Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
36
Down 86%
$6.9K
-$464.89
Smart Money Signal
31 of 36 top traders (86%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 89.3¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$0.65 | 56% 13507-10529 (24036) |
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489 | Downavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.5 | 81% 130-30 (160) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $741.51 | $749 | +$7.49 | 93% 20350-1637 (21987) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $591.67 | $597.65 | +$5.98 | 75% 12348-4055 (16403) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 86.7¢ | $392.08 | $450 | +$57.92 | 56% 7653-6023 (13676) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 96.8¢ | $336.92 | $334.99 | -$1.93 | 83% 28182-5775 (33957) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 88.9¢ | $310.13 | $334 | +$23.87 | 56% 6887-5350 (12237) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Upavg 42.6¢ | $254.81 | — | -$254.81 | 70% 28236-12359 (40595) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 98.4¢ | $267.69 | $272 | +$4.31 | 58% 16208-11821 (28029) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 95.8¢ | $246.91 | $257.8 | +$10.89 | 59% 15210-10639 (25849) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 97.2¢ | $206.47 | $212.5 | +$6.03 | 60% 15104-9944 (25048) |
0X 0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324 | Downavg 96.9¢ | $190.89 | $197 | +$6.11 | 52% 811-741 (1552) |
SE seeeeeeb | Downavg 98¢ | $132.3 | $135 | +$2.7 | 48% 337-370 (707) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 92¢ | $129.22 | $119.98 | -$9.24 | 49% 4597-4715 (9312) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 79.4¢ | $105.15 | $115.94 | +$10.79 | 55% 6703-5506 (12209) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 79.1¢ | $103.73 | $98.57 | -$5.16 | 56% 14581-11306 (25887) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 99¢ | $121.07 | $100 | -$21.07 | 51% 13000-12381 (25381) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 38.8¢ | $162.85 | — | -$162.85 | 71% 20598-8407 (29005) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 87.8¢ | $92.74 | $105.65 | +$12.91 | 55% 14668-11789 (26457) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $71.08 | $81.13 | +$10.05 | 58% 12862-9192 (22054) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Upavg 39.5¢ | $120.91 | — | -$120.91 | 70% 47102-19779 (66881) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $88.01 | $51.47 | -$36.54 | 65% 14995-8022 (23017) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 87.7¢ | $57.21 | $58.79 | +$1.59 | 56% 11622-9176 (20798) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $42.36 | $48 | +$5.64 | 56% 18760-14510 (33270) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 84.7¢ | $41.51 | $49 | +$7.49 | 61% 11491-7495 (18986) |
Invested
$1,160.59
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$0.65
Record
56%
13507-10529 (24036)
Invested
$1,138.5
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.5
Record
81%
130-30 (160)
Invested
$741.51
Value
$749
PnL
+$7.49
Record
93%
20350-1637 (21987)
Invested
$591.67
Value
$597.65
PnL
+$5.98
Record
75%
12348-4055 (16403)
machinelearnedInvested
$392.08
Value
$450
PnL
+$57.92
Record
56%
7653-6023 (13676)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$336.92
Value
$334.99
PnL
-$1.93
Record
83%
28182-5775 (33957)
Invested
$310.13
Value
$334
PnL
+$23.87
Record
56%
6887-5350 (12237)
Invested
$254.81
Value
—
PnL
-$254.81
Record
70%
28236-12359 (40595)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$267.69
Value
$272
PnL
+$4.31
Record
58%
16208-11821 (28029)
pspspsps5Invested
$246.91
Value
$257.8
PnL
+$10.89
Record
59%
15210-10639 (25849)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$206.47
Value
$212.5
PnL
+$6.03
Record
60%
15104-9944 (25048)
Invested
$190.89
Value
$197
PnL
+$6.11
Record
52%
811-741 (1552)
Invested
$132.3
Value
$135
PnL
+$2.7
Record
48%
337-370 (707)
Invested
$129.22
Value
$119.98
PnL
-$9.24
Record
49%
4597-4715 (9312)
Invested
$105.15
Value
$115.94
PnL
+$10.79
Record
55%
6703-5506 (12209)
Invested
$103.73
Value
$98.57
PnL
-$5.16
Record
56%
14581-11306 (25887)
Invested
$121.07
Value
$100
PnL
-$21.07
Record
51%
13000-12381 (25381)
Invested
$162.85
Value
—
PnL
-$162.85
Record
71%
20598-8407 (29005)
Invested
$92.74
Value
$105.65
PnL
+$12.91
Record
55%
14668-11789 (26457)
Invested
$71.08
Value
$81.13
PnL
+$10.05
Record
58%
12862-9192 (22054)
Invested
$120.91
Value
—
PnL
-$120.91
Record
70%
47102-19779 (66881)
Invested
$88.01
Value
$51.47
PnL
-$36.54
Record
65%
14995-8022 (23017)
Invested
$57.21
Value
$58.79
PnL
+$1.59
Record
56%
11622-9176 (20798)
Invested
$42.36
Value
$48
PnL
+$5.64
Record
56%
18760-14510 (33270)
Invested
$41.51
Value
$49
PnL
+$7.49
Record
61%
11491-7495 (18986)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.2K
0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489
Down — $1.1K
hoodquant
Down — $749
THG.
Down — $597.65
machinelearned
Down — $450
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $334.99
wzbbb
Down — $334
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $272
pspspsps5
Down — $257.8