Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 85%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

$188.95

Smart Money Signal

23 of 27 top traders (85%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up23 traders

Total Value$2.8K

Total Shares2,832

Combined PnL+$207.49

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares269

Combined PnL-$18.54

Up — 85%Down — 15%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 84.2¢	$804.83	$826.67	+$21.84	56% 13401-10459 (23860)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 92.2¢	$659.91	$622	-$37.91	56% 6794-5289 (12083)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 69.2¢	$262.04	$378.53	+$116.49	70% 19712-8281 (27993)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Upavg 78.5¢	$177.12	$148.17	-$28.95	56% 14421-11212 (25633)
└ Up leg	Upavg 78.5¢	$116.29	$148.17	+$31.88
└ Down leg	Downavg 20.3¢	$60.83	—	-$60.83
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$148.97	$149.12	+$0.15	77% 23196-6978 (30174)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 96.8¢	$140.53	$133	-$7.53	59% 14166-9784 (23950)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 83.8¢	$112.21	$125.52	+$13.31	54% 9369-7985 (17354)
machinelearnedARB<$100	Upavg 92.4¢	$90.26	$92.32	+$2.06	56% 7517-5902 (13419)
└ Up leg	Upavg 92.4¢	$85.26	$92.32	+$7.06
└ Down leg	Downavg 4¢	$5	—	-$5
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 83.9¢	$71.02	$79.82	+$8.79	61% 11419-7428 (18847)
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Downavg 19.6¢	$67.67	$37.37	-$30.3	58% 12724-9105 (21829)
└ Down leg	Downavg 19.6¢	$37.57	—	-$37.57
└ Up leg	Upavg 80.5¢	$30.09	$37.37	+$7.28
FairValueMachineARB<$100	Downavg 21.8¢	$54.6	$30	-$24.6	57% 11081-8411 (19492)
└ Down leg	Downavg 21.8¢	$30.95	—	-$30.95
└ Up leg	Upavg 78.8¢	$23.65	$30	+$6.35
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894<$100	Upavg 62.4¢	$56.76	$91	+$34.24	65% 14875-7928 (22803)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100	Upavg 88.3¢	$33.53	$36	+$2.47	62% 16871-10447 (27318)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Upavg 86.6¢	$35.01	$36.29	+$1.28	56% 11540-9115 (20655)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100	Upavg 77¢	$29.64	$31	+$1.36	68% 33599-15456 (49055)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Upavg 77.5¢	$31.6	$40.77	+$9.17	60% 9317-6132 (15449)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 79¢	$48.6	$61.52	+$12.92	77% 41364-12330 (53694)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 80.7¢	$31.43	$38.93	+$7.5	75% 22486-7474 (29960)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 80¢	$46.5	$58.12	+$11.62	75% 23276-7607 (30883)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 85¢	$30.17	$35.48	+$5.31	61% 13569-8539 (22108)
SP spartacray<$100	Upavg 95¢	$24.19	$24	-$0.19	56% 18571-14357 (32928)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 90.2¢	$21.9	$24.27	+$2.37	62% 18051-11002 (29053)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Downavg 14.5¢	$11.24	—	-$11.24	57% 10057-7467 (17524)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 80.6¢	$13.54	$12.24	-$1.3	59% 18579-12793 (31372)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2.7¢	$4.85	—	-$4.85	58% 14506-10295 (24801)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$804.83

Value

$826.67

PnL

+$21.84

Record

56%

13401-10459 (23860)

wzbbb

Invested

$659.91

Value

$622

PnL

-$37.91

Record

56%

6794-5289 (12083)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$262.04

Value

$378.53

PnL

+$116.49

Record

70%

19712-8281 (27993)

dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100

Invested

$177.12

Value

$148.17

PnL

-$28.95

Record

56%

14421-11212 (25633)

Both legs:

Up$116.2978.5¢+$31.88

Down$60.8320.3¢-$60.83

0x50f7

Invested

$148.97

Value

$149.12

PnL

+$0.15

Record

77%

23196-6978 (30174)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$140.53

Value

$133

PnL

-$7.53

Record

59%

14166-9784 (23950)

thesidehustle

Invested

$112.21

Value

$125.52

PnL

+$13.31

Record

54%

9369-7985 (17354)

machinelearnedARB<$100

Invested

$90.26

Value

$92.32

PnL

+$2.06

Record

56%

7517-5902 (13419)

Both legs:

Up$85.2692.4¢+$7.06

Down$54¢-$5

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$71.02

Value

$79.82

PnL

+$8.79

Record

61%

11419-7428 (18847)

GoodFallenARB<$100

Down

Invested

$67.67

Value

$37.37

PnL

-$30.3

Record

58%

12724-9105 (21829)

Both legs:

Down$37.5719.6¢-$37.57

Up$30.0980.5¢+$7.28

FairValueMachineARB<$100

Down

Invested

$54.6

Value

$30

PnL

-$24.6

Record

57%

11081-8411 (19492)

Both legs:

Down$30.9521.8¢-$30.95

Up$23.6578.8¢+$6.35

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894<$100

Invested

$56.76

Value

$91

PnL

+$34.24

Record

65%

14875-7928 (22803)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100

Invested

$33.53

Value

$36

PnL

+$2.47

Record

62%

16871-10447 (27318)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Invested

$35.01

Value

$36.29

PnL

+$1.28

Record

56%

11540-9115 (20655)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100

Invested

$29.64

Value

$31

PnL

+$1.36

Record

68%

33599-15456 (49055)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Invested

$31.6

Value

$40.77

PnL

+$9.17

Record

60%

9317-6132 (15449)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$48.6

Value

$61.52

PnL

+$12.92

Record

77%

41364-12330 (53694)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$31.43

Value

$38.93

PnL

+$7.5

Record

75%

22486-7474 (29960)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$46.5

Value

$58.12

PnL

+$11.62

Record

75%

23276-7607 (30883)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$30.17

Value

$35.48

PnL

+$5.31

Record

61%

13569-8539 (22108)

spartacray<$100

Invested

$24.19

Value

$24

PnL

-$0.19

Record

56%

18571-14357 (32928)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$21.9

Value

$24.27

PnL

+$2.37

Record

62%

18051-11002 (29053)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$11.24

Value

—

PnL

-$11.24

Record

57%

10057-7467 (17524)

rabadabadoo<$100

Invested

$13.54

Value

$12.24

PnL

-$1.3

Record

59%

18579-12793 (31372)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.85

Value

—

PnL

-$4.85

Record

58%

14506-10295 (24801)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 27 top traders (85%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xb4e6228e...df867d

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792913700

Traders in this Market

CrouchPredictions

Up — $826.67

+$21.84

wzbbb

Up — $622

-$37.91

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $378.53

+$116.49

dangerously-skip-permissions

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$28.95

0x50f7

Up — $149.12

+$0.15

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $133

-$7.53

thesidehustle

Up — $125.52

+$13.31

machinelearned

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$2.06

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $79.82

GoodFallen

Arbitrage — excluded