Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 87%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
-$310.24
Smart Money Signal
20 of 23 top traders (87%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 67¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | -$6.31 | 57% 9873-7375 (17248) |
RL RLWGARB<$100 | Upavg 79.2¢ | $323.7 | $225 | -$98.7 | 50% 7428-7474 (14902) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 79.2¢ | $178.25 | $225 | +$46.75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 24.4¢ | $145.45 | — | -$145.45 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 65¢ | $195.19 | $300.29 | +$105.1 | 58% 59354-43324 (102678) |
 wowitsamazingCTR | Downavg 25.8¢ | $400.8 | — | -$400.8 | 58% 12348-8885 (21233) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 67.8¢ | $153.8 | $159.5 | +$5.7 | 57% 6419-4757 (11176) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 78¢ | $125.58 | $161 | +$35.42 | 54% 14258-12036 (26294) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $120.84 | $122.16 | +$1.32 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 46¢ | $110.4 | — | -$110.4 | 66% 97209-49787 (146996) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 78.8¢ | $91.23 | $115.81 | +$24.58 | 56% 7167-5546 (12713) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 84.3¢ | $51.29 | $55.95 | +$4.66 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $45.43 | $59 | +$13.57 | 55% 48631-39531 (88162) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74.1¢ | $40.23 | $54.33 | +$14.1 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
DE devonpoll | Upavg 92.1¢ | $138.99 | $45.86 | -$11.23 | 51% 19388-18619 (38007) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 86.3¢ | $30.4 | $35.23 | +$4.83 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $33.78 | $28.43 | -$5.35 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $21.37 | $25.44 | +$4.07 | 74% 100260-35744 (136004) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $21.12 | $25.14 | +$4.02 | 67% 22388-11204 (33592) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $20.61 | $30.01 | +$9.4 | 58% 49959-36097 (86056) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $14.68 | $16.87 | +$2.19 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.5¢ | $11.16 | — | -$11.16 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $9.7 | $9.25 | -$0.45 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $4.3 | $10 | +$5.7 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 65% 3701-1998 (5699) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $2.25 | $2.5 | +$0.25 | 69% 1553-705 (2258) |
Invested
$1,028.85
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$6.31
Record
57%
9873-7375 (17248)
Invested
$323.7
Value
$225
PnL
-$98.7
Record
50%
7428-7474 (14902)
Both legs:
Invested
$195.19
Value
$300.29
PnL
+$105.1
Record
58%
59354-43324 (102678)
wowitsamazingCTRInvested
$400.8
Value
—
PnL
-$400.8
Record
58%
12348-8885 (21233)
Invested
$153.8
Value
$159.5
PnL
+$5.7
Record
57%
6419-4757 (11176)
Invested
$125.58
Value
$161
PnL
+$35.42
Record
54%
14258-12036 (26294)
Invested
$120.84
Value
$122.16
PnL
+$1.32
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
Invested
$110.4
Value
—
PnL
-$110.4
Record
66%
97209-49787 (146996)
Invested
$91.23
Value
$115.81
PnL
+$24.58
Record
56%
7167-5546 (12713)
Invested
$51.29
Value
$55.95
PnL
+$4.66
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$45.43
Value
$59
PnL
+$13.57
Record
55%
48631-39531 (88162)
Invested
$40.23
Value
$54.33
PnL
+$14.1
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$138.99
Value
$45.86
PnL
-$11.23
Record
51%
19388-18619 (38007)
Invested
$30.4
Value
$35.23
PnL
+$4.83
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$33.78
Value
$28.43
PnL
-$5.35
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$21.37
Value
$25.44
PnL
+$4.07
Record
74%
100260-35744 (136004)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$21.12
Value
$25.14
PnL
+$4.02
Record
67%
22388-11204 (33592)
Invested
$20.61
Value
$30.01
PnL
+$9.4
Record
58%
49959-36097 (86056)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.68
Value
$16.87
PnL
+$2.19
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
Invested
$11.16
Value
—
PnL
-$11.16
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
Invested
$9.7
Value
$9.25
PnL
-$0.45
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.7
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
65%
3701-1998 (5699)
Invested
$2.25
Value
$2.5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
69%
1553-705 (2258)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $1.0K
RLWG
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $300.29
wowitsamazing
CTRDown — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $159.5
tmsd-test
Up — $161
hoodquant
Up — $122.16
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
wzbbb
Up — $115.81
dvasdkasodk
Up — $55.95