Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
36
Up 70%
$4.5K
-$512.06
Smart Money Signal
24 of 36 top traders (67%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $923.47 | $934 | +$10.53 | 93% 20442-1644 (22086) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $559.36 | $565.01 | +$5.65 | 69% 13090-6018 (19108) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 90.5¢ | $461.41 | $418.92 | -$42.49 | 83% 28376-5819 (34195) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 88.4¢ | $456.7 | $365.87 | -$90.83 | 56% 13544-10569 (24113) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 71.2¢ | $366.44 | $328.6 | -$37.84 | 56% 14612-11328 (25940) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 75.1¢ | $251.62 | $268.28 | +$16.66 | 58% 12894-9212 (22106) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 72¢ | $224.63 | $232.5 | +$7.87 | 56% 6926-5379 (12305) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 95.1¢ | $241.43 | $216.29 | -$25.15 | 61% 11524-7522 (19046) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 45.6¢ | $200.48 | — | -$200.48 | 71% 20662-8465 (29127) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 81.7¢ | $147.3 | $160 | +$12.7 | 57% 11605-8926 (20531) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 90.2¢ | $138.03 | $137.24 | -$0.79 | 55% 6742-5527 (12269) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 94¢ | $188.65 | $108.59 | -$80.06 | 56% 7681-6049 (13730) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 79.5¢ | $102.75 | $100 | -$2.75 | 56% 17903-14269 (32172) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 90¢ | $110.32 | $100 | -$10.32 | 49% 4622-4741 (9363) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 90.8¢ | $87.11 | $81.35 | -$5.76 | 71% 42658-17807 (60465) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100 | Upavg 85.5¢ | $75.79 | $78.39 | +$2.6 | 62% 17001-10550 (27551) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $10.79 | — | -$10.79 | 60% 15195-10036 (25231) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 66.4¢ | $77.15 | $116.27 | +$39.12 | 56% 15011-11955 (26966) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $71.78 | — | -$71.78 | 71% 47675-19826 (67501) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $64.36 | $60.37 | -$3.99 | 56% 11656-9211 (20867) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $51.57 | $49.08 | -$2.49 | 56% 18813-14544 (33357) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94.9¢ | $51.25 | $54 | +$2.75 | 76% 24372-7654 (32026) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $2.87 | — | -$2.87 | 79% 28572-7409 (35981) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $55.8 | $62 | +$6.2 | 56% 41347-32823 (74170) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.9¢ | $4.27 | — | -$4.27 | 59% 15258-10718 (25976) |
Invested
$923.47
Value
$934
PnL
+$10.53
Record
93%
20442-1644 (22086)
Invested
$559.36
Value
$565.01
PnL
+$5.65
Record
69%
13090-6018 (19108)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$461.41
Value
$418.92
PnL
-$42.49
Record
83%
28376-5819 (34195)
Invested
$456.7
Value
$365.87
PnL
-$90.83
Record
56%
13544-10569 (24113)
Invested
$366.44
Value
$328.6
PnL
-$37.84
Record
56%
14612-11328 (25940)
Invested
$251.62
Value
$268.28
PnL
+$16.66
Record
58%
12894-9212 (22106)
Invested
$224.63
Value
$232.5
PnL
+$7.87
Record
56%
6926-5379 (12305)
Invested
$241.43
Value
$216.29
PnL
-$25.15
Record
61%
11524-7522 (19046)
Invested
$200.48
Value
—
PnL
-$200.48
Record
71%
20662-8465 (29127)
FairValueMachineInvested
$147.3
Value
$160
PnL
+$12.7
Record
57%
11605-8926 (20531)
Invested
$138.03
Value
$137.24
PnL
-$0.79
Record
55%
6742-5527 (12269)
machinelearnedInvested
$188.65
Value
$108.59
PnL
-$80.06
Record
56%
7681-6049 (13730)
Invested
$102.75
Value
$100
PnL
-$2.75
Record
56%
17903-14269 (32172)
Invested
$110.32
Value
$100
PnL
-$10.32
Record
49%
4622-4741 (9363)
Invested
$87.11
Value
$81.35
PnL
-$5.76
Record
71%
42658-17807 (60465)
Invested
$75.79
Value
$78.39
PnL
+$2.6
Record
62%
17001-10550 (27551)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$10.79
Value
—
PnL
-$10.79
Record
60%
15195-10036 (25231)
Invested
$77.15
Value
$116.27
PnL
+$39.12
Record
56%
15011-11955 (26966)
Invested
$71.78
Value
—
PnL
-$71.78
Record
71%
47675-19826 (67501)
Invested
$64.36
Value
$60.37
PnL
-$3.99
Record
56%
11656-9211 (20867)
Invested
$51.57
Value
$49.08
PnL
-$2.49
Record
56%
18813-14544 (33357)
Invested
$51.25
Value
$54
PnL
+$2.75
Record
76%
24372-7654 (32026)
Invested
$2.87
Value
—
PnL
-$2.87
Record
79%
28572-7409 (35981)
Invested
$55.8
Value
$62
PnL
+$6.2
Record
56%
41347-32823 (74170)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.27
Value
—
PnL
-$4.27
Record
59%
15258-10718 (25976)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $934
THG.
Up — $565.01
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $418.92
CrouchPredictions
Up — $365.87
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $328.6
GoodFallen
Up — $268.28
wzbbb
Up — $232.5
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $216.29
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
FairValueMachine
Up — $160