Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 77%

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

-$175.24

Smart Money Signal

Down

18 of 29 top traders (62%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down18 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares2,477

Combined PnL+$369.03

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,708

Combined PnL-$544.27

Down — 62%Up — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 82.9¢	$401.43	$476.44	+$75.01	84% 30004-5919 (35923)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Downavg 84.4¢	$230.93	$261.79	+$30.86	62% 17052-10586 (27638)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 72.1¢	$199.98	$243.21	+$43.23	56% 6981-5433 (12414)
OhioRiskManagement	Downavg 88.4¢	$192.21	$210.28	+$18.07	50% 63712-64675 (128387)
pspspsps5	Downavg 85.8¢	$159.67	$186.08	+$26.4	59% 15821-10942 (26763)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 84.5¢	$149.83	$173.97	+$24.13	56% 11705-9245 (20950)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 80¢	$137.6	$171.99	+$34.39	56% 34143-26515 (60658)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144	Downavg 78.1¢	$106.11	$114.68	+$8.58	71% 52280-21256 (73536)
SP spartacray	Downavg 84.4¢	$118.27	$115.37	-$2.91	56% 18874-14578 (33452)
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 88.8¢	$109.75	$108.31	-$1.44	54% 9586-8141 (17727)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Downavg 65.1¢	$69.56	$106.86	+$37.3	56% 15449-12313 (27762)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Downavg 68¢	$65.89	$89.67	+$26.88	60% 11565-7554 (19119)
machinelearnedCTR	Upavg 17.8¢	$127.67	—	-$127.67	56% 7729-6107 (13836)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 88¢	$52.8	$60	+$7.2	67% 90936-45666 (136602)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 69.7¢	$34.2	$49.04	+$14.84	77% 26186-7758 (33944)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 72.5¢	$33.73	$46.51	+$12.78	61% 14113-8870 (22983)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Downavg 89¢	$39.16	$44	+$4.84	55% 6784-5559 (12343)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Upavg 30¢	$337.28	—	-$337.28	72% 21641-8597 (30238)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Upavg 24¢	$31.79	—	-$31.79	49% 4649-4788 (9437)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 53¢	$10	$18.86	+$8.86	69% 90359-40826 (131185)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Upavg 35.8¢	$46.18	—	-$46.18	57% 10962-8326 (19288)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 9¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	52% 16764-15588 (32352)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100	Upavg 28.6¢	—	—	+$0	56% 14696-11378 (26074)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 13.8¢	—	—	+$0	89% 55321-6990 (62311)
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100	Upavg 16.2¢	—	—	+$0	55% 13081-10516 (23597)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$401.43

Value

$476.44

PnL

+$75.01

Record

84%

30004-5919 (35923)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down

Invested

$230.93

Value

$261.79

PnL

+$30.86

Record

62%

17052-10586 (27638)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$199.98

Value

$243.21

PnL

+$43.23

Record

56%

6981-5433 (12414)

OhioRiskManagement

Down

Invested

$192.21

Value

$210.28

PnL

+$18.07

Record

50%

63712-64675 (128387)

pspspsps5

Down

Invested

$159.67

Value

$186.08

PnL

+$26.4

Record

59%

15821-10942 (26763)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$149.83

Value

$173.97

PnL

+$24.13

Record

56%

11705-9245 (20950)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$137.6

Value

$171.99

PnL

+$34.39

Record

56%

34143-26515 (60658)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Down

Invested

$106.11

Value

$114.68

PnL

+$8.58

Record

71%

52280-21256 (73536)

spartacray

Down

Invested

$118.27

Value

$115.37

PnL

-$2.91

Record

56%

18874-14578 (33452)

thesidehustle

Down

Invested

$109.75

Value

$108.31

PnL

-$1.44

Record

54%

9586-8141 (17727)

Kathod-Shi-14

Down

Invested

$69.56

Value

$106.86

PnL

+$37.3

Record

56%

15449-12313 (27762)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Down

Invested

$65.89

Value

$89.67

PnL

+$26.88

Record

60%

11565-7554 (19119)

machinelearnedCTR

Invested

$127.67

Value

—

PnL

-$127.67

Record

56%

7729-6107 (13836)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$52.8

Value

$60

PnL

+$7.2

Record

67%

90936-45666 (136602)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$34.2

Value

$49.04

PnL

+$14.84

Record

77%

26186-7758 (33944)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$33.73

Value

$46.51

PnL

+$12.78

Record

61%

14113-8870 (22983)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Down

Invested

$39.16

Value

$44

PnL

+$4.84

Record

55%

6784-5559 (12343)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$337.28

Value

—

PnL

-$337.28

Record

72%

21641-8597 (30238)

ply-pm0CTR<$100

Invested

$31.79

Value

—

PnL

-$31.79

Record

49%

4649-4788 (9437)

antsaslyku<$100

Down

Invested

$10

Value

$18.86

PnL

+$8.86

Record

69%

90359-40826 (131185)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Invested

$46.18

Value

—

PnL

-$46.18

Record

57%

10962-8326 (19288)

devonpollCTR<$100

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

52%

16764-15588 (32352)

dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

14696-11378 (26074)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

89%

55321-6990 (62311)

GoodFallenCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

13081-10516 (23597)

Smart Money Signal

Down

18 of 29 top traders (62%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xe95633bf...5a392f

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792986600

Traders in this Market

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $476.44

+$75.01

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down — $261.79

+$30.86

wzbbb

Down — $243.21

+$43.23

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $210.28

+$18.07

pspspsps5

Down — $186.08

+$26.4

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down — $173.97

+$24.13

uninformedfloww

Down — $171.99

+$34.39

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Down — $114.68

+$8.58

spartacray

Down — $115.37

-$2.91

thesidehustle

Down — $108.31

-$1.44

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