Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 74%

Total Value

$3.8K

Combined PnL

-$402.26

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 33 top traders (61%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down20 traders

Total Value$3.8K

Total Shares3,796

Combined PnL+$250.03

Up13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,049

Combined PnL-$652.3

Down — 61%Up — 39%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$996.3	$1.0K	+$10.27	93% 20790-1670 (22460)
TH THG.	Downavg 99¢	$615.83	$622.05	+$6.22	61% 18959-12142 (31101)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 78¢	$637.31	$550.34	-$57.27	84% 30004-5919 (35923)
OhioRiskManagement	Downavg 97.4¢	$214.26	$220	+$5.74	50% 63712-64675 (128387)
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 50¢	$91.2	$180	+$88.8	54% 9586-8141 (17727)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144	Downavg 53.6¢	$154.53	$147.37	-$7.15	71% 52280-21256 (73536)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 37.3¢	$86.85	$146.6	+$59.75	56% 34143-26515 (60658)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 62.6¢	$159.42	$146.41	-$13.02	56% 11705-9245 (20950)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR	Upavg 75.2¢	$125.55	—	-$125.55	55% 6784-5559 (12343)
WZ wzbbbCTR	Upavg 66.2¢	$244.21	—	-$244.21	56% 6981-5433 (12414)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Downavg 48¢	$73.25	$131.07	+$57.82	56% 15449-12313 (27762)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Downavg 73.5¢	$167.57	$121.42	-$46.15	62% 17052-10586 (27638)
BoneOhio	Downavg 36¢	$36.1	$100.29	+$64.18	78% 70963-20568 (91531)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 97¢	$86.62	$89.3	+$2.68	59% 15821-10942 (26763)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Upavg 42.1¢	$97.85	—	-$97.85	49% 4649-4788 (9437)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Downavg 55.7¢	$74.59	$74.55	-$0.04	60% 11565-7554 (19119)
machinelearned<$100	Downavg 38.1¢	$41.77	$68.86	+$27.09	56% 7729-6107 (13836)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 73.3¢	$64.99	$54.57	-$10.42	69% 90359-40826 (131185)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Downavg 29.1¢	$13.86	$47.58	+$33.71	57% 10962-8326 (19288)
SP spartacrayCTR	Upavg 65.1¢	$118.97	—	-$118.97	56% 18874-14578 (33452)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 69¢	$23.48	$31.22	+$7.74	77% 26186-7758 (33944)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Downavg 55¢	$15.58	$28.33	+$12.75	55% 22563-18250 (40813)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 90¢	$13.8	$15.33	+$1.53	67% 14151-6979 (21130)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 67.5¢	$19.94	$14.47	+$5.8	61% 14113-8870 (22983)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 3.2¢	$40.56	—	-$40.56	81% 33630-7895 (41525)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$996.3

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$10.27

Record

93%

20790-1670 (22460)

THG.

Down

Invested

$615.83

Value

$622.05

PnL

+$6.22

Record

61%

18959-12142 (31101)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$637.31

Value

$550.34

PnL

-$57.27

Record

84%

30004-5919 (35923)

OhioRiskManagement

Down

Invested

$214.26

Value

$220

PnL

+$5.74

Record

50%

63712-64675 (128387)

thesidehustle

Down

Invested

$91.2

Value

$180

PnL

+$88.8

Record

54%

9586-8141 (17727)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Down

Invested

$154.53

Value

$147.37

PnL

-$7.15

Record

71%

52280-21256 (73536)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$86.85

Value

$146.6

PnL

+$59.75

Record

56%

34143-26515 (60658)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$159.42

Value

$146.41

PnL

-$13.02

Record

56%

11705-9245 (20950)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR

Invested

$125.55

Value

—

PnL

-$125.55

Record

55%

6784-5559 (12343)

wzbbbCTR

Invested

$244.21

Value

—

PnL

-$244.21

Record

56%

6981-5433 (12414)

Kathod-Shi-14

Down

Invested

$73.25

Value

$131.07

PnL

+$57.82

Record

56%

15449-12313 (27762)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down

Invested

$167.57

Value

$121.42

PnL

-$46.15

Record

62%

17052-10586 (27638)

BoneOhio

Down

Invested

$36.1

Value

$100.29

PnL

+$64.18

Record

78%

70963-20568 (91531)

pspspsps5<$100

Down

Invested

$86.62

Value

$89.3

PnL

+$2.68

Record

59%

15821-10942 (26763)

ply-pm0CTR<$100

Invested

$97.85

Value

—

PnL

-$97.85

Record

49%

4649-4788 (9437)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Down

Invested

$74.59

Value

$74.55

PnL

-$0.04

Record

60%

11565-7554 (19119)

machinelearned<$100

Down

Invested

$41.77

Value

$68.86

PnL

+$27.09

Record

56%

7729-6107 (13836)

antsaslyku<$100

Down

Invested

$64.99

Value

$54.57

PnL

-$10.42

Record

69%

90359-40826 (131185)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Down

Invested

$13.86

Value

$47.58

PnL

+$33.71

Record

57%

10962-8326 (19288)

spartacrayCTR

Invested

$118.97

Value

—

PnL

-$118.97

Record

56%

18874-14578 (33452)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$23.48

Value

$31.22

PnL

+$7.74

Record

77%

26186-7758 (33944)

sir-upalot<$100

Down

Invested

$15.58

Value

$28.33

PnL

+$12.75

Record

55%

22563-18250 (40813)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$13.8

Value

$15.33

PnL

+$1.53

Record

67%

14151-6979 (21130)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$19.94

Value

$14.47

PnL

+$5.8

Record

61%

14113-8870 (22983)

0x50f7CTR<$100

Invested

$40.56

Value

—

PnL

-$40.56

Record

81%

33630-7895 (41525)

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 33 top traders (61%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xf2a13c6e...654e0a

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792986000

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $1.0K

+$10.27

THG.

Down — $622.05

+$6.22

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $550.34

-$57.27

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $220

+$5.74

thesidehustle

Down — $180

+$88.8

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Down — $147.37

-$7.15

uninformedfloww

Down — $146.6

+$59.75

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down — $146.41

-$13.02

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $0

wzbbb

Up — $0