Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 40%
$1.8K
-$203.62
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$13.68 | 93% 21625-1687 (23312) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 72.6Β’ | $415.93 | $436.15 | +$20.21 | 57% 9851-7356 (17207) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 27.5Β’ | $161.11 | β | -$161.11 | 54% 14983-12881 (27864) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $50 | $50 | +$0 | 66% 118087-62156 (180243) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.5Β’ | $86.95 | β | -$86.95 | 59% 36738-26033 (62771) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 68.1Β’ | $24 | $26.27 | +$2.28 | 57% 6399-4752 (11151) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.9Β’ | $23.17 | β | +$5.18 | 51% 19212-18458 (37670) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 18Β’ | $8.3 | β | -$8.3 | 56% 7136-5515 (12651) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $1.15 | β | -$1.15 | 52% 87214-81389 (168603) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 13Β’ | $19.66 | β | +$12.54 | 65% 19899-10832 (30731) |
Invested
$1,298.82
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$13.68
Record
93%
21625-1687 (23312)
Invested
$415.93
Value
$436.15
PnL
+$20.21
Record
57%
9851-7356 (17207)
Invested
$161.11
Value
β
PnL
-$161.11
Record
54%
14983-12881 (27864)
Invested
$50
Value
$50
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
118087-62156 (180243)
Invested
$86.95
Value
β
PnL
-$86.95
Record
59%
36738-26033 (62771)
Invested
$24
Value
$26.27
PnL
+$2.28
Record
57%
6399-4752 (11151)
Invested
$23.17
Value
β
PnL
+$5.18
Record
51%
19212-18458 (37670)
Invested
$8.3
Value
β
PnL
-$8.3
Record
56%
7136-5515 (12651)
Invested
$1.15
Value
β
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
87214-81389 (168603)
Invested
$19.66
Value
β
PnL
+$12.54
Record
65%
19899-10832 (30731)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $1.3K
trdyugiolkw
Down β $436.15
aswfadq1555
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $50
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
peepeepoopoo24
Down β $26.27
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
wzbbb
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0