Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 83%
$6.0K
-$46.63
Smart Money Signal
16 of 19 top traders (84%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $2.3K | $2.3K | +$23.07 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 96.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$20.7 | 56% 7167-5546 (12713) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 80.2¢ | $638.94 | $660 | +$21.06 | 57% 9873-7375 (17248) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 83.3¢ | $865.94 | $641.74 | -$224.2 | 54% 15011-12907 (27918) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 90.2¢ | $244.36 | $257 | +$12.64 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $198.25 | $200.25 | +$2 | 74% 100260-35744 (136004) |
RL RLWG | Downavg 85.2¢ | $195.85 | $230 | +$34.15 | 50% 7428-7474 (14902) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 49.5¢ | $89.89 | $171 | +$81.11 | 66% 97209-49787 (146996) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 80.8¢ | $67.52 | $83.53 | +$16 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $32.9 | $38.7 | +$5.8 | 57% 6419-4757 (11176) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 54.1¢ | $40.5 | — | -$40.5 | 58% 12348-8885 (21233) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 84.3¢ | $30.66 | $31.29 | +$0.63 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 79.7¢ | $24.45 | $30.68 | +$6.23 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $15.09 | — | -$15.09 | 58% 49959-36097 (86056) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $12.48 | $12.87 | +$0.39 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $9.5 | — | -$8.6 | 51% 19388-18619 (38007) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 46.5¢ | $9.3 | $20 | +$10.7 | 12% 17680-128923 (146603) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $10 | +$5.1 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $14.79 | — | +$2.18 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
Invested
$2,283.93
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$23.07
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
Invested
$1,275.55
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$20.7
Record
56%
7167-5546 (12713)
Invested
$638.94
Value
$660
PnL
+$21.06
Record
57%
9873-7375 (17248)
Invested
$865.94
Value
$641.74
PnL
-$224.2
Record
54%
15011-12907 (27918)
Invested
$244.36
Value
$257
PnL
+$12.64
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
BoneOhioInvested
$198.25
Value
$200.25
PnL
+$2
Record
74%
100260-35744 (136004)
Invested
$195.85
Value
$230
PnL
+$34.15
Record
50%
7428-7474 (14902)
Invested
$89.89
Value
$171
PnL
+$81.11
Record
66%
97209-49787 (146996)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$67.52
Value
$83.53
PnL
+$16
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$32.9
Value
$38.7
PnL
+$5.8
Record
57%
6419-4757 (11176)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$40.5
Value
—
PnL
-$40.5
Record
58%
12348-8885 (21233)
Invested
$30.66
Value
$31.29
PnL
+$0.63
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$24.45
Value
$30.68
PnL
+$6.23
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$15.09
Value
—
PnL
-$15.09
Record
58%
49959-36097 (86056)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.48
Value
$12.87
PnL
+$0.39
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
Invested
$9.5
Value
—
PnL
-$8.6
Record
51%
19388-18619 (38007)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.7
Record
12%
17680-128923 (146603)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.1
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$14.79
Value
—
PnL
+$2.18
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
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