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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Up 53%

Total Value

$4.5K

Combined PnL

-$71.46

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 16 top traders (56%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$4.5K

Total Shares4,481

Combined PnL+$52.38

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares842

Combined PnL-$123.85

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.9¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	+$17.97	93% 21625-1687 (23312)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 98¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$22.94	56% 7136-5515 (12651)
TR trdyugiolkw	Upavg 88¢	$1.0K	$970.68	-$40.19	57% 9851-7356 (17207)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 86.1¢	$270.32	$261.25	-$9.07	54% 9805-8340 (18145)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 97¢	$75.25	$75	-$0.25	66% 118087-62156 (180243)
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Downavg 16.8¢	$99.03	—	-$99.03	54% 14983-12881 (27864)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 89.5¢	$37	$40	+$3	57% 6399-4752 (11151)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 44¢	$33.5	$76.13	+$42.63	59% 36738-26033 (62771)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 49.5¢	$20.89	$8.93	+$15.36	65% 19899-10832 (30731)
0X 0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100	Downavg 5.5¢	$5.9	—	-$5.9	53% 1928-1735 (3663)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 11.4¢	$8.47	—	-$8.47	52% 87214-81389 (168603)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$6.1	—	-$6.1	58% 49342-35483 (84825)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 5.5¢	$2.3	—	-$2.3	63% 47883-28520 (76403)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Downavg 5¢	$1	—	-$1	59% 7417-5133 (12550)
JO JocJoCTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	51% 914-883 (1797)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 54¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19212-18458 (37670)

Invested

$1,626.55

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$17.97

Record

93%

21625-1687 (23312)

Invested

$1,382.01

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$22.94

Record

56%

7136-5515 (12651)

Invested

$1,010.87

Value

$970.68

PnL

-$40.19

Record

57%

9851-7356 (17207)

Invested

$270.32

Value

$261.25

PnL

-$9.07

Record

54%

9805-8340 (18145)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$75.25

Value

$75

PnL

-$0.25

Record

66%

118087-62156 (180243)

aswfadq1555CTR<$100

Invested

$99.03

Value

—

PnL

-$99.03

Record

54%

14983-12881 (27864)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$37

Value

$40

PnL

+$3

Record

57%

6399-4752 (11151)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$33.5

Value

$76.13

PnL

+$42.63

Record

59%

36738-26033 (62771)

Invested

$20.89

Value

$8.93

PnL

+$15.36

Record

65%

19899-10832 (30731)

0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100

Invested

$5.9

Value

—

PnL

-$5.9

Record

53%

1928-1735 (3663)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$8.47

Value

—

PnL

-$8.47

Record

52%

87214-81389 (168603)

Invested

$6.1

Value

—

PnL

-$6.1

Record

58%

49342-35483 (84825)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

63%

47883-28520 (76403)

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

59%

7417-5133 (12550)

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

51%

914-883 (1797)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19212-18458 (37670)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 16 top traders (56%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbe81d0d2...a8ddf6

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1793028600

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.6K

wzbbb

Up — $1.4K

trdyugiolkw

Up — $970.68

thesidehustle

Up — $261.25

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $75

aswfadq1555

Down — $0

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $40

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $76.13

aaa221

Up — $8.93

0xdc27...afdd9a

Down — $0

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