Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 88%
4 arb excluded
$3.1K
-$123.88
Smart Money Signal
15 of 17 top traders (88%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 69.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.0K | -$7.56 | 57% 9916-7429 (17345) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 54.4¢ | $511.37 | $507.03 | -$4.34 | 54% 15047-12962 (28009) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 54.4¢ | $275.7 | $507.03 | +$231.33 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 35.9¢ | $235.67 | — | -$235.67 | |
TH thesidehustleARB<$100 | Upavg 60.5¢ | $348.79 | $302.76 | -$46.03 | 54% 9972-8475 (18447) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.5¢ | $183.19 | $302.76 | +$119.57 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 41.1¢ | $165.6 | — | -$165.6 | |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR | Downavg 39.9¢ | $368.78 | — | -$368.78 | 73% 94940-35570 (130510) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 47.1¢ | $186.97 | $396.91 | +$209.93 | 56% 13779-10787 (24566) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 62.2¢ | $160.25 | $223.79 | +$63.54 | 56% 7242-5592 (12834) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 72.8¢ | $201.17 | $163.25 | -$37.92 | 64% 57093-31900 (88993) |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 70.2¢ | $105.39 | $94.65 | -$10.73 | 57% 6441-4784 (11225) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 70.2¢ | $66.49 | $94.65 | +$28.16 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 43.2¢ | $38.9 | — | -$38.9 | |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94.5¢ | $85.04 | $63.06 | -$21.98 | 66% 123499-63579 (187078) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $38.96 | $77.7 | +$38.74 | 59% 37117-26296 (63413) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100 | Downavg 60.3¢ | $74.3 | $41.62 | -$32.68 | 56% 16881-13534 (30415) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 60.3¢ | $43.65 | — | -$43.65 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 73.6¢ | $30.65 | $41.62 | +$10.97 | |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $29.73 | $28 | -$1.73 | 52% 88635-83063 (171698) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 77.6¢ | $27.22 | $35.08 | +$7.86 | 64% 39486-22518 (62004) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.2¢ | $19.01 | — | -$19.01 | 55% 43408-35825 (79233) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 80.8¢ | $21.49 | $26.59 | +$5.1 | 74% 101825-36243 (138068) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80.6¢ | $33.6 | $25.58 | +$1 | 65% 20299-11074 (31373) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $9.2 | $10.58 | +$1.38 | 56% 57244-44253 (101497) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $8.2 | $10 | +$1.8 | 62% 43427-26319 (69746) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $5 | $7.81 | +$2.81 | 66% 110995-57210 (168205) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $4.35 | $5 | +$0.65 | 65% 3750-2020 (5770) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $2.25 | $2.53 | +$0.28 | 69% 1563-705 (2268) |
Invested
$1,050.22
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$7.56
Record
57%
9916-7429 (17345)
Invested
$511.37
Value
$507.03
PnL
-$4.34
Record
54%
15047-12962 (28009)
Both legs:
Invested
$348.79
Value
$302.76
PnL
-$46.03
Record
54%
9972-8475 (18447)
Both legs:
Invested
$368.78
Value
—
PnL
-$368.78
Record
73%
94940-35570 (130510)
Invested
$186.97
Value
$396.91
PnL
+$209.93
Record
56%
13779-10787 (24566)
Invested
$160.25
Value
$223.79
PnL
+$63.54
Record
56%
7242-5592 (12834)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$201.17
Value
$163.25
PnL
-$37.92
Record
64%
57093-31900 (88993)
Invested
$105.39
Value
$94.65
PnL
-$10.73
Record
57%
6441-4784 (11225)
Both legs:
Invested
$85.04
Value
$63.06
PnL
-$21.98
Record
66%
123499-63579 (187078)
Invested
$38.96
Value
$77.7
PnL
+$38.74
Record
59%
37117-26296 (63413)
Invested
$74.3
Value
$41.62
PnL
-$32.68
Record
56%
16881-13534 (30415)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.73
Value
$28
PnL
-$1.73
Record
52%
88635-83063 (171698)
ohioism<$100Invested
$27.22
Value
$35.08
PnL
+$7.86
Record
64%
39486-22518 (62004)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$19.01
Value
—
PnL
-$19.01
Record
55%
43408-35825 (79233)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$21.49
Value
$26.59
PnL
+$5.1
Record
74%
101825-36243 (138068)
Invested
$33.6
Value
$25.58
PnL
+$1
Record
65%
20299-11074 (31373)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$10.58
PnL
+$1.38
Record
56%
57244-44253 (101497)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.8
Record
62%
43427-26319 (69746)
Invested
$5
Value
$7.81
PnL
+$2.81
Record
66%
110995-57210 (168205)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.65
Record
65%
3750-2020 (5770)
Invested
$2.25
Value
$2.53
PnL
+$0.28
Record
69%
1563-705 (2268)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $1.0K
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thesidehustle
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRDown — $0
CrouchPredictions
Up — $396.91
wzbbb
Up — $223.79
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $163.25
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdaefef
Up — $63.06
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $77.7