Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 95% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 95%
$4.0K
$391.5
Smart Money Signal
18 of 19 top traders (95%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.2¢ | $2.1K | $2.1K | +$37.65 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 92.5¢ | $518.49 | $560.45 | +$41.95 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 80¢ | $361.99 | $439.24 | +$77.25 | 56% 13639-10672 (24311) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 71.2¢ | $128.61 | $176.65 | +$48.04 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 78.2¢ | $92.77 | $118.62 | +$25.85 | 54% 7032-5938 (12970) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $54.83 | $66.45 | +$11.62 | 58% 6311-4657 (10968) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97.9¢ | $48.95 | $50 | +$1.05 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 58.5¢ | $53.23 | $91 | +$37.77 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 78.2¢ | $37.88 | $44.88 | +$7 | 56% 7008-5446 (12454) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 97.8¢ | $39.4 | $40.28 | +$0.88 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 52.7¢ | $38.25 | $72.55 | +$34.3 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 51.3¢ | $35.4 | $68.98 | +$33.58 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $19.72 | $40.04 | +$20.32 | 59% 44281-30660 (74941) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $16.04 | $16.54 | +$0.5 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $15.37 | $18.67 | +$3.3 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $10.27 | $10.09 | -$0.18 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 72.1¢ | $8.07 | $11.19 | +$3.12 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.9¢ | $5.4 | — | +$5.75 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $3.25 | $5 | +$1.75 | 56% 15511-12385 (27896) |
Invested
$2,103.49
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$37.65
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$518.49
Value
$560.45
PnL
+$41.95
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$361.99
Value
$439.24
PnL
+$77.25
Record
56%
13639-10672 (24311)
Invested
$128.61
Value
$176.65
PnL
+$48.04
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$92.77
Value
$118.62
PnL
+$25.85
Record
54%
7032-5938 (12970)
Invested
$54.83
Value
$66.45
PnL
+$11.62
Record
58%
6311-4657 (10968)
Invested
$48.95
Value
$50
PnL
+$1.05
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$53.23
Value
$91
PnL
+$37.77
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$37.88
Value
$44.88
PnL
+$7
Record
56%
7008-5446 (12454)
Invested
$39.4
Value
$40.28
PnL
+$0.88
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$72.55
PnL
+$34.3
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
Invested
$35.4
Value
$68.98
PnL
+$33.58
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$19.72
Value
$40.04
PnL
+$20.32
Record
59%
44281-30660 (74941)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.04
Value
$16.54
PnL
+$0.5
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Invested
$15.37
Value
$18.67
PnL
+$3.3
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$10.27
Value
$10.09
PnL
-$0.18
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$8.07
Value
$11.19
PnL
+$3.12
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
+$5.75
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Invested
$3.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.75
Record
56%
15511-12385 (27896)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $2.1K
MayorMamdani
Down — $560.45
CrouchPredictions
Down — $439.24
thesidehustle
Down — $176.65
aswfadq1555
Down — $118.62
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $66.45
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $50
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $91
wzbbb
Down — $44.88
aaa221
Down — $40.28