Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 54%
1 arb excluded
$4.2K
-$510.57
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 97.3¢ | $2.1K | $2.1K | +$40.36 | 56% 7146-5523 (12669) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6¢ | $940.1 | $952.97 | +$12.87 | 93% 21661-1689 (23350) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 71.1¢ | $661.19 | $652.85 | -$8.35 | 54% 14989-12884 (27873) |
TR trdyugiolkwARB<$100 | Upavg 26.5¢ | $549.71 | $379.75 | -$169.96 | 57% 9855-7363 (17218) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 67.6¢ | $256.83 | $379.75 | +$122.92 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 26.5¢ | $292.88 | — | -$292.88 | |
PB PBot-6CTR | Upavg 49¢ | $299.77 | — | -$299.77 | 58% 49354-35490 (84844) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 48.7¢ | $255.98 | — | -$255.98 | 59% 36759-26055 (62814) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 66.2¢ | $39.44 | $42.79 | +$3.35 | 57% 6405-4754 (11159) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.7¢ | $34.8 | — | -$34.8 | 55% 16497-13232 (29729) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 59.3¢ | $29.64 | $50 | +$20.36 | 66% 118108-62171 (180279) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $11.25 | — | -$11.25 | 58% 11865-8668 (20533) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $9.39 | — | -$9.39 | 65% 19942-10858 (30800) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $8.03 | $11 | +$2.97 | 55% 41532-33955 (75487) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $5.31 | $7 | +$1.69 | 52% 87230-81412 (168642) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $11.74 | — | +$27.36 | 51% 19223-18465 (37688) |
Invested
$2,066.34
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$40.36
Record
56%
7146-5523 (12669)
Invested
$940.1
Value
$952.97
PnL
+$12.87
Record
93%
21661-1689 (23350)
Invested
$661.19
Value
$652.85
PnL
-$8.35
Record
54%
14989-12884 (27873)
Invested
$549.71
Value
$379.75
PnL
-$169.96
Record
57%
9855-7363 (17218)
Both legs:
Invested
$299.77
Value
—
PnL
-$299.77
Record
58%
49354-35490 (84844)
Invested
$255.98
Value
—
PnL
-$255.98
Record
59%
36759-26055 (62814)
Invested
$39.44
Value
$42.79
PnL
+$3.35
Record
57%
6405-4754 (11159)
Invested
$34.8
Value
—
PnL
-$34.8
Record
55%
16497-13232 (29729)
Invested
$29.64
Value
$50
PnL
+$20.36
Record
66%
118108-62171 (180279)
Invested
$11.25
Value
—
PnL
-$11.25
Record
58%
11865-8668 (20533)
Invested
$9.39
Value
—
PnL
-$9.39
Record
65%
19942-10858 (30800)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.03
Value
$11
PnL
+$2.97
Record
55%
41532-33955 (75487)
Invested
$5.31
Value
$7
PnL
+$1.69
Record
52%
87230-81412 (168642)
Invested
$11.74
Value
—
PnL
+$27.36
Record
51%
19223-18465 (37688)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $2.1K
hoodquant
Down — $952.97
aswfadq1555
Down — $652.85
trdyugiolkw
ARBArbitrage — excluded
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $42.79
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $50
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0