Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 77%
1 arb excluded
$2.7K
$581.64
Smart Money Signal
21 of 27 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 88.6¢ | $646.79 | $660.36 | +$13.57 | 56% 13462-10496 (23958) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $365.24 | $368.93 | +$3.69 | 80% 53572-13625 (67197) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 88.5¢ | $284.19 | $252.88 | -$31.3 | 56% 7608-5983 (13591) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 76.5¢ | $208.66 | $259 | +$50.34 | 56% 6834-5328 (12162) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100 | Upavg 75.1¢ | $199.03 | $224.61 | +$25.58 | 56% 14453-11241 (25694) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 75.1¢ | $168.73 | $224.61 | +$55.88 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25.3¢ | $30.3 | — | -$30.3 | |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 92¢ | $136.26 | $138.29 | +$2.02 | 61% 11454-7459 (18913) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 79.2¢ | $107.42 | $118.09 | +$10.67 | 55% 6662-5474 (12136) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 88.3¢ | $92.95 | $96 | +$3.05 | 54% 9424-8028 (17452) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Upavg 88.4¢ | $74.48 | $84.22 | +$9.74 | 56% 18706-14465 (33171) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.3¢ | $34.5 | — | -$34.5 | 57% 10203-7584 (17787) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Upavg 85.6¢ | $59.9 | $70 | +$10.1 | 56% 11574-9151 (20725) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $74.1 | $94.85 | +$20.75 | 58% 12757-9131 (21888) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100 | Upavg 94.3¢ | $45.35 | $48 | +$2.65 | 62% 16934-10482 (27416) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.6¢ | $41.14 | — | -$41.14 | 68% 24550-11742 (36292) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $45.6 | $60 | +$14.4 | 57% 11276-8599 (19875) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $26.86 | — | -$26.86 | 65% 14940-7968 (22908) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $24.87 | $28.26 | +$3.39 | 67% 13299-6604 (19903) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $25.56 | $28.4 | +$2.84 | 76% 24065-7754 (31819) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $33.67 | $46.12 | +$12.45 | 70% 19902-8330 (28232) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 87.1¢ | $21.17 | $24.3 | +$3.13 | 61% 13689-8590 (22279) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $29.58 | $41.09 | +$11.51 | 82% 53794-11789 (65583) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $11.81 | $9.58 | -$2.23 | 55% 14629-11762 (26391) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $25.6 | $32.16 | +$6.56 | 75% 22946-7517 (30463) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $24.46 | $31.76 | +$7.3 | 58% 10768-7911 (18679) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $14.86 | — | -$14.86 | 60% 14506-9855 (24361) |
Invested
$646.79
Value
$660.36
PnL
+$13.57
Record
56%
13462-10496 (23958)
BoneOhioInvested
$365.24
Value
$368.93
PnL
+$3.69
Record
80%
53572-13625 (67197)
machinelearnedInvested
$284.19
Value
$252.88
PnL
-$31.3
Record
56%
7608-5983 (13591)
Invested
$208.66
Value
$259
PnL
+$50.34
Record
56%
6834-5328 (12162)
Invested
$199.03
Value
$224.61
PnL
+$25.58
Record
56%
14453-11241 (25694)
Both legs:
Invested
$136.26
Value
$138.29
PnL
+$2.02
Record
61%
11454-7459 (18913)
Invested
$107.42
Value
$118.09
PnL
+$10.67
Record
55%
6662-5474 (12136)
Invested
$92.95
Value
$96
PnL
+$3.05
Record
54%
9424-8028 (17452)
Invested
$74.48
Value
$84.22
PnL
+$9.74
Record
56%
18706-14465 (33171)
Invested
$34.5
Value
—
PnL
-$34.5
Record
57%
10203-7584 (17787)
Invested
$59.9
Value
$70
PnL
+$10.1
Record
56%
11574-9151 (20725)
Invested
$74.1
Value
$94.85
PnL
+$20.75
Record
58%
12757-9131 (21888)
Invested
$45.35
Value
$48
PnL
+$2.65
Record
62%
16934-10482 (27416)
Invested
$41.14
Value
—
PnL
-$41.14
Record
68%
24550-11742 (36292)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$45.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$14.4
Record
57%
11276-8599 (19875)
Invested
$26.86
Value
—
PnL
-$26.86
Record
65%
14940-7968 (22908)
Invested
$24.87
Value
$28.26
PnL
+$3.39
Record
67%
13299-6604 (19903)
ohioism<$100Invested
$25.56
Value
$28.4
PnL
+$2.84
Record
76%
24065-7754 (31819)
Invested
$33.67
Value
$46.12
PnL
+$12.45
Record
70%
19902-8330 (28232)
Invested
$21.17
Value
$24.3
PnL
+$3.13
Record
61%
13689-8590 (22279)
Invested
$29.58
Value
$41.09
PnL
+$11.51
Record
82%
53794-11789 (65583)
Invested
$11.81
Value
$9.58
PnL
-$2.23
Record
55%
14629-11762 (26391)
Invested
$25.6
Value
$32.16
PnL
+$6.56
Record
75%
22946-7517 (30463)
Invested
$24.46
Value
$31.76
PnL
+$7.3
Record
58%
10768-7911 (18679)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$14.86
Value
—
PnL
-$14.86
Record
60%
14506-9855 (24361)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $660.36
BoneOhio
Up — $368.93
machinelearned
Up — $252.88
wzbbb
Up — $259
dangerously-skip-permissions
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $138.29
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $118.09
thesidehustle
Up — $96
spartacray
Up — $84.22
EZTRADENL2
CTRDown — $0