Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Up 84%
$3.0K
$318.24
Smart Money Signal
28 of 34 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 74.8¢ | $380.43 | $390.91 | +$54.91 | 84% 30004-5919 (35923) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $362.34 | $366 | +$3.66 | 93% 20790-1670 (22460) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 90.1¢ | $295.57 | $324.73 | +$29.16 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
SP spartacray | Upavg 77.4¢ | $206.04 | $265.6 | +$59.56 | 56% 18874-14578 (33452) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Upavg 73.8¢ | $200.64 | $244.98 | +$44.35 | 62% 17052-10586 (27638) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 69.4¢ | $195.68 | $245.4 | +$49.72 | 56% 11705-9245 (20950) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 72.3¢ | $159.25 | $220 | +$60.75 | 55% 22563-18250 (40813) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 90.5¢ | $145.84 | $161.13 | +$15.3 | 50% 63712-64675 (128387) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 68.5¢ | $104.42 | $152.55 | +$48.13 | 57% 10962-8326 (19288) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 63.3¢ | $88.16 | $132 | +$43.84 | 60% 11565-7554 (19119) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 52¢ | $52.01 | $100.02 | +$48.01 | 60% 40387-26729 (67116) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $70.73 | $86.98 | +$16.25 | 56% 6981-5433 (12414) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $70.45 | $77 | +$6.55 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $14.01 | — | -$14.01 | 81% 33630-7895 (41525) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $61.31 | $66.99 | +$5.68 | 59% 15821-10942 (26763) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 82.7¢ | $49.28 | $57.14 | +$7.86 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.6¢ | $40.61 | — | -$40.61 | 49% 4649-4788 (9437) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $25.18 | $34.5 | +$9.32 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
 BossgirlCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.6¢ | $48.08 | — | -$48.08 | 54% 4070-3440 (7510) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.3¢ | $74.77 | — | -$74.77 | 78% 70963-20568 (91531) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $25.81 | $22 | -$3.81 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 74.6¢ | $19.35 | $16.08 | -$3.27 | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $9.57 | $10 | +$0.43 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 78.2¢ | $10.4 | $10.75 | +$0.35 | 56% 7729-6107 (13836) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $3.35 | $5 | +$1.65 | 55% 6784-5559 (12343) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$380.43
Value
$390.91
PnL
+$54.91
Record
84%
30004-5919 (35923)
Invested
$362.34
Value
$366
PnL
+$3.66
Record
93%
20790-1670 (22460)
Invested
$295.57
Value
$324.73
PnL
+$29.16
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
Invested
$206.04
Value
$265.6
PnL
+$59.56
Record
56%
18874-14578 (33452)
Invested
$200.64
Value
$244.98
PnL
+$44.35
Record
62%
17052-10586 (27638)
Invested
$195.68
Value
$245.4
PnL
+$49.72
Record
56%
11705-9245 (20950)
Invested
$159.25
Value
$220
PnL
+$60.75
Record
55%
22563-18250 (40813)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$145.84
Value
$161.13
PnL
+$15.3
Record
50%
63712-64675 (128387)
Invested
$104.42
Value
$152.55
PnL
+$48.13
Record
57%
10962-8326 (19288)
Invested
$88.16
Value
$132
PnL
+$43.84
Record
60%
11565-7554 (19119)
Invested
$52.01
Value
$100.02
PnL
+$48.01
Record
60%
40387-26729 (67116)
Invested
$70.73
Value
$86.98
PnL
+$16.25
Record
56%
6981-5433 (12414)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$70.45
Value
$77
PnL
+$6.55
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
Invested
$14.01
Value
—
PnL
-$14.01
Record
81%
33630-7895 (41525)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$61.31
Value
$66.99
PnL
+$5.68
Record
59%
15821-10942 (26763)
Invested
$49.28
Value
$57.14
PnL
+$7.86
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
Invested
$40.61
Value
—
PnL
-$40.61
Record
49%
4649-4788 (9437)
Invested
$25.18
Value
$34.5
PnL
+$9.32
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
BossgirlCTR<$100Invested
$48.08
Value
—
PnL
-$48.08
Record
54%
4070-3440 (7510)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$74.77
Value
—
PnL
-$74.77
Record
78%
70963-20568 (91531)
Invested
$25.81
Value
$22
PnL
-$3.81
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
Invested
$19.35
Value
$16.08
PnL
-$3.27
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
Invested
$9.57
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.43
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$10.4
Value
$10.75
PnL
+$0.35
Record
56%
7729-6107 (13836)
Invested
$3.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.65
Record
55%
6784-5559 (12343)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $390.91
hoodquant
Up — $366
thesidehustle
Up — $324.73
spartacray
Up — $265.6
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
Up — $244.98
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $245.4
sir-upalot
Up — $220
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $161.13
EZTRADENL2
Up — $152.55
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $132