Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Up 88%
$3.6K
$115.76
Smart Money Signal
19 of 30 top traders (63%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $2.5K | $2.5K | +$25.47 | 78% 10494-2919 (13413) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 92.9¢ | $205.62 | $221.21 | +$17.74 | 61% 11419-7428 (18847) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 71¢ | $192.98 | $214 | +$21.02 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 80¢ | $121.65 | $152.06 | +$30.41 | 64% 12116-6779 (18895) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 80¢ | $80.31 | $100.39 | +$20.08 | 57% 12593-9662 (22255) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894 | Upavg 65.6¢ | $109.74 | $91 | -$18.74 | 65% 14875-7928 (22803) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 48.9¢ | $24.32 | $49.75 | +$25.42 | 67% 23185-11428 (34613) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $66.98 | $44 | -$22.33 | 55% 6634-5438 (12072) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $43.65 | $45 | +$1.35 | 93% 20154-1617 (21771) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82.4¢ | $36.71 | $44.57 | +$7.86 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 69.7¢ | $30.67 | $44 | +$13.33 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $21.85 | $25.41 | +$3.56 | 56% 14781-11800 (26581) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 77.1¢ | $19.34 | $25.09 | +$5.75 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 93.7¢ | $19.42 | $19 | -$0.42 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $13.05 | $15.35 | +$2.3 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.4¢ | $24.4 | — | -$24.4 | 57% 10057-7467 (17524) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.9¢ | $17.22 | — | +$2.88 | 59% 18579-12793 (31372) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14421-11212 (25633) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 12724-9105 (21829) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13401-10459 (23860) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 7517-5902 (13419) |
![]() FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 11081-8411 (19492) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 63.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 70% 19712-8281 (27993) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 6794-5289 (12083) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 14166-9784 (23950) |
Invested
$2,521.53
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$25.47
Record
78%
10494-2919 (13413)
Invested
$205.62
Value
$221.21
PnL
+$17.74
Record
61%
11419-7428 (18847)
Invested
$192.98
Value
$214
PnL
+$21.02
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
Invested
$121.65
Value
$152.06
PnL
+$30.41
Record
64%
12116-6779 (18895)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$80.31
Value
$100.39
PnL
+$20.08
Record
57%
12593-9662 (22255)
Invested
$109.74
Value
$91
PnL
-$18.74
Record
65%
14875-7928 (22803)
Invested
$24.32
Value
$49.75
PnL
+$25.42
Record
67%
23185-11428 (34613)
Invested
$66.98
Value
$44
PnL
-$22.33
Record
55%
6634-5438 (12072)
Invested
$43.65
Value
$45
PnL
+$1.35
Record
93%
20154-1617 (21771)
Invested
$36.71
Value
$44.57
PnL
+$7.86
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$30.67
Value
$44
PnL
+$13.33
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
Invested
$21.85
Value
$25.41
PnL
+$3.56
Record
56%
14781-11800 (26581)
Invested
$19.34
Value
$25.09
PnL
+$5.75
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
Invested
$19.42
Value
$19
PnL
-$0.42
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
Invested
$13.05
Value
$15.35
PnL
+$2.3
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
Invested
$24.4
Value
—
PnL
-$24.4
Record
57%
10057-7467 (17524)
Invested
$17.22
Value
—
PnL
+$2.88
Record
59%
18579-12793 (31372)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14421-11212 (25633)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
12724-9105 (21829)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13401-10459 (23860)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
7517-5902 (13419)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
11081-8411 (19492)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
70%
19712-8281 (27993)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
6794-5289 (12083)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
14166-9784 (23950)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up — $2.5K
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $221.21
thesidehustle
Up — $214
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $152.06

G-Penis-Monster
Up — $100.39
0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894
Up — $91
PBot-6
Up — $49.75
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $44
hoodquant
Up — $45
asdaefef
Up — $44.57