Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 78%
$22.3K
-$39.89
Smart Money Signal
18 of 23 top traders (78%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.0K | $6.0K | +$6.01 | 85% 57548-10544 (68092) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 97.2¢ | $4.5K | $4.6K | +$131.14 | 59% 37055-26228 (63283) |
SH Sharky6999 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $4.4K | $4.4K | +$4.37 | 98% 6758-156 (6914) |
![]() BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30.01 | 74% 101033-36153 (137186) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $2.7K | $2.7K | +$27.13 | 93% 21935-1697 (23632) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 82.6¢ | $689.13 | $505.32 | -$183.81 | 57% 9913-7414 (17327) |
0X 0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5gh | Downavg 71.9¢ | $285.14 | $298.37 | +$13.23 | 57% 1288-958 (2246) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Downavg 91.5¢ | $277.71 | $303.56 | +$25.85 | 55% 43094-35539 (78633) |
BE berlinskiesCTR | Upavg 51¢ | $132.6 | — | -$132.6 | 58% 5683-4183 (9866) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $34.31 | — | -$34.31 | 56% 7230-5580 (12810) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $65.8 | $70 | +$4.2 | 54% 15030-12937 (27967) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 50¢ | $67 | $134 | +$67 | 66% 97696-50250 (147946) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.4¢ | $61.1 | $62.08 | +$0.98 | 63% 49903-29546 (79449) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $38.99 | $39.99 | +$1 | 57% 6436-4772 (11208) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $37.5 | $75 | +$37.5 | 58% 12400-9044 (21444) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $34.49 | $68.2 | +$33.71 | 58% 50428-36579 (87007) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $21.02 | $25.08 | +$4.06 | 56% 57212-44229 (101441) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $12.6 | — | -$12.6 | 51% 19457-18674 (38131) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96.6¢ | $24.87 | $10.51 | +$0.71 | 65% 20263-11052 (31315) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.9¢ | $4.3 | — | -$4.3 | 55% 16679-13386 (30065) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100 | Upavg 0.4¢ | $62.77 | — | -$62.77 | 53% 1945-1759 (3704) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $10.79 | $13 | +$2.21 | 52% 88160-82530 (170690) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $6.79 | $8.18 | +$1.39 | 64% 39399-22464 (61863) |
Invested
$6,002
Value
$6.0K
PnL
+$6.01
Record
85%
57548-10544 (68092)
Invested
$4,505.86
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$131.14
Record
59%
37055-26228 (63283)
Invested
$4,366.45
Value
$4.4K
PnL
+$4.37
Record
98%
6758-156 (6914)
BoneOhioInvested
$2,970.89
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30.01
Record
74%
101033-36153 (137186)
Invested
$2,685.87
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$27.13
Record
93%
21935-1697 (23632)
Invested
$689.13
Value
$505.32
PnL
-$183.81
Record
57%
9913-7414 (17327)
Invested
$285.14
Value
$298.37
PnL
+$13.23
Record
57%
1288-958 (2246)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$277.71
Value
$303.56
PnL
+$25.85
Record
55%
43094-35539 (78633)
Invested
$132.6
Value
—
PnL
-$132.6
Record
58%
5683-4183 (9866)
Invested
$34.31
Value
—
PnL
-$34.31
Record
56%
7230-5580 (12810)
Invested
$65.8
Value
$70
PnL
+$4.2
Record
54%
15030-12937 (27967)
Invested
$67
Value
$134
PnL
+$67
Record
66%
97696-50250 (147946)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$61.1
Value
$62.08
PnL
+$0.98
Record
63%
49903-29546 (79449)
Invested
$38.99
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$1
Record
57%
6436-4772 (11208)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
$75
PnL
+$37.5
Record
58%
12400-9044 (21444)
Invested
$34.49
Value
$68.2
PnL
+$33.71
Record
58%
50428-36579 (87007)
Invested
$21.02
Value
$25.08
PnL
+$4.06
Record
56%
57212-44229 (101441)
Invested
$12.6
Value
—
PnL
-$12.6
Record
51%
19457-18674 (38131)
Invested
$24.87
Value
$10.51
PnL
+$0.71
Record
65%
20263-11052 (31315)
Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$4.3
Record
55%
16679-13386 (30065)
Invested
$62.77
Value
—
PnL
-$62.77
Record
53%
1945-1759 (3704)
Invested
$10.79
Value
$13
PnL
+$2.21
Record
52%
88160-82530 (170690)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.79
Value
$8.18
PnL
+$1.39
Record
64%
39399-22464 (61863)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.0K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $4.6K
Sharky6999
Down — $4.4K

BoneOhio
Down — $3.0K
hoodquant
Down — $2.7K
trdyugiolkw
Down — $505.32
0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5gh
Down — $298.37

MayorMamdani
Down — $303.56
berlinskies
CTRUp — $0
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0