Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 82%
$1.1K
$133.84
Smart Money Signal
14 of 17 top traders (82%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 74.6¢ | $250.36 | $274.35 | +$23.99 | 54% 7032-5938 (12970) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 83.4¢ | $120.82 | $144.86 | +$24.04 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 90.4¢ | $124.59 | $137.85 | +$13.26 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 91¢ | $105.61 | $107 | +$1.39 | 56% 7008-5446 (12454) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 90.6¢ | $82.11 | $81.93 | -$0.19 | 54% 9622-8161 (17783) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 72.8¢ | $47.12 | $60 | +$12.88 | 58% 6311-4657 (10968) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91.8¢ | $55.59 | $52.48 | +$4.04 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $36.88 | $37.38 | +$0.5 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 53.7¢ | $39.75 | $74.05 | +$34.3 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $29.02 | $50.03 | +$21.01 | 58% 55142-40208 (95350) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.9¢ | $28.66 | $18.16 | +$3.24 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $14.56 | $28 | +$13.44 | 14% 16230-96920 (113150) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $12.14 | $13.05 | +$0.91 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.9¢ | $11.29 | — | -$11.29 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $6.12 | $12 | +$5.88 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 20.6¢ | $5.15 | — | -$5.15 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $9.93 | — | -$8.43 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
Invested
$250.36
Value
$274.35
PnL
+$23.99
Record
54%
7032-5938 (12970)
Invested
$120.82
Value
$144.86
PnL
+$24.04
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$124.59
Value
$137.85
PnL
+$13.26
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$105.61
Value
$107
PnL
+$1.39
Record
56%
7008-5446 (12454)
Invested
$82.11
Value
$81.93
PnL
-$0.19
Record
54%
9622-8161 (17783)
Invested
$47.12
Value
$60
PnL
+$12.88
Record
58%
6311-4657 (10968)
Invested
$55.59
Value
$52.48
PnL
+$4.04
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$36.88
Value
$37.38
PnL
+$0.5
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$39.75
Value
$74.05
PnL
+$34.3
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
Invested
$29.02
Value
$50.03
PnL
+$21.01
Record
58%
55142-40208 (95350)
Invested
$28.66
Value
$18.16
PnL
+$3.24
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$14.56
Value
$28
PnL
+$13.44
Record
14%
16230-96920 (113150)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.14
Value
$13.05
PnL
+$0.91
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Invested
$11.29
Value
—
PnL
-$11.29
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$6.12
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.88
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$5.15
Value
—
PnL
-$5.15
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$9.93
Value
—
PnL
-$8.43
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
aswfadq1555
Down — $274.35
uninformedfloww
Down — $144.86
MayorMamdani
Down — $137.85
wzbbb
Down — $107
thesidehustle
Down — $81.93
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $60
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $52.48
asidjasiodja
Down — $37.38
wowitsamazing
Down — $74.05
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $50.03