Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
38
Up 63%
$6.1K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
26 of 38 top traders (68%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $2.7K | $2.7K | +$26.91 | 61% 18959-12142 (31101) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 78¢ | $923.87 | $726.93 | -$167.84 | 84% 30004-5919 (35923) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 63.9¢ | $615 | $681.69 | +$66.69 | 56% 6981-5433 (12414) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 81.8¢ | $284.43 | $254.14 | -$30.29 | 60% 11565-7554 (19119) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 75.2¢ | $305.79 | $245.33 | -$60.46 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 56.9¢ | $205.15 | $246.63 | +$41.48 | 56% 11705-9245 (20950) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 74.4¢ | $211.54 | $235.34 | +$23.8 | 55% 6784-5559 (12343) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 49.6¢ | $403.9 | — | -$403.9 | 56% 7729-6107 (13836) |
SP spartacray | Upavg 53.7¢ | $137.82 | $149.44 | +$11.61 | 56% 18874-14578 (33452) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 90.8¢ | $111.15 | $117.76 | +$6.6 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 88¢ | $134.32 | $115.05 | -$19.27 | 58% 11396-8336 (19732) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $107.92 | $105.97 | -$1.95 | 57% 10962-8326 (19288) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 83.5¢ | $127.57 | $100 | -$27.57 | 55% 22563-18250 (40813) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Upavg 62.9¢ | $117.73 | $99.26 | -$18.47 | 62% 17052-10586 (27638) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $95.04 | $96 | +$0.96 | 93% 20790-1670 (22460) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $77.1 | $75 | -$2.1 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $86.28 | $64.34 | -$21.94 | 50% 63712-64675 (128387) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR | Downavg 55.6¢ | $163.9 | — | -$163.9 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Downavg 60.7¢ | $67.38 | — | -$67.38 | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $77.63 | — | -$77.63 | 49% 4649-4788 (9437) |
AS asidjasiodja | Upavg 93.8¢ | $119.7 | $41.64 | -$0.57 | 61% 14113-8870 (22983) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $16.53 | $19 | +$2.47 | 68% 15806-7410 (23216) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $9.85 | $14.7 | +$4.85 | 69% 90359-40826 (131185) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 25.3¢ | $120.14 | — | -$120.14 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.8¢ | $9.57 | — | -$9.57 | 59% 15821-10942 (26763) |
Invested
$2,664.09
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$26.91
Record
61%
18959-12142 (31101)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$923.87
Value
$726.93
PnL
-$167.84
Record
84%
30004-5919 (35923)
Invested
$615
Value
$681.69
PnL
+$66.69
Record
56%
6981-5433 (12414)
Invested
$284.43
Value
$254.14
PnL
-$30.29
Record
60%
11565-7554 (19119)
Invested
$305.79
Value
$245.33
PnL
-$60.46
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
Invested
$205.15
Value
$246.63
PnL
+$41.48
Record
56%
11705-9245 (20950)
Invested
$211.54
Value
$235.34
PnL
+$23.8
Record
55%
6784-5559 (12343)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$403.9
Value
—
PnL
-$403.9
Record
56%
7729-6107 (13836)
Invested
$137.82
Value
$149.44
PnL
+$11.61
Record
56%
18874-14578 (33452)
Invested
$111.15
Value
$117.76
PnL
+$6.6
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
Invested
$134.32
Value
$115.05
PnL
-$19.27
Record
58%
11396-8336 (19732)
Invested
$107.92
Value
$105.97
PnL
-$1.95
Record
57%
10962-8326 (19288)
Invested
$127.57
Value
$100
PnL
-$27.57
Record
55%
22563-18250 (40813)
Invested
$117.73
Value
$99.26
PnL
-$18.47
Record
62%
17052-10586 (27638)
Invested
$95.04
Value
$96
PnL
+$0.96
Record
93%
20790-1670 (22460)
Invested
$77.1
Value
$75
PnL
-$2.1
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$86.28
Value
$64.34
PnL
-$21.94
Record
50%
63712-64675 (128387)
Invested
$163.9
Value
—
PnL
-$163.9
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
Invested
$67.38
Value
—
PnL
-$67.38
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
Invested
$77.63
Value
—
PnL
-$77.63
Record
49%
4649-4788 (9437)
Invested
$119.7
Value
$41.64
PnL
-$0.57
Record
61%
14113-8870 (22983)
Invested
$16.53
Value
$19
PnL
+$2.47
Record
68%
15806-7410 (23216)
Invested
$9.85
Value
$14.7
PnL
+$4.85
Record
69%
90359-40826 (131185)
Invested
$120.14
Value
—
PnL
-$120.14
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.57
Value
—
PnL
-$9.57
Record
59%
15821-10942 (26763)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up — $2.7K

Polkadot-Frog
Up — $726.93
wzbbb
Up — $681.69
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $254.14
thesidehustle
Up — $245.33
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $246.63
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $235.34

machinelearned
CTRDown — $0
spartacray
Up — $149.44
asdaefef
Up — $117.76