Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 66%

Total Value

$3.6K

Combined PnL

-$193.07

Smart Money Signal

Down

23 of 35 top traders (66%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down23 traders

Total Value$3.6K

Total Shares3,554

Combined PnL+$692.05

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,255

Combined PnL-$885.12

Down — 66%Up — 34%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 64.9¢	$671.27	$633.85	-$37.43	56% 13401-10459 (23860)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 56.9¢	$415.31	$625.47	+$210.16	56% 6794-5289 (12083)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 43.8¢	$446.23	$592.72	+$146.49	56% 14421-11212 (25633)
FairValueMachine	Downavg 54.4¢	$264.83	$368.53	+$103.7	57% 11081-8411 (19492)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Upavg 42.6¢	$133.75	—	-$125.49	53% 11852-10386 (22238)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 82.3¢	$280.85	$205.43	-$75.42	55% 6634-5438 (12072)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 40.8¢	$153.81	$206.06	+$52.25	58% 12724-9105 (21829)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 55.7¢	$154.49	$194.95	+$40.46	61% 11419-7428 (18847)
machinelearnedCTR	Upavg 75¢	$204.41	—	-$204.41	56% 7517-5902 (13419)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR	Upavg 52.4¢	$101.73	—	-$101.73	57% 10057-7467 (17524)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 4.4¢	$39.03	—	-$39.03	77% 23196-6978 (30174)
OhioRiskManagement	Downavg 29.2¢	$40.82	$109.34	+$68.52	59% 14166-9784 (23950)
HS Hsilverbasher	Downavg 37.1¢	$61.89	$167	+$105.11	56% 11571-9121 (20692)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100	Downavg 87.4¢	$86.04	$65	-$21.04	62% 16871-10447 (27318)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894CTR<$100	Upavg 38.7¢	$84.77	—	-$84.77	65% 14875-7928 (22803)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cCTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$74.43	—	-$74.43	56% 11540-9115 (20655)
SP spartacrayCTR<$100	Upavg 46.1¢	$71.96	—	-$71.96	56% 18571-14357 (32928)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Upavg 75¢	$83.52	—	-$83.52	54% 9369-7985 (17354)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 92.7¢	$46.64	$50.29	+$3.65	83% 44804-8899 (53703)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 75¢	$28.56	$38.09	+$9.53	75% 22486-7474 (29960)
HF hfskjnvouCTR<$100	Upavg 70¢	$33	—	-$33	51% 151-144 (295)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 44.8¢	$27.01	$60.25	+$33.24	67% 23185-11428 (34613)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Downavg 99¢	$25.17	$25.42	+$0.25	62% 38229-23726 (61955)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$46.69	—	-$46.69	58% 6469-4604 (11073)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 93¢	$24.7	$26.56	+$1.86	61% 13569-8539 (22108)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$671.27

Value

$633.85

PnL

-$37.43

Record

56%

13401-10459 (23860)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$415.31

Value

$625.47

PnL

+$210.16

Record

56%

6794-5289 (12083)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$446.23

Value

$592.72

PnL

+$146.49

Record

56%

14421-11212 (25633)

FairValueMachine

Down

Invested

$264.83

Value

$368.53

PnL

+$103.7

Record

57%

11081-8411 (19492)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR

Invested

$133.75

Value

—

PnL

-$125.49

Record

53%

11852-10386 (22238)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$280.85

Value

$205.43

PnL

-$75.42

Record

55%

6634-5438 (12072)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$153.81

Value

$206.06

PnL

+$52.25

Record

58%

12724-9105 (21829)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$154.49

Value

$194.95

PnL

+$40.46

Record

61%

11419-7428 (18847)

machinelearnedCTR

Invested

$204.41

Value

—

PnL

-$204.41

Record

56%

7517-5902 (13419)

EZTRADENL2CTR

Invested

$101.73

Value

—

PnL

-$101.73

Record

57%

10057-7467 (17524)

0x50f7CTR<$100

Invested

$39.03

Value

—

PnL

-$39.03

Record

77%

23196-6978 (30174)

OhioRiskManagement

Down

Invested

$40.82

Value

$109.34

PnL

+$68.52

Record

59%

14166-9784 (23950)

Hsilverbasher

Down

Invested

$61.89

Value

$167

PnL

+$105.11

Record

56%

11571-9121 (20692)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100

Down

Invested

$86.04

Value

$65

PnL

-$21.04

Record

62%

16871-10447 (27318)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894CTR<$100

Invested

$84.77

Value

—

PnL

-$84.77

Record

65%

14875-7928 (22803)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cCTR<$100

Invested

$74.43

Value

—

PnL

-$74.43

Record

56%

11540-9115 (20655)

spartacrayCTR<$100

Invested

$71.96

Value

—

PnL

-$71.96

Record

56%

18571-14357 (32928)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$83.52

Value

—

PnL

-$83.52

Record

54%

9369-7985 (17354)

BoneOhio<$100

Down

Invested

$46.64

Value

$50.29

PnL

+$3.65

Record

83%

44804-8899 (53703)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$28.56

Value

$38.09

PnL

+$9.53

Record

75%

22486-7474 (29960)

hfskjnvouCTR<$100

Invested

$33

Value

—

PnL

-$33

Record

51%

151-144 (295)

PBot-6<$100

Down

Invested

$27.01

Value

$60.25

PnL

+$33.24

Record

67%

23185-11428 (34613)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Down

Invested

$25.17

Value

$25.42

PnL

+$0.25

Record

62%

38229-23726 (61955)

aaa221CTR<$100

Invested

$46.69

Value

—

PnL

-$46.69

Record

58%

6469-4604 (11073)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$24.7

Value

$26.56

PnL

+$1.86

Record

61%

13569-8539 (22108)

Smart Money Signal

Down

23 of 35 top traders (66%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x60969bbe...461ed2

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792915500

Traders in this Market

CrouchPredictions

Down — $633.85

-$37.43

wzbbb

Down — $625.47

+$210.16

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $592.72

+$146.49

FairValueMachine

Down — $368.53

+$103.7

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Up — $0

-$125.49

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down — $205.43

-$75.42

GoodFallen

Down — $206.06

+$52.25

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $194.95

machinelearned

Up — $0

EZTRADENL2

Up — $0