Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
-$367.29
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 64.6¢ | $712.81 | $741.73 | +$28.91 | 57% 9873-7375 (17248) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 83.4¢ | $375.63 | $424.63 | +$49 | 56% 7167-5546 (12713) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $393.49 | $398.99 | +$5.5 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 14.4¢ | $229.58 | $257.67 | +$28.09 | 54% 15011-12907 (27918) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 37.4¢ | $96.3 | $257.67 | +$161.37 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 14.4¢ | $133.28 | — | -$133.28 | |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 56.1¢ | $222.14 | — | -$222.14 | 66% 97209-49787 (146996) |
TH thesidehustleCTR | Downavg 39.4¢ | $151.22 | — | -$151.22 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $83.41 | $75.12 | -$8.29 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 71.6¢ | $85.93 | $72.12 | -$13.81 | 57% 6419-4757 (11176) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 77.7¢ | $57.15 | $55.26 | +$13.88 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 73.4¢ | $38.9 | $50 | +$11.1 | 50% 7428-7474 (14902) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 56.7¢ | $28.6 | $50.43 | +$21.83 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $36.75 | — | -$36.75 | 58% 12348-8885 (21233) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $33 | $24.59 | -$8.41 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 54.7¢ | $27.88 | — | -$27.88 | 12% 17680-128923 (146603) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.3¢ | $49.5 | — | -$49.5 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $9.48 | $18 | +$8.52 | 67% 22388-11204 (33592) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $13.05 | $14.34 | +$1.29 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $11.69 | $22.92 | +$11.23 | 58% 49959-36097 (86056) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $4.83 | $7.14 | +$2.31 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.76 | — | -$1.76 | 64% 39294-22405 (61699) |
Invested
$712.81
Value
$741.73
PnL
+$28.91
Record
57%
9873-7375 (17248)
Invested
$375.63
Value
$424.63
PnL
+$49
Record
56%
7167-5546 (12713)
Invested
$393.49
Value
$398.99
PnL
+$5.5
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
Invested
$229.58
Value
$257.67
PnL
+$28.09
Record
54%
15011-12907 (27918)
Both legs:
Invested
$222.14
Value
—
PnL
-$222.14
Record
66%
97209-49787 (146996)
Invested
$151.22
Value
—
PnL
-$151.22
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$83.41
Value
$75.12
PnL
-$8.29
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$85.93
Value
$72.12
PnL
-$13.81
Record
57%
6419-4757 (11176)
Invested
$57.15
Value
$55.26
PnL
+$13.88
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$38.9
Value
$50
PnL
+$11.1
Record
50%
7428-7474 (14902)
Invested
$28.6
Value
$50.43
PnL
+$21.83
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$36.75
Value
—
PnL
-$36.75
Record
58%
12348-8885 (21233)
Invested
$33
Value
$24.59
PnL
-$8.41
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$27.88
Value
—
PnL
-$27.88
Record
12%
17680-128923 (146603)
Invested
$49.5
Value
—
PnL
-$49.5
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9.48
Value
$18
PnL
+$8.52
Record
67%
22388-11204 (33592)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.05
Value
$14.34
PnL
+$1.29
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
Invested
$11.69
Value
$22.92
PnL
+$11.23
Record
58%
49959-36097 (86056)
Invested
$4.83
Value
$7.14
PnL
+$2.31
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.76
Value
—
PnL
-$1.76
Record
64%
39294-22405 (61699)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $741.73
wzbbb
Up — $424.63
hoodquant
Up — $398.99
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
thesidehustle
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $75.12
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $72.12
aaa221
Up — $55.26
RLWG
Up — $50