Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
40
Down 75%
$2.0K
-$140.85
Smart Money Signal
18 of 40 top traders (45%)22 hold an outcome priced under 50%32 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 57.4¢ | $418.61 | $465.14 | +$48.53 | 55% 6711-5512 (12223) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 78.2¢ | $244.55 | $251.02 | +$6.47 | 54% 9534-8110 (17644) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 55.8¢ | $145.14 | $199.6 | +$54.46 | 55% 14678-11791 (26469) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 77.5¢ | $192.57 | $166.41 | -$26.16 | 61% 11502-7498 (19000) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Upavg 43.3¢ | $190.12 | — | -$190.12 | 57% 10613-8007 (18620) |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 87¢ | $159.94 | $126.88 | -$33.06 | 76% 24117-7611 (31728) |
SP spartacray | Downavg 42.3¢ | $61.84 | $108 | +$46.15 | 56% 18773-14518 (33291) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $89.96 | $97.23 | +$7.28 | 56% 11631-9183 (20814) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894CTR | Upavg 19.3¢ | $124.58 | — | -$124.58 | 65% 15002-8029 (23031) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97.5¢ | $85.88 | $88.07 | +$2.19 | 62% 40698-24908 (65606) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $57.9 | $86.19 | +$28.3 | 60% 9446-6238 (15684) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 91.7¢ | $78.96 | $79.31 | +$0.36 | 66% 13643-7182 (20825) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100 | Downavg 48.8¢ | $61.2 | $76.04 | +$14.84 | 62% 16976-10525 (27501) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $64.52 | $70.43 | +$76.34 | 59% 19634-13508 (33142) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92.3¢ | $88.25 | $60 | -$23.98 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $47.74 | $52 | +$4.26 | 62% 13878-8687 (22565) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 31.1¢ | $11.35 | $36.49 | +$25.14 | 56% 14956-11913 (26869) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.4¢ | $17.6 | — | -$17.6 | 63% 19117-11233 (30350) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 62.7¢ | $12.75 | — | -$12.75 | 58% 16229-11843 (28072) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.5¢ | $26.91 | — | -$26.91 | 70% 28260-12370 (40630) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 23% 13817-47159 (60976) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 12869-9199 (22068) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14589-11312 (25901) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 7661-6028 (13689) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 4604-4721 (9325) |
Invested
$418.61
Value
$465.14
PnL
+$48.53
Record
55%
6711-5512 (12223)
Invested
$244.55
Value
$251.02
PnL
+$6.47
Record
54%
9534-8110 (17644)
Invested
$145.14
Value
$199.6
PnL
+$54.46
Record
55%
14678-11791 (26469)
Invested
$192.57
Value
$166.41
PnL
-$26.16
Record
61%
11502-7498 (19000)
Invested
$190.12
Value
—
PnL
-$190.12
Record
57%
10613-8007 (18620)
Invested
$159.94
Value
$126.88
PnL
-$33.06
Record
76%
24117-7611 (31728)
Invested
$61.84
Value
$108
PnL
+$46.15
Record
56%
18773-14518 (33291)
Invested
$89.96
Value
$97.23
PnL
+$7.28
Record
56%
11631-9183 (20814)
Invested
$124.58
Value
—
PnL
-$124.58
Record
65%
15002-8029 (23031)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$85.88
Value
$88.07
PnL
+$2.19
Record
62%
40698-24908 (65606)
Invested
$57.9
Value
$86.19
PnL
+$28.3
Record
60%
9446-6238 (15684)
Invested
$78.96
Value
$79.31
PnL
+$0.36
Record
66%
13643-7182 (20825)
Invested
$61.2
Value
$76.04
PnL
+$14.84
Record
62%
16976-10525 (27501)
Invested
$64.52
Value
$70.43
PnL
+$76.34
Record
59%
19634-13508 (33142)
Invested
$88.25
Value
$60
PnL
-$23.98
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
Invested
$47.74
Value
$52
PnL
+$4.26
Record
62%
13878-8687 (22565)
Invested
$11.35
Value
$36.49
PnL
+$25.14
Record
56%
14956-11913 (26869)
Invested
$17.6
Value
—
PnL
-$17.6
Record
63%
19117-11233 (30350)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$12.75
Value
—
PnL
-$12.75
Record
58%
16229-11843 (28072)
Invested
$26.91
Value
—
PnL
-$26.91
Record
70%
28260-12370 (40630)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
23%
13817-47159 (60976)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
12869-9199 (22068)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14589-11312 (25901)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
7661-6028 (13689)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
4604-4721 (9325)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $465.14
thesidehustle
Down — $251.02
sir-upalot
Down — $199.6
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $166.41
EZTRADENL2
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $126.88
spartacray
Down — $108
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $97.23
0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $88.07