Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 79%
2 arb excluded
$4.4K
$30.33
Smart Money Signal
12 of 15 top traders (80%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 97.9¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$14.97 | 56% 7186-5551 (12737) |
TR trdyugiolkwARB<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $486.54 | $435.73 | -$50.81 | 57% 9886-7379 (17265) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 12.4¢ | $107.66 | — | -$107.66 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 87¢ | $378.88 | $435.73 | +$56.84 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$10.74 | 93% 21823-1694 (23517) |
RL RLWG | Upavg 87.9¢ | $461.07 | $508 | +$46.93 | 50% 7436-7483 (14919) |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 80.9¢ | $57.74 | $52.14 | -$5.6 | 57% 6425-4762 (11187) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 26¢ | $15.56 | — | -$15.56 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 80.9¢ | $42.18 | $52.14 | +$9.96 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $48.11 | $58.26 | +$10.15 | 65% 119555-63208 (182763) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $53.76 | — | -$36 | 58% 12359-8943 (21302) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $24.44 | — | -$24.44 | 12% 17689-129010 (146699) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91.7¢ | $37.39 | $38.62 | +$1.23 | 52% 87718-82041 (169759) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 96.8¢ | $27.08 | $27.98 | +$0.9 | 63% 49709-29446 (79155) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 89.3¢ | $19.32 | $20 | +$0.68 | 55% 42952-35402 (78354) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $17.88 | $23.84 | +$5.96 | 67% 22433-11225 (33658) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $12.16 | $14.3 | +$2.15 | 65% 20113-10941 (31054) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 58% 50034-36187 (86221) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $4 | $5.19 | +$1.19 | 65% 3707-2000 (5707) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $2 | $2.56 | +$0.56 | 69% 1554-705 (2259) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19411-18640 (38051) |
Invested
$2,173.37
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$14.97
Record
56%
7186-5551 (12737)
Invested
$486.54
Value
$435.73
PnL
-$50.81
Record
57%
9886-7379 (17265)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,063.56
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$10.74
Record
93%
21823-1694 (23517)
Invested
$461.07
Value
$508
PnL
+$46.93
Record
50%
7436-7483 (14919)
Invested
$57.74
Value
$52.14
PnL
-$5.6
Record
57%
6425-4762 (11187)
Both legs:
Invested
$48.11
Value
$58.26
PnL
+$10.15
Record
65%
119555-63208 (182763)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$53.76
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
58%
12359-8943 (21302)
Invested
$24.44
Value
—
PnL
-$24.44
Record
12%
17689-129010 (146699)
Invested
$37.39
Value
$38.62
PnL
+$1.23
Record
52%
87718-82041 (169759)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$27.08
Value
$27.98
PnL
+$0.9
Record
63%
49709-29446 (79155)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$19.32
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.68
Record
55%
42952-35402 (78354)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$17.88
Value
$23.84
PnL
+$5.96
Record
67%
22433-11225 (33658)
Invested
$12.16
Value
$14.3
PnL
+$2.15
Record
65%
20113-10941 (31054)
Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
58%
50034-36187 (86221)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4
Value
$5.19
PnL
+$1.19
Record
65%
3707-2000 (5707)
Invested
$2
Value
$2.56
PnL
+$0.56
Record
69%
1554-705 (2259)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19411-18640 (38051)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Up — $2.2K
trdyugiolkw
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
RLWG
Up — $508
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage — excluded
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $58.26
wowitsamazing
CTRDown — $0
Hsilverbasher
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $38.62
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $27.98