Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 71%

Total Value

$6.6K

Combined PnL

$267.24

Smart Money Signal

Down

27 of 35 top traders (77%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down27 traders

Total Value$6.6K

Total Shares6,639

Combined PnL+$518.21

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,035

Combined PnL-$250.97

Down — 77%Up — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH THG.	Downavg 99¢	$2.7K	$2.7K	+$26.94	61% 18959-12142 (31101)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 72.6¢	$571.67	$641.62	+$69.95	56% 6981-5433 (12414)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98¢	$603.59	$615.95	+$12.36	93% 20790-1670 (22460)
machinelearned	Downavg 73.5¢	$348.74	$463.13	+$114.39	56% 7729-6107 (13836)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Downavg 69.9¢	$308.78	$391.82	+$83.04	62% 17052-10586 (27638)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 75.3¢	$327.05	$330	+$32.04	84% 30004-5919 (35923)
SP spartacray	Downavg 70.8¢	$230.82	$297.86	+$67.04	56% 18874-14578 (33452)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 71.4¢	$294.72	$293	-$1.73	56% 11705-9245 (20950)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 73.5¢	$127.25	$165.67	+$38.42	60% 11565-7554 (19119)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144	Downavg 71.6¢	$160.19	$150.1	-$10.08	71% 52280-21256 (73536)
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 81¢	$154.26	$119.98	-$34.28	54% 9586-8141 (17727)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 65.6¢	$61.82	$94.28	+$32.46	56% 15449-12313 (27762)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 74¢	$89.3	$77.57	-$8.43	67% 90936-45666 (136602)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR	Upavg 28¢	$103.22	—	-$103.22	55% 6784-5559 (12343)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 83.2¢	$50.74	$61.01	+$10.27	77% 26186-7758 (33944)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 41.6¢	$25.29	$60.82	+$35.53	72% 21641-8597 (30238)
Bossgirl<$100	Downavg 44¢	$24.2	$55	+$30.8	54% 4070-3440 (7510)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Downavg 80¢	$53	$50	-$3	55% 22563-18250 (40813)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 57.8¢	$28.9	$49.99	+$21.1	67% 14151-6979 (21130)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Upavg 16.7¢	$52.48	—	-$52.48	49% 4649-4788 (9437)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Upavg 39¢	$68.6	—	-$68.6	57% 10962-8326 (19288)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 98¢	$18.25	$16	-$2.25	61% 14113-8870 (22983)
GA gansinimen<$100	Downavg 69¢	$8.07	$11.69	+$3.62	51% 13795-13166 (26961)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 6.5¢	$15.78	—	-$15.78	50% 63712-64675 (128387)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$6.53	—	-$6.53	59% 15821-10942 (26763)

THG.

Down

Invested

$2,667.06

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$26.94

Record

61%

18959-12142 (31101)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$571.67

Value

$641.62

PnL

+$69.95

Record

56%

6981-5433 (12414)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$603.59

Value

$615.95

PnL

+$12.36

Record

93%

20790-1670 (22460)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$348.74

Value

$463.13

PnL

+$114.39

Record

56%

7729-6107 (13836)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down

Invested

$308.78

Value

$391.82

PnL

+$83.04

Record

62%

17052-10586 (27638)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$327.05

Value

$330

PnL

+$32.04

Record

84%

30004-5919 (35923)

spartacray

Down

Invested

$230.82

Value

$297.86

PnL

+$67.04

Record

56%

18874-14578 (33452)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$294.72

Value

$293

PnL

-$1.73

Record

56%

11705-9245 (20950)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$127.25

Value

$165.67

PnL

+$38.42

Record

60%

11565-7554 (19119)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Down

Invested

$160.19

Value

$150.1

PnL

-$10.08

Record

71%

52280-21256 (73536)

thesidehustle

Down

Invested

$154.26

Value

$119.98

PnL

-$34.28

Record

54%

9586-8141 (17727)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Down

Invested

$61.82

Value

$94.28

PnL

+$32.46

Record

56%

15449-12313 (27762)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$89.3

Value

$77.57

PnL

-$8.43

Record

67%

90936-45666 (136602)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR

Invested

$103.22

Value

—

PnL

-$103.22

Record

55%

6784-5559 (12343)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$50.74

Value

$61.01

PnL

+$10.27

Record

77%

26186-7758 (33944)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Down

Invested

$25.29

Value

$60.82

PnL

+$35.53

Record

72%

21641-8597 (30238)

Bossgirl<$100

Down

Invested

$24.2

Value

$55

PnL

+$30.8

Record

54%

4070-3440 (7510)

sir-upalot<$100

Down

Invested

$53

Value

$50

PnL

-$3

Record

55%

22563-18250 (40813)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$28.9

Value

$49.99

PnL

+$21.1

Record

67%

14151-6979 (21130)

ply-pm0CTR<$100

Invested

$52.48

Value

—

PnL

-$52.48

Record

49%

4649-4788 (9437)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Invested

$68.6

Value

—

PnL

-$68.6

Record

57%

10962-8326 (19288)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$18.25

Value

$16

PnL

-$2.25

Record

61%

14113-8870 (22983)

gansinimen<$100

Down

Invested

$8.07

Value

$11.69

PnL

+$3.62

Record

51%

13795-13166 (26961)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$15.78

Value

—

PnL

-$15.78

Record

50%

63712-64675 (128387)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$6.53

Value

—

PnL

-$6.53

Record

59%

15821-10942 (26763)

Smart Money Signal

Down

27 of 35 top traders (77%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x307ede8e...59e2bd

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792986300

Traders in this Market

THG.

Down — $2.7K

+$26.94

wzbbb

Down — $641.62

+$69.95

hoodquant

Down — $615.95

+$12.36

machinelearned

Down — $463.13

+$114.39

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down — $391.82

+$83.04

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $330

+$32.04

spartacray

Down — $297.86

+$67.04

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down — $293

-$1.73

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $165.67

+$38.42

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Down — $150.1

-$10.08

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