Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.9K

Combined PnL

$521.39

Smart Money Signal

23 of 28 top traders (82%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up23 traders

Total Value$4.4K

Total Shares4,393

Combined PnL+$667.96

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares712

Combined PnL-$146.58

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 64.3¢	$763.98	$901.07	+$137.09	56% 13401-10459 (23860)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 85.8¢	$710.85	$724.4	+$13.55	56% 6794-5289 (12083)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 79.1¢	$484.83	$613.2	+$128.38	56% 31413-24251 (55664)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Upavg 71.7¢	$340.79	$258.63	-$82.17	56% 14421-11212 (25633)
└ Up leg	Upavg 71.7¢	$185.31	$258.63	+$73.32
└ Down leg	Downavg 25.2¢	$155.48	—	-$155.48
machinelearned	Upavg 40.2¢	$168.07	$363.62	+$195.55	56% 7517-5902 (13419)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 94.5¢	$254.27	$269.03	+$14.76	58% 10472-7684 (18156)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 85.7¢	$257.01	$299.99	+$42.98	53% 11852-10386 (22238)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144	Upavg 70.6¢	$207.34	$210.36	+$3.02	68% 33599-15456 (49055)
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingARB<$100	Upavg 73.9¢	$119.9	$108.82	-$11.08	61% 11419-7428 (18847)
└ Up leg	Upavg 73.9¢	$80.47	$108.82	+$28.35
└ Down leg	Downavg 17.6¢	$39.43	—	-$39.43
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Downavg 23.9¢	$142.82	$80.42	-$62.4	58% 12724-9105 (21829)
└ Up leg	Upavg 76.6¢	$61.57	$80.42	+$18.85
└ Down leg	Downavg 23.9¢	$81.25	—	-$81.25
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 71.1¢	$132.64	$140.48	+$7.84	57% 10057-7467 (17524)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 90.5¢	$118.96	$123.57	+$8.41	55% 6634-5438 (12072)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 74.5¢	$92.88	$107.5	+$14.62	54% 9369-7985 (17354)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 64¢	$88.71	$98.17	+$9.47	86% 39944-6718 (46662)
FairValueMachineARB<$100	Downavg 20.9¢	$84.18	$45.62	-$38.57	57% 11081-8411 (19492)
└ Down leg	Downavg 20.9¢	$53.76	—	-$53.76
└ Up leg	Upavg 66.7¢	$30.42	$45.62	+$15.2
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Upavg 85.3¢	$73.85	$64.13	-$9.72	56% 11540-9115 (20655)
SP spartacray<$100	Upavg 84.3¢	$59.71	$64	+$4.29	56% 18571-14357 (32928)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894CTR<$100	Downavg 27.9¢	$50.51	—	-$50.51	65% 14875-7928 (22803)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 72.2¢	$50.58	$70.07	+$19.49	75% 22486-7474 (29960)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 79.2¢	$54.15	$68.36	+$14.21	61% 13569-8539 (22108)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 12.4¢	$36.31	—	-$36.31	58% 14506-10295 (24801)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Upavg 73.7¢	$44.4	$60.26	+$15.86	60% 9317-6132 (15449)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 64.9¢	$40.8	$62.89	+$22.09	77% 41364-12330 (53694)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 15.1¢	$32.64	—	-$32.64	59% 14166-9784 (23950)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100	Upavg 84¢	$38.92	$36	-$2.92	62% 16871-10447 (27318)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$763.98

Value

$901.07

PnL

+$137.09

Record

56%

13401-10459 (23860)

wzbbb

Invested

$710.85

Value

$724.4

PnL

+$13.55

Record

56%

6794-5289 (12083)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$484.83

Value

$613.2

PnL

+$128.38

Record

56%

31413-24251 (55664)

dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100

Invested

$340.79

Value

$258.63

PnL

-$82.17

Record

56%

14421-11212 (25633)

Both legs:

Up$185.3171.7¢+$73.32

Down$155.4825.2¢-$155.48

machinelearned

Invested

$168.07

Value

$363.62

PnL

+$195.55

Record

56%

7517-5902 (13419)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$254.27

Value

$269.03

PnL

+$14.76

Record

58%

10472-7684 (18156)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$257.01

Value

$299.99

PnL

+$42.98

Record

53%

11852-10386 (22238)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Invested

$207.34

Value

$210.36

PnL

+$3.02

Record

68%

33599-15456 (49055)

Repentant-Dealer-GlidingARB<$100

Invested

$119.9

Value

$108.82

PnL

-$11.08

Record

61%

11419-7428 (18847)

Both legs:

Up$80.4773.9¢+$28.35

Down$39.4317.6¢-$39.43

GoodFallenARB<$100

Down

Invested

$142.82

Value

$80.42

PnL

-$62.4

Record

58%

12724-9105 (21829)

Both legs:

Up$61.5776.6¢+$18.85

Down$81.2523.9¢-$81.25

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$132.64

Value

$140.48

PnL

+$7.84

Record

57%

10057-7467 (17524)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$118.96

Value

$123.57

PnL

+$8.41

Record

55%

6634-5438 (12072)

thesidehustle

Invested

$92.88

Value

$107.5

PnL

+$14.62

Record

54%

9369-7985 (17354)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$88.71

Value

$98.17

PnL

+$9.47

Record

86%

39944-6718 (46662)

FairValueMachineARB<$100

Down

Invested

$84.18

Value

$45.62

PnL

-$38.57

Record

57%

11081-8411 (19492)

Both legs:

Down$53.7620.9¢-$53.76

Up$30.4266.7¢+$15.2

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Invested

$73.85

Value

$64.13

PnL

-$9.72

Record

56%

11540-9115 (20655)

spartacray<$100

Invested

$59.71

Value

$64

PnL

+$4.29

Record

56%

18571-14357 (32928)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$50.51

Value

—

PnL

-$50.51

Record

65%

14875-7928 (22803)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$50.58

Value

$70.07

PnL

+$19.49

Record

75%

22486-7474 (29960)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$54.15

Value

$68.36

PnL

+$14.21

Record

61%

13569-8539 (22108)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$36.31

Value

—

PnL

-$36.31

Record

58%

14506-10295 (24801)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Invested

$44.4

Value

$60.26

PnL

+$15.86

Record

60%

9317-6132 (15449)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$40.8

Value

$62.89

PnL

+$22.09

Record

77%

41364-12330 (53694)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$32.64

Value

—

PnL

-$32.64

Record

59%

14166-9784 (23950)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100

Invested

$38.92

Value

$36

PnL

-$2.92

Record

62%

16871-10447 (27318)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 28 top traders (82%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xcc102128...f09fb0

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792913400

Traders in this Market

CrouchPredictions

Up — $901.07

+$137.09

wzbbb

Up — $724.4

+$13.55

uninformedfloww

Up — $613.2

+$128.38

dangerously-skip-permissions

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$82.17

machinelearned

Up — $363.62

+$195.55

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $269.03

+$14.76

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $299.99

+$42.98

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Up — $210.36

+$3.02

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Arbitrage — excluded

GoodFallen

Arbitrage — excluded