Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
38
Down 64%
$1.2K
-$408.82
Smart Money Signal
16 of 38 top traders (42%)22 hold an outcome priced under 50%31 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 44.8¢ | $312.31 | $352.01 | +$39.7 | 57% 10546-7917 (18463) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 60.2¢ | $143.91 | $192 | +$48.09 | 54% 9474-8067 (17541) |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 63.8¢ | $134.63 | $132.07 | -$2.56 | 76% 23856-7556 (31412) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $92.63 | $74.42 | -$18.21 | 56% 18725-14487 (33212) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bCTR | Upavg 62.8¢ | $104.64 | — | -$104.64 | 62% 16951-10506 (27457) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cCTR | Upavg 65.1¢ | $118.82 | — | -$118.82 | 56% 11603-9163 (20766) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 69.2¢ | $56.94 | $65.33 | +$9.94 | 62% 13789-8632 (22421) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 51.6¢ | $50.04 | $60.86 | +$10.82 | 59% 19613-13491 (33104) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $47.31 | $59.05 | +$11.74 | 63% 18940-11157 (30097) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 86.9¢ | $51.46 | $55.05 | +$3.59 | 55% 14649-11779 (26428) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 29.5¢ | $13 | $44.08 | +$31.08 | 58% 11025-8080 (19105) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $41.63 | $41 | -$0.63 | 58% 16156-11767 (27923) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.7¢ | $43.38 | $37.39 | -$5.99 | 67% 13414-6676 (20090) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $19.46 | $21.87 | +$2.41 | 58% 14387-10289 (24676) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $28.2 | $20 | -$8.2 | 60% 9412-6215 (15627) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Upavg 58.8¢ | $73.87 | — | -$73.87 | 61% 11473-7481 (18954) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 69% 27838-12318 (40156) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.7¢ | $26.49 | — | -$26.49 | 55% 6685-5492 (12177) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $7.1 | — | -$7.1 | 56% 14897-11878 (26775) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14564-11296 (25860) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 12849-9178 (22027) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13486-10515 (24001) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Upavg 54.9¢ | $296.53 | — | -$162.78 | 70% 46480-19752 (66232) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 11563-8892 (20455) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 3127-1659 (4786) |
Invested
$312.31
Value
$352.01
PnL
+$39.7
Record
57%
10546-7917 (18463)
Invested
$143.91
Value
$192
PnL
+$48.09
Record
54%
9474-8067 (17541)
Invested
$134.63
Value
$132.07
PnL
-$2.56
Record
76%
23856-7556 (31412)
Invested
$92.63
Value
$74.42
PnL
-$18.21
Record
56%
18725-14487 (33212)
Invested
$104.64
Value
—
PnL
-$104.64
Record
62%
16951-10506 (27457)
Invested
$118.82
Value
—
PnL
-$118.82
Record
56%
11603-9163 (20766)
Invested
$56.94
Value
$65.33
PnL
+$9.94
Record
62%
13789-8632 (22421)
Invested
$50.04
Value
$60.86
PnL
+$10.82
Record
59%
19613-13491 (33104)
Invested
$47.31
Value
$59.05
PnL
+$11.74
Record
63%
18940-11157 (30097)
Invested
$51.46
Value
$55.05
PnL
+$3.59
Record
55%
14649-11779 (26428)
Invested
$13
Value
$44.08
PnL
+$31.08
Record
58%
11025-8080 (19105)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$41.63
Value
$41
PnL
-$0.63
Record
58%
16156-11767 (27923)
Invested
$43.38
Value
$37.39
PnL
-$5.99
Record
67%
13414-6676 (20090)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$19.46
Value
$21.87
PnL
+$2.41
Record
58%
14387-10289 (24676)
Invested
$28.2
Value
$20
PnL
-$8.2
Record
60%
9412-6215 (15627)
Invested
$73.87
Value
—
PnL
-$73.87
Record
61%
11473-7481 (18954)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
69%
27838-12318 (40156)
Invested
$26.49
Value
—
PnL
-$26.49
Record
55%
6685-5492 (12177)
Invested
$7.1
Value
—
PnL
-$7.1
Record
56%
14897-11878 (26775)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14564-11296 (25860)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
12849-9178 (22027)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13486-10515 (24001)
Invested
$296.53
Value
—
PnL
-$162.78
Record
70%
46480-19752 (66232)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
11563-8892 (20455)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
3127-1659 (4786)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
EZTRADENL2
Down — $352.01
thesidehustle
Down — $192
asdaefef
Down — $132.07
spartacray
Down — $74.42
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
CTRUp — $0
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $65.33
rabadabadoo
Down — $60.86
dvasdkasodk
Down — $59.05
sir-upalot
Down — $55.05