$67.19	$87.29	+$20.1	56% 7872-6275 (14147)
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.7¢	$38.19	$87.29	+$49.1
└ Down leg	Downavg 58¢	$29	—	-$29
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 53¢	$54.3	$60	+$5.7	90% 64816-7021 (71837)
└ Up leg	Upavg 37.5¢	$22.5	$60	+$37.5
└ Down leg	Downavg 53¢	$31.8	—	-$31.8
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bARB<$100	Downavg 63.5¢	$69.19	$40	-$29.19	62% 27876-17330 (45206)
└ Down leg	Downavg 63.5¢	$50.79	—	-$50.79
└ Up leg	Upavg 46¢	$18.4	$40	+$21.6
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 40.8¢	$35.34	$85.01	+$49.67	57% 11146-8378 (19524)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.4¢	$2.41	—	-$2.41	59% 16037-10985 (27022)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 73¢	$45.6	$62.47	+$16.87	66% 98923-50543 (149466)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 41.7¢	$22.38	$53.62	+$31.24	50% 68021-68968 (136989)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Upavg 43¢	$22.05	$51.29	+$29.24	14% 16230-96920 (113150)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 16.1¢	$8.03	—	-$8.03	53% 70410-63019 (133429)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$14.97	—	-$14.97	58% 35008-25112 (60120)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 71¢	$9.85	—	-$9.85	68% 94633-44122 (138755)

CrouchPredictionsARB<$100

Down

Invested

$559.93

Value

$681.41

PnL

+$121.48

Record

56%

13639-10672 (24311)

Both legs:

Up$265.1938.9¢+$416.22

Down$294.7444.5¢-$294.74

dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100

Down

Invested

$436.17

Value

$352.63

PnL

-$83.54

Record

56%

14709-11382 (26091)

Both legs:

Down$273.8751.9¢-$273.87

Up$162.346¢+$190.33

0x50f7CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15.1

Value

—

PnL

-$15.1

Record

83%

39878-8374 (48252)

wzbbbARB<$100

Down

Invested

$240.68

Value

$166.17

PnL

-$74.51

Record

56%

7008-5446 (12454)

Both legs:

Down$157.7860.8¢-$157.78

Up$82.8949.9¢+$83.28

Repentant-Dealer-GlidingARB<$100

Invested

$198.9

Value

$186.58

PnL

-$12.33

Record

60%

11574-7558 (19132)

Both legs:

Down$89.7642.8¢-$89.76

Up$109.1458.5¢+$77.43

GoodFallenARB<$100

Down

Invested

$166.9

Value

$157.49

PnL

-$9.41

Record

55%

13093-10519 (23612)

Both legs:

Down$98.7754.6¢-$98.77

Up$68.1443.3¢+$89.35

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100

Down

Invested

$152.26

Value

$155.01

PnL

+$2.75

Record

84%

31418-5931 (37349)

Both legs:

Up$75.7648.9¢+$79.25

Down$76.563.7¢-$76.5

FairValueMachineARB<$100

Invested

$127.91

Value

$180

PnL

+$52.09

Record

56%

11840-9145 (20985)

Both legs:

Up$8647.8¢+$94

Down$41.9162.7¢-$41.91

thesidehustleARB<$100

Invested

$92.06

Value

$104.72

PnL

+$12.66

Record

54%

9622-8161 (17783)

Both legs:

Down$43.0934.1¢-$43.09

Up$48.9746.8¢+$55.75

ply-pm0ARB<$100

Invested

$103.35

Value

$89.53

PnL

-$13.83

Record

49%

4659-4793 (9452)

Both legs:

Down$44.8932.5¢-$44.89

Up$58.4765.3¢+$31.06

spartacrayARB<$100

Down

Invested

$106.62

Value

$80

PnL

-$26.62

Record

53%

26492-23689 (50181)

Both legs:

Down$53.4247.4¢-$53.42

Up$53.266.5¢+$26.8

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100

Invested

$87.57

Value

$93.2

PnL

+$7.74

Record

55%

6790-5568 (12358)

Both legs:

Up$7277.3¢+$19.44

Down$11.714.9¢-$11.7

Kathod-Shi-14

Invested

$112.29

Value

$128.92

PnL

+$16.63

Record

56%

15511-12385 (27896)

Bonereaper

Invested

$70.09

Value

$158.75

PnL

+$88.66

Record

74%

61575-21102 (82677)

machinelearnedARB<$100

Invested

$67.19

Value

$87.29

PnL

+$20.1

Record

56%

7872-6275 (14147)

Both legs:

Up$38.1943.7¢+$49.1

Down$2958¢-$29

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$54.3

Value

$60

PnL

+$5.7

Record

90%

64816-7021 (71837)

Both legs:

Up$22.537.5¢+$37.5

Down$31.853¢-$31.8

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bARB<$100

Down

Invested

$69.19

Value

$40

PnL

-$29.19

Record

62%

27876-17330 (45206)

Both legs:

Down$50.7963.5¢-$50.79

Up$18.446¢+$21.6

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$35.34

Value

$85.01

PnL

+$49.67

Record

57%

11146-8378 (19524)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$2.41

Value

—

PnL

-$2.41

Record

59%

16037-10985 (27022)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$45.6

Value

$62.47

PnL

+$16.87

Record

66%

98923-50543 (149466)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$22.38

Value

$53.62

PnL

+$31.24

Record

50%

68021-68968 (136989)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Invested

$22.05

Value

$51.29

PnL

+$29.24

Record

14%

16230-96920 (113150)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$8.03

Value

—

PnL

-$8.03

Record

53%

70410-63019 (133429)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$14.97

Value

—

PnL

-$14.97

Record

58%

35008-25112 (60120)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$9.85

Value

—

PnL

-$9.85

Record

68%

94633-44122 (138755)

Smart Money Signal

8 of 15 top traders (53%)14 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x02e1ecd9...bb3ee8

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792997100

Traders in this Market

CrouchPredictions

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$121.48

dangerously-skip-permissions

Arbitrage — excluded

0x50f7

Down — $0

wzbbb

Arbitrage — excluded

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Arbitrage — excluded

GoodFallen

Arbitrage — excluded

Polkadot-Frog

Arbitrage — excluded

FairValueMachine

Arbitrage — excluded

thesidehustle

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm0

Arbitrage — excluded