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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 90%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.7K

Combined PnL

$441.2

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$3.6K

Total Shares3,603

Combined PnL+$441.03

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares15

Combined PnL+$0.16

Up — 91%Down — 9%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$1.33	84% 54657-10104 (64761)
TR trdyugiolkw	Upavg 66.5¢	$965.56	$978.4	+$12.84	57% 9855-7363 (17218)
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 33.3¢	$617.31	$959.59	+$342.28	54% 14989-12884 (27873)
DV dvasdkasodk	Upavg 81.1¢	$89.3	$100.55	+$11.25	52% 87230-81412 (168642)
WZ wzbbbARB<$100	Downavg 70.5¢	$104.01	$89	-$15.01	56% 7146-5523 (12669)
└ Down leg	Downavg 70.5¢	$66.98	—	-$66.98
└ Up leg	Upavg 41.6¢	$37.03	$89	+$51.97
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 67¢	$62.32	$54.45	-$7.87	57% 6405-4754 (11159)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 57.3¢	$47.4	$82.74	+$35.34	55% 16497-13232 (29729)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 55¢	$29	$52.73	+$23.73	66% 118108-62171 (180279)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 51¢	$10.97	$21.51	+$10.54	58% 58691-42804 (101495)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 42¢	$8.4	$20	+$11.6	55% 41532-33955 (75487)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 69¢	$17.81	—	+$0.16	65% 19942-10858 (30800)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 23.5¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19223-18465 (37688)

Invested

$1,331.34

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$1.33

Record

84%

54657-10104 (64761)

Invested

$965.56

Value

$978.4

PnL

+$12.84

Record

57%

9855-7363 (17218)

Invested

$617.31

Value

$959.59

PnL

+$342.28

Record

54%

14989-12884 (27873)

Invested

$89.3

Value

$100.55

PnL

+$11.25

Record

52%

87230-81412 (168642)

Invested

$104.01

Value

$89

PnL

-$15.01

Record

56%

7146-5523 (12669)

Both legs:

Down$66.9870.5¢-$66.98

Up$37.0341.6¢+$51.97

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$62.32

Value

$54.45

PnL

-$7.87

Record

57%

6405-4754 (11159)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$47.4

Value

$82.74

PnL

+$35.34

Record

55%

16497-13232 (29729)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$29

Value

$52.73

PnL

+$23.73

Record

66%

118108-62171 (180279)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$10.97

Value

$21.51

PnL

+$10.54

Record

58%

58691-42804 (101495)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$8.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$11.6

Record

55%

41532-33955 (75487)

Invested

$17.81

Value

—

PnL

+$0.16

Record

65%

19942-10858 (30800)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19223-18465 (37688)

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4a3e5b5e...6ff2df

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1793036700

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $1.3K

trdyugiolkw

Up — $978.4

aswfadq1555

Up — $959.59

dvasdkasodk

Up — $100.55

wzbbb

Arbitrage — excluded

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $54.45

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $82.74

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $52.73

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $21.51

MayorMamdani

Up — $20

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