Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 86%

Total Value

$7.6K

Combined PnL

$85.44

Smart Money Signal

Down

25 of 30 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down25 traders

Total Value$7.6K

Total Shares7,598

Combined PnL+$416.33

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares696

Combined PnL-$330.89

Down — 83%Up — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH THG.	Downavg 99¢	$2.6K	$2.7K	+$26.62	68% 13107-6033 (19140)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 89.5¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$32.09	56% 13556-10590 (24146)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 94.8¢	$810.37	$792.86	-$17.51	56% 6943-5397 (12340)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 50.1¢	$309.47	$617.33	+$307.86	71% 20754-8491 (29245)
BO BonereaperCTR	Upavg 49.9¢	$295.62	—	-$295.62	71% 48790-19850 (68640)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 83.5¢	$292.05	$300.5	+$8.45	56% 14626-11337 (25963)
machinelearned	Downavg 90.2¢	$271.76	$250	-$21.76	56% 7695-6065 (13760)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 84.2¢	$160.26	$175.54	+$15.28	88% 48486-6883 (55369)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Downavg 91.4¢	$138.99	$151.97	+$12.99	62% 17017-10562 (27579)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 89.5¢	$132.52	$148.03	+$15.51	56% 11672-9223 (20895)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 92.4¢	$123.23	$129.5	+$6.72	55% 6761-5536 (12297)
OhioRiskManagement	Downavg 90.2¢	$93.41	$100.49	+$7.08	60% 15319-10077 (25396)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Downavg 91.7¢	$92.62	$92.63	+$0.01	61% 11540-7534 (19074)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Downavg 82.8¢	$83.87	$99.99	+$16.11	57% 10773-8160 (18933)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 88.4¢	$70.94	$80.22	+$9.27	56% 15037-11981 (27018)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100	Downavg 84.6¢	$62.72	$65.99	+$3.27	71% 43222-17810 (61032)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Downavg 93.3¢	$70.4	$60	-$10.4	49% 4631-4760 (9391)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Downavg 87¢	$57.92	$60	+$2.08	58% 12908-9220 (22128)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 95.5¢	$57.3	$60	+$2.7	69% 70279-32289 (102568)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 88.6¢	$45.81	$50.19	+$4.38	76% 24740-7693 (32433)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 77.6¢	$47.66	$35.53	-$12.12	83% 28644-5849 (34493)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 84.2¢	$71.4	$84.75	+$13.35	58% 16341-11959 (28300)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 91.9¢	$33.49	$29.22	+$0.16	61% 14015-8774 (22789)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$19.8	$20	+$0.2	93% 20490-1649 (22139)
SP spartacray<$100	Downavg 85.3¢	$23.59	$16.69	-$6.91	56% 18832-14554 (33386)

THG.

Down

Invested

$2,635.38

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$26.62

Record

68%

13107-6033 (19140)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$1,478.72

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$32.09

Record

56%

13556-10590 (24146)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$810.37

Value

$792.86

PnL

-$17.51

Record

56%

6943-5397 (12340)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$309.47

Value

$617.33

PnL

+$307.86

Record

71%

20754-8491 (29245)

BonereaperCTR

Invested

$295.62

Value

—

PnL

-$295.62

Record

71%

48790-19850 (68640)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$292.05

Value

$300.5

PnL

+$8.45

Record

56%

14626-11337 (25963)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$271.76

Value

$250

PnL

-$21.76

Record

56%

7695-6065 (13760)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down

Invested

$160.26

Value

$175.54

PnL

+$15.28

Record

88%

48486-6883 (55369)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down

Invested

$138.99

Value

$151.97

PnL

+$12.99

Record

62%

17017-10562 (27579)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$132.52

Value

$148.03

PnL

+$15.51

Record

56%

11672-9223 (20895)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$123.23

Value

$129.5

PnL

+$6.72

Record

55%

6761-5536 (12297)

OhioRiskManagement

Down

Invested

$93.41

Value

$100.49

PnL

+$7.08

Record

60%

15319-10077 (25396)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Down

Invested

$92.62

Value

$92.63

PnL

+$0.01

Record

61%

11540-7534 (19074)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Down

Invested

$83.87

Value

$99.99

PnL

+$16.11

Record

57%

10773-8160 (18933)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Down

Invested

$70.94

Value

$80.22

PnL

+$9.27

Record

56%

15037-11981 (27018)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100

Down

Invested

$62.72

Value

$65.99

PnL

+$3.27

Record

71%

43222-17810 (61032)

ply-pm0<$100

Down

Invested

$70.4

Value

$60

PnL

-$10.4

Record

49%

4631-4760 (9391)

GoodFallen<$100

Down

Invested

$57.92

Value

$60

PnL

+$2.08

Record

58%

12908-9220 (22128)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$57.3

Value

$60

PnL

+$2.7

Record

69%

70279-32289 (102568)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$45.81

Value

$50.19

PnL

+$4.38

Record

76%

24740-7693 (32433)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Down

Invested

$47.66

Value

$35.53

PnL

-$12.12

Record

83%

28644-5849 (34493)

MayorMamdani<$100

Down

Invested

$71.4

Value

$84.75

PnL

+$13.35

Record

58%

16341-11959 (28300)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$33.49

Value

$29.22

PnL

+$0.16

Record

61%

14015-8774 (22789)

hoodquant<$100

Down

Invested

$19.8

Value

$20

PnL

+$0.2

Record

93%

20490-1649 (22139)

spartacray<$100

Down

Invested

$23.59

Value

$16.69

PnL

-$6.91

Record

56%

18832-14554 (33386)

Smart Money Signal

Down

25 of 30 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xe7760ab0...4509b9

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792974900

Traders in this Market

THG.

Down — $2.7K

+$26.62

CrouchPredictions

Down — $1.5K

+$32.09

wzbbb

Down — $792.86

-$17.51

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $617.33

+$307.86

Bonereaper

CTR

Up — $0

-$295.62

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $300.5

+$8.45

machinelearned

Down — $250

-$21.76

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $175.54

+$15.28

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down — $151.97

+$12.99

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down — $148.03

+$15.51

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