Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
36
Down 80%
$9.0K
-$219.65
Smart Money Signal
24 of 36 top traders (67%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.2K | $3.1K | -$71.93 | 81% 33630-7895 (41525) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $2.7K | $2.7K | +$26.85 | 61% 18959-12142 (31101) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $931 | $950 | +$19 | 93% 20790-1670 (22460) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 66.2¢ | $386.34 | $389.4 | +$3.06 | 84% 30004-5919 (35923) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 58.5¢ | $277.95 | $317.73 | +$39.78 | 56% 6981-5433 (12414) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 28.7¢ | $61.61 | $214.31 | +$152.7 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 80.1¢ | $261.59 | $178.65 | -$82.93 | 56% 11705-9245 (20950) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 95.3¢ | $161.13 | $162 | +$0.87 | 50% 63712-64675 (128387) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 49.4¢ | $115.47 | $133.96 | +$18.5 | 49% 4649-4788 (9437) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 27.8¢ | $34.66 | $124.64 | +$89.98 | 57% 10962-8326 (19288) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 97.5¢ | $215.29 | $120 | -$95.29 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 79.5¢ | $151.1 | $100 | -$51.1 | 56% 7729-6107 (13836) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Downavg 55.2¢ | $96.08 | $100.02 | +$3.93 | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bCTR | Upavg 68.7¢ | $112.15 | — | -$112.15 | 62% 17052-10586 (27638) |
SP spartacray | Downavg 85.8¢ | $110.68 | $73.33 | -$37.34 | 56% 18874-14578 (33452) |
 Bossgirl<$100 | Downavg 30.8¢ | $22.81 | $74 | +$51.19 | 54% 4070-3440 (7510) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 89.3¢ | $107.66 | $68.04 | -$39.62 | 55% 6784-5559 (12343) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $35.31 | $62.09 | +$26.78 | 72% 21641-8597 (30238) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.7¢ | $77.03 | — | -$77.03 | 60% 40387-26729 (67116) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96.5¢ | $38.52 | $28.26 | -$10.26 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $10 | $27.77 | +$17.77 | 69% 90359-40826 (131185) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $13.44 | $21 | +$7.56 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $41.4 | — | -$38.9 | 60% 11565-7554 (19119) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $4.71 | $14.71 | +$10 | 55% 22563-18250 (40813) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $5.2 | $10 | +$4.8 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
Invested
$3,198.99
Value
$3.1K
PnL
-$71.93
Record
81%
33630-7895 (41525)
Invested
$2,658.15
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$26.85
Record
61%
18959-12142 (31101)
Invested
$931
Value
$950
PnL
+$19
Record
93%
20790-1670 (22460)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$386.34
Value
$389.4
PnL
+$3.06
Record
84%
30004-5919 (35923)
Invested
$277.95
Value
$317.73
PnL
+$39.78
Record
56%
6981-5433 (12414)
Invested
$61.61
Value
$214.31
PnL
+$152.7
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
Invested
$261.59
Value
$178.65
PnL
-$82.93
Record
56%
11705-9245 (20950)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$161.13
Value
$162
PnL
+$0.87
Record
50%
63712-64675 (128387)
Invested
$115.47
Value
$133.96
PnL
+$18.5
Record
49%
4649-4788 (9437)
Invested
$34.66
Value
$124.64
PnL
+$89.98
Record
57%
10962-8326 (19288)
Invested
$215.29
Value
$120
PnL
-$95.29
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
machinelearnedInvested
$151.1
Value
$100
PnL
-$51.1
Record
56%
7729-6107 (13836)
Invested
$96.08
Value
$100.02
PnL
+$3.93
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
Invested
$112.15
Value
—
PnL
-$112.15
Record
62%
17052-10586 (27638)
Invested
$110.68
Value
$73.33
PnL
-$37.34
Record
56%
18874-14578 (33452)
Bossgirl<$100Invested
$22.81
Value
$74
PnL
+$51.19
Record
54%
4070-3440 (7510)
Invested
$107.66
Value
$68.04
PnL
-$39.62
Record
55%
6784-5559 (12343)
Invested
$35.31
Value
$62.09
PnL
+$26.78
Record
72%
21641-8597 (30238)
Invested
$77.03
Value
—
PnL
-$77.03
Record
60%
40387-26729 (67116)
Invested
$38.52
Value
$28.26
PnL
-$10.26
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
Invested
$10
Value
$27.77
PnL
+$17.77
Record
69%
90359-40826 (131185)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.44
Value
$21
PnL
+$7.56
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
Invested
$41.4
Value
—
PnL
-$38.9
Record
60%
11565-7554 (19119)
Invested
$4.71
Value
$14.71
PnL
+$10
Record
55%
22563-18250 (40813)
Invested
$5.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.8
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.1K
THG.
Down — $2.7K
hoodquant
Down — $950
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $389.4
wzbbb
Down — $317.73
uninformedfloww
Down — $214.31
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $178.65
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $162
ply-pm0
Down — $133.96
EZTRADENL2
Down — $124.64