Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 84%

Total Value

$5.3K

Combined PnL

$416.99

Smart Money Signal

Down

35 of 46 top traders (76%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down35 traders

Total Value$5.3K

Total Shares5,340

Combined PnL+$528.53

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares369

Combined PnL-$111.54

Down — 76%Up — 24%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 79¢	$527.19	$559.28	+$32.09	83% 28170-5763 (33933)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$444.51	$449	+$4.49	93% 20335-1633 (21968)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 79.2¢	$328.8	$346.35	+$17.56	56% 6879-5347 (12226)
MayorMamdani	Downavg 90.2¢	$309.93	$343.61	+$33.68	58% 16186-11806 (27992)
NIULAI4	Downavg 91.6¢	$291.96	$318.82	+$26.86	78% 8958-2546 (11504)
FairValueMachine	Downavg 75¢	$277.23	$285	+$7.77	57% 11573-8903 (20476)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894	Downavg 62.3¢	$164.08	$240.78	+$76.7	65% 14989-8015 (23004)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 73.4¢	$224.78	$232.14	+$8.51	61% 11484-7493 (18977)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 80.6¢	$188.26	$233.43	+$45.17	57% 32418-24887 (57305)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 97.7¢	$250.57	$225.5	-$25.07	71% 20584-8397 (28981)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 79.8¢	$227	$219.5	-$7.5	49% 4591-4713 (9304)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 76.2¢	$175.97	$186.31	+$10.33	55% 6699-5501 (12200)
SI sir-upalot	Downavg 80.8¢	$161.96	$181.9	+$19.95	55% 14663-11786 (26449)
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 82¢	$141.27	$144	+$2.73	54% 9507-8086 (17593)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Downavg 63.7¢	$88.6	$139.2	+$50.6	57% 10597-7995 (18592)
ohioism	Downavg 90¢	$124.09	$137.88	+$13.79	76% 26320-8114 (34434)
machinelearned	Downavg 76.8¢	$162.5	$125	-$37.5	56% 7647-6021 (13668)
GA gansinimen<$100	Downavg 66¢	$99.98	$100	+$0.01	51% 12998-12379 (25377)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100	Downavg 76.9¢	$95.28	$98.86	+$3.58	70% 42061-17727 (59788)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Downavg 76.5¢	$84.12	$96	+$11.88	56% 11617-9172 (20789)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 80.9¢	$82.9	$94.39	+$11.49	60% 15090-9926 (25016)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 83.1¢	$76.92	$92.57	+$15.65	59% 15204-10629 (25833)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 53.4¢	$82.4	$85.1	+$2.7	70% 28211-12350 (40561)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100	Downavg 61¢	$50.02	$82	+$31.98	52% 14379-13140 (27519)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100	Downavg 74.1¢	$65.22	$75.7	+$10.48	62% 16964-10515 (27479)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$527.19

Value

$559.28

PnL

+$32.09

Record

83%

28170-5763 (33933)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$444.51

Value

$449

PnL

+$4.49

Record

93%

20335-1633 (21968)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$328.8

Value

$346.35

PnL

+$17.56

Record

56%

6879-5347 (12226)

MayorMamdani

Down

Invested

$309.93

Value

$343.61

PnL

+$33.68

Record

58%

16186-11806 (27992)

NIULAI4

Down

Invested

$291.96

Value

$318.82

PnL

+$26.86

Record

78%

8958-2546 (11504)

FairValueMachine

Down

Invested

$277.23

Value

$285

PnL

+$7.77

Record

57%

11573-8903 (20476)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Down

Invested

$164.08

Value

$240.78

PnL

+$76.7

Record

65%

14989-8015 (23004)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$224.78

Value

$232.14

PnL

+$8.51

Record

61%

11484-7493 (18977)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$188.26

Value

$233.43

PnL

+$45.17

Record

57%

32418-24887 (57305)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$250.57

Value

$225.5

PnL

-$25.07

Record

71%

20584-8397 (28981)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$227

Value

$219.5

PnL

-$7.5

Record

49%

4591-4713 (9304)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$175.97

Value

$186.31

PnL

+$10.33

Record

55%

6699-5501 (12200)

sir-upalot

Down

Invested

$161.96

Value

$181.9

PnL

+$19.95

Record

55%

14663-11786 (26449)

thesidehustle

Down

Invested

$141.27

Value

$144

PnL

+$2.73

Record

54%

9507-8086 (17593)

EZTRADENL2

Down

Invested

$88.6

Value

$139.2

PnL

+$50.6

Record

57%

10597-7995 (18592)

ohioism

Down

Invested

$124.09

Value

$137.88

PnL

+$13.79

Record

76%

26320-8114 (34434)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$162.5

Value

$125

PnL

-$37.5

Record

56%

7647-6021 (13668)

gansinimen<$100

Down

Invested

$99.98

Value

$100

PnL

+$0.01

Record

51%

12998-12379 (25377)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100

Down

Invested

$95.28

Value

$98.86

PnL

+$3.58

Record

70%

42061-17727 (59788)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Down

Invested

$84.12

Value

$96

PnL

+$11.88

Record

56%

11617-9172 (20789)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Down

Invested

$82.9

Value

$94.39

PnL

+$11.49

Record

60%

15090-9926 (25016)

pspspsps5<$100

Down

Invested

$76.92

Value

$92.57

PnL

+$15.65

Record

59%

15204-10629 (25833)

PBot-6<$100

Down

Invested

$82.4

Value

$85.1

PnL

+$2.7

Record

70%

28211-12350 (40561)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100

Down

Invested

$50.02

Value

$82

PnL

+$31.98

Record

52%

14379-13140 (27519)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100

Down

Invested

$65.22

Value

$75.7

PnL

+$10.48

Record

62%

16964-10515 (27479)

Smart Money Signal

Down

35 of 46 top traders (76%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x305c8c2d...8039b0

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792940700

Traders in this Market

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $559.28

+$32.09

hoodquant

Down — $449

+$4.49

wzbbb

Down — $346.35

+$17.56

MayorMamdani

Down — $343.61

+$33.68

NIULAI4

Down — $318.82

+$26.86

FairValueMachine

Down — $285

+$7.77

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Down — $240.78

+$76.7

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $232.14

+$8.51

uninformedfloww

Down — $233.43

+$45.17

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $225.5

-$25.07

Trade on Polymarket